Floyd Central
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #27
Mater Dei Regional Rank #4
Crawford County Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 23rd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 97.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Run For The Gold St. Xavier Tiger Run Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23
Team Rating 416 505 398 380 459 351 543
Team Adjusted Rating 505 398 380 459 351 446
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Run For The Gold St. Xavier Tiger Run Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational
11  Kaitlyn Stewart 12 18:19 18:26 18:18 17:53 18:35 18:23 18:04 18:49
120  Ginger Atzinger 12 19:54 19:53 19:46 19:40 19:40 20:27 19:42
274  Adeline Shultz 9 20:41 23:12 20:45 20:46 21:02 20:20 20:26
392  Bella Barnes 10 21:10 20:38 20:52 21:15 20:54 21:04 21:03 21:46
503  Kara Walter 9 21:28 21:50 21:19 21:09 21:41 21:01 21:40
594  Emerson Elliott 12 21:44 20:00 22:22 21:35 21:45 21:43
603  Emma Campbell 9 21:45 22:13 21:19 22:01 21:57 21:27 21:34
717  Lucy Jenks 10 22:02 20:58 22:18 22:41 21:18 21:47 22:11 22:00
777  Jenna Wheatley 9 22:11 22:17 22:17 21:51 22:05
920  Claudia Pearce 12 22:31 21:39 22:43 22:21 22:41 22:31 22:27
1,075  Sophie Brillhart 11 22:52 22:49 22:53 22:37
Maya Brogan 9 23:38 23:41 23:35 23:08 23:28 23:44




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 97.8% 21.4 509 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 2.5 4.1 7.9 12.0 17.3 20.0 20.2 10.9 1.1
Regionals 100% 3.7 144 0.1 12.7 25.0 47.7 12.5 2.0 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.7 31 31.2 68.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Stewart 100% 10.6 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.4 7.6 8.4 10.8 10.4 10.1 7.6 7.3 6.3 4.5 4.7 4.1 2.7 2.0 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.4 100.0% 100.0%
Ginger Atzinger 99.1% 121.9 59.1% 95.9%
Adeline Shultz 97.8% 200.5 0.0% 15.4%
Bella Barnes 97.8% 222.6 0.0% 0.3%
Kara Walter 97.8% 234.9 0.0% 0.0%
Emerson Elliott 97.8% 241.8 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Campbell 97.8% 242.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Stewart 100% 1.1 43.1 48.3 6.3 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Ginger Atzinger 100% 17.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.0 3.0 4.3 5.3 6.9 9.1 8.2 9.0 8.7 8.3 5.8 5.9 5.0 4.3 3.0 2.5 100.0%
Adeline Shultz 100% 36.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.9 100.0%
Bella Barnes 100% 53.0 0.1 100.0%
Kara Walter 100% 66.7 100.0%
Emerson Elliott 100% 78.6 100.0%
Emma Campbell 100% 79.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Stewart 1.0 100.0 0.1
Ginger Atzinger 3.4 8.2 13.8 66.4 11.5 0.2
Adeline Shultz 5.6 0.1 16.3 58.9 15.2 6.1 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1
Bella Barnes 8.2 0.2 3.0 23.0 20.3 18.9 14.4 12.0 5.1 2.2 0.6 0.5 0.2
Kara Walter 11.3 0.2 1.5 5.6 9.1 11.7 15.9 19.7 13.5 9.8 6.0 4.2 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.1
Emerson Elliott 14.1 0.1 0.8 1.6 2.8 4.6 8.5 14.1 16.6 15.5 12.7 10.5 7.0 3.1 2.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
Emma Campbell 14.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.7 3.7 7.3 12.4 15.2 15.3 11.9 11.9 9.6 5.4 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1