All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
| Team Rating |
255 | |
217 |
260 |
703 |
270 |
239 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
217 |
251 |
255 |
270 |
239 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
|---|
| 15 |
Liz Smith |
12 |
18:32 |
18:55 |
18:25 |
18:33 |
|
18:24 |
18:26 |
| 22 |
Alivia Lozier |
9 |
18:47 |
|
18:41 |
18:55 |
|
18:47 |
18:37 |
| 194 |
Emily Loiselle |
11 |
20:19 |
20:16 |
20:10 |
20:31 |
|
20:14 |
20:15 |
| 210 |
Gianna Ferreri |
10 |
20:23 |
20:07 |
19:54 |
|
|
21:07 |
20:28 |
| 223 |
Maggie Naas |
9 |
20:28 |
|
21:02 |
20:00 |
|
20:35 |
20:10 |
| 279 |
Ella Bozarth |
9 |
20:43 |
|
20:16 |
20:35 |
|
20:41 |
21:10 |
| 313 |
Jordyn Landrum |
10 |
20:51 |
|
21:06 |
20:42 |
|
20:38 |
|
| 424 |
Ena Durbin |
11 |
21:14 |
21:23 |
21:22 |
22:39 |
21:15 |
20:56 |
20:55 |
| 482 |
Galiena Colon |
12 |
21:25 |
21:16 |
22:24 |
21:56 |
21:23 |
21:09 |
21:10 |
| 572 |
Izzy McCulloch |
10 |
21:40 |
22:10 |
21:56 |
21:17 |
21:20 |
21:21 |
21:43 |
| 595 |
Olivia Barnett |
10 |
21:45 |
21:38 |
21:27 |
23:15 |
21:52 |
21:13 |
22:37 |
| 605 |
Lina Abriani |
11 |
21:46 |
21:42 |
21:30 |
21:34 |
|
|
22:01 |
| 732 |
Sam Plummer |
9 |
22:05 |
|
21:53 |
22:09 |
21:40 |
22:06 |
22:06 |
| 798 |
Maryn Babb |
11 |
22:15 |
23:30 |
22:24 |
22:06 |
22:19 |
21:51 |
21:26 |
| 844 |
Madison Samreta |
11 |
22:21 |
21:59 |
22:25 |
22:10 |
22:39 |
23:47 |
22:16 |
| 854 |
Isabella Rudin |
12 |
22:22 |
22:45 |
22:07 |
21:41 |
22:17 |
|
22:43 |
| 912 |
Claudia Southworth |
9 |
22:31 |
|
22:36 |
22:27 |
22:19 |
22:34 |
22:17 |
| 924 |
Cecilia Schmidt |
11 |
22:32 |
22:12 |
22:38 |
|
|
23:08 |
22:09 |
| 1,084 |
Ava Britton-Heitz |
11 |
22:53 |
22:14 |
23:20 |
22:49 |
22:50 |
22:41 |
22:45 |
| 1,109 |
Lyla Osborn |
9 |
22:56 |
|
23:23 |
23:11 |
22:36 |
22:44 |
22:21 |
| 1,224 |
Delaney Curtis |
10 |
23:14 |
23:13 |
23:03 |
22:54 |
23:07 |
22:55 |
23:17 |
|
Mary Kate Sloan |
12 |
23:33 |
22:46 |
|
23:20 |
|
23:55 |
23:39 |
|
Alana Shank |
12 |
23:35 |
23:41 |
23:09 |
23:35 |
|
23:37 |
23:15 |
|
Ava Brandau |
10 |
24:09 |
23:48 |
23:05 |
24:11 |
|
25:08 |
|
|
Abby Gudeman |
12 |
24:19 |
|
23:45 |
24:01 |
|
25:16 |
24:07 |
|
Kiernan Harrington |
10 |
24:27 |
|
23:45 |
24:06 |
|
25:08 |
24:20 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
93.9% |
12.3 |
340 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
5.1 |
9.5 |
14.7 |
15.7 |
14.4 |
12.5 |
7.8 |
4.6 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.2 |
153 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
17.0 |
55.6 |
20.4 |
3.5 |
1.9 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.2 |
86 |
0.1 |
1.1 |
80.6 |
18.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liz Smith |
100% |
16.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
3.1 |
4.6 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
6.5 |
7.3 |
7.0 |
5.7 |
6.5 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
4.2 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Alivia Lozier |
100% |
24.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Emily Loiselle |
93.9% |
169.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
9.5% |
| Gianna Ferreri |
93.9% |
177.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
5.5% |
| Maggie Naas |
93.9% |
183.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
3.3% |
| Ella Bozarth |
93.9% |
201.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.4% |
| Jordyn Landrum |
93.9% |
209.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liz Smith |
100% |
5.0 |
|
0.6 |
13.7 |
17.5 |
18.9 |
15.5 |
12.3 |
7.5 |
5.3 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Alivia Lozier |
100% |
7.8 |
|
|
1.6 |
5.3 |
8.3 |
10.2 |
14.2 |
13.3 |
10.9 |
9.2 |
7.2 |
5.9 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Emily Loiselle |
100% |
49.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Gianna Ferreri |
100% |
52.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Maggie Naas |
100% |
57.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Ella Bozarth |
100% |
71.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
| Jordyn Landrum |
100% |
79.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.8% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liz Smith |
2.4 |
0.1 |
33.6 |
38.6 |
14.9 |
6.9 |
3.3 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alivia Lozier |
3.9 |
|
5.8 |
16.7 |
32.2 |
15.3 |
12.4 |
7.9 |
5.2 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emily Loiselle |
24.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
5.1 |
6.0 |
7.4 |
7.8 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
| Gianna Ferreri |
25.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
6.4 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
6.5 |
| Maggie Naas |
27.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
5.8 |
6.1 |
| Ella Bozarth |
33.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
| Jordyn Landrum |
36.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
|
