North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #5
Brownsburg Regional Rank #1
North Central (Indpls) Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 5th place at State Finals
State Champion 3.6%
Top 5 at State Finals 50.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 96.5%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Marion County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference
Date 8/13 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/9 9/16 9/23
Team Rating 182 194 266 194 160 583 153 171
Team Adjusted Rating 177 170 194 160 182 153 171
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Marion County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference
20  Elizabeth Rocchio 10 18:41 19:05 18:40 18:26 18:37 18:28 18:41 19:06
21  Maddie Rocchio 12 18:45 18:46 18:33 18:56 18:45 18:35 18:37
90  Kaelina Matthews 11 19:41 19:36 21:11 19:48 19:32 19:33
95  Sami Tezera 12 19:44 19:40 19:40 19:17 19:36 19:16 20:08 19:46
110  Kelsey Rehmel 10 19:51 21:34 19:53 20:05 19:48 19:44 19:02 19:26
192  Clara Smith 9 20:18 20:19 20:10 20:04 20:17 20:01 20:52
277  Valeerie Fernhaber 9 20:43 21:00 20:42 20:33 20:25 20:23 20:54
321  Betty Gebreananya 9 20:54 20:51 20:54 20:14 21:02 20:58
323  Ruby Brown 9 20:54 21:22 20:53 20:41 21:02 20:22 20:41
371  Isabel Tipmore 11 21:04 21:39 20:07 21:00 21:20 20:52 21:02 21:07
430  Claire Ekienberry 12 21:16 20:48 21:32 20:21 21:44 20:46 21:54
456  Tatum Houle 10 21:21 21:40 21:03 21:14 20:58 21:25 21:08 21:31
459  Georgia Colmen 9 21:21 21:02 22:02 20:54 21:35 20:46 21:23
723  Charlotte Mallon 10 22:02 21:17 22:18 22:09 22:06 21:44 21:57
811  Elle Bryant 11 22:17 22:10 21:57 22:42 21:47 21:55 22:59
830  Elise Smith 22:19 22:09 22:18
1,014  Julia Eynon 10 22:43 22:29 23:18 22:48 22:16 22:25 22:48
1,126  Lainey Deetz 11 22:59 23:23 23:07 23:34 22:43 22:32 22:12
Talia Ingemi 10 23:38 22:43 23:56 23:14 23:49 23:47
Marlee Scott 9 24:00 23:42 23:17 23:50 24:10 23:57 24:09
Anika Cisco 10 24:12 22:20 26:18 25:33 23:33 24:39 24:00
Lucy Phillips 9 24:40 24:32 23:02 25:39 23:58 24:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 5.6 210 3.6 7.8 9.8 13.4 15.6 15.6 11.9 8.8 6.9 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.6 83 41.6 54.7 3.5 0.3
Sectionals 100% 1.7 41 36.9 58.8 4.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elizabeth Rocchio 100% 20.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.8 2.4 2.2 3.8 3.7 4.3 5.1 5.6 4.9 5.1 5.1 4.9 5.2 4.7 4.2 3.9 3.5 100.0%
Maddie Rocchio 100% 22.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.3 3.9 3.9 4.2 5.7 5.0 4.8 5.5 4.4 4.2 4.2 3.5 100.0%
Kaelina Matthews 100% 90.8 0.1 96.0%
Sami Tezera 100% 96.1 94.4%
Kelsey Rehmel 100% 112.6 87.8%
Clara Smith 100% 171.4 29.5%
Valeerie Fernhaber 100% 200.8 3.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elizabeth Rocchio 100% 4.4 0.1 2.6 15.4 21.4 24.8 17.4 8.1 4.2 2.6 1.7 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Maddie Rocchio 100% 5.0 0.1 1.6 9.9 18.3 21.1 20.5 12.1 6.7 3.8 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Kaelina Matthews 100% 21.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 2.4 2.5 3.6 3.3 3.4 4.8 5.3 4.9 6.6 5.6 5.0 5.1 5.7 4.6 4.5 100.0%
Sami Tezera 100% 22.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.0 3.2 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.4 5.4 5.0 5.1 6.1 6.5 5.2 100.0%
Kelsey Rehmel 100% 26.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.8 1.9 2.6 2.6 3.2 3.7 4.8 4.0 3.7 4.2 5.3 100.0%
Clara Smith 100% 40.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 100.0%
Valeerie Fernhaber 100% 49.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elizabeth Rocchio 1.9 0.3 54.2 37.0 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
Maddie Rocchio 2.2 0.3 38.8 49.0 7.9 2.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1
Kaelina Matthews 10.2 3.9 5.0 6.2 7.8 8.3 8.1 9.3 10.2 9.9 8.3 5.3 4.5 4.9 2.7 2.3 1.8 1.3 0.6
Sami Tezera 10.9 2.3 4.1 6.0 6.6 6.2 8.1 8.8 9.4 9.0 8.6 7.7 5.3 5.5 4.1 3.0 3.2 1.5 0.8 0.2
Kelsey Rehmel 13.1 0.6 1.7 2.4 3.6 3.6 5.5 6.5 7.7 8.9 8.7 9.6 9.1 7.5 6.3 6.7 4.2 4.4 2.5 0.7 0.2
Clara Smith 20.6 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.5 3.3 4.7 6.7 8.3 12.1 15.0 18.8 19.0 5.6 0.7
Valeerie Fernhaber 23.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.4 4.2 8.2 17.7 43.1 16.4