Morgan Twp
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #12
New Prairie Regional Rank #2
Chesterton Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 13th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 17.3%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rich Jay Invitational PCC Round Robin 1 Eagle Classic PCC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational
Date 8/19 8/26 8/29 9/9 9/12 9/16
Team Rating 284 206 511 344 237 425 263
Team Adjusted Rating 206 511 344 237 425 263
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rich Jay Invitational PCC Round Robin 1 Eagle Classic PCC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational
47  Peyton Bucher 10 19:15 18:51 18:55 24:46 19:49 19:33 19:53 18:59
65  Dana Abbring 11 19:23 19:51 19:03 19:15 20:18 19:19 20:56 19:29
67  Emersyn Bland 12 19:26 19:48 19:00 28:56 19:44 19:02 19:39 19:20
193  Shae Bucher 9 20:18 19:53 20:26 20:24 20:16 21:00 20:07
327  Isabella Bryan 10 20:55 20:46 20:58 21:42 20:41 20:10 20:57 20:52
382  Audrey Rakowski 10 21:08 21:17 20:33 21:05 20:48 20:58 20:58 21:32
566  Vanessa Parsons 11 21:39 21:21 21:43 21:25 22:00 21:44 21:26 21:19
776  Megan Beaver 12 22:11 21:49 22:46 22:07 21:46 21:58 22:50 21:42
971  Jenna Abbring 9 22:38 22:42 21:56 22:39 23:25 21:57 22:31
1,196  Ava Cowger 10 23:09 22:58 22:57 23:29 22:30 23:17 23:36 22:30
Allison Beaver 10 24:42 24:54 23:46 25:00 24:33 23:56 24:01




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 99.9% 13.1 354 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.6 4.6 8.7 12.5 14.6 15.1 11.9 10.1 6.5 4.9 3.3 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.8 107 6.5 31.9 39.6 21.0 1.0 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.9 48 10.8 88.9 0.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Peyton Bucher 100% 52.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 100.0% 100.0%
Dana Abbring 100% 64.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Emersyn Bland 100% 68.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0% 99.9%
Shae Bucher 99.9% 170.9 0.0% 45.0%
Isabella Bryan 99.9% 212.6 0.0% 1.4%
Audrey Rakowski 99.9% 222.1 0.0% 0.2%
Vanessa Parsons 99.9% 239.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Peyton Bucher 100% 5.2 0.9 7.3 13.5 12.8 13.3 10.3 12.8 8.6 7.3 4.5 2.4 2.3 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Dana Abbring 100% 7.2 0.2 1.8 4.1 8.4 10.5 11.5 11.8 11.0 9.7 8.5 6.2 4.8 3.3 2.0 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 100.0%
Emersyn Bland 100% 7.8 0.2 2.0 4.3 6.1 8.4 10.4 10.7 10.5 10.9 10.6 7.9 4.9 3.3 2.9 2.1 1.1 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Shae Bucher 100% 34.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.3 0.9 1.3 1.5 2.0 1.7 2.1 1.8 2.3 2.2 3.0 100.0%
Isabella Bryan 100% 59.9 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Audrey Rakowski 100% 69.1 100.0%
Vanessa Parsons 100% 96.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Peyton Bucher 3.3 8.8 18.6 18.5 16.7 17.8 11.4 6.4 1.8 0.3
Dana Abbring 4.6 2.5 8.1 12.2 15.9 18.6 19.2 17.4 4.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1
Emersyn Bland 4.9 2.1 5.7 10.2 15.0 18.5 20.1 21.3 4.4 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
Shae Bucher 12.7 0.5 5.7 7.3 9.3 9.5 9.6 11.7 11.1 9.4 8.1 6.8 4.7 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
Isabella Bryan 20.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.1 2.2 3.1 4.6 8.2 9.9 11.1 11.7 10.9 12.3 9.6 7.6
Audrey Rakowski 23.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.4 2.3 4.6 5.7 7.8 10.9 11.6 14.9 12.7
Vanessa Parsons 29.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.6 3.4