All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
HSE/Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/4 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
269 | |
249 |
288 |
753 |
301 |
264 |
251 |
750 |
310 |
279 |
274 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
249 |
276 |
269 |
301 |
264 |
251 |
269 |
310 |
279 |
274 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
HSE/Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 17 |
Liz Smith |
12 |
18:43 |
18:55 |
18:35 |
18:41 |
|
18:33 |
18:34 |
18:37 |
|
18:55 |
18:38 |
18:53 |
| 36 |
Alivia Lozier |
9 |
19:05 |
|
18:51 |
19:03 |
|
18:56 |
18:45 |
19:18 |
|
19:04 |
19:03 |
19:14 |
| 147 |
Maggie Naas |
9 |
20:02 |
|
21:13 |
20:09 |
|
20:44 |
20:18 |
20:07 |
|
20:37 |
20:28 |
19:53 |
| 229 |
Gianna Ferreri |
10 |
20:32 |
20:07 |
20:05 |
|
|
21:17 |
20:37 |
20:33 |
|
20:12 |
20:21 |
20:38 |
| 238 |
Emily Loiselle |
11 |
20:34 |
20:16 |
20:21 |
20:40 |
|
20:24 |
20:23 |
19:55 |
|
21:08 |
21:06 |
20:29 |
| 301 |
Jordyn Landrum |
10 |
20:50 |
|
21:18 |
20:51 |
|
20:48 |
|
20:48 |
|
20:57 |
20:39 |
20:50 |
| 361 |
Ella Bozarth |
9 |
21:01 |
|
20:27 |
20:44 |
|
20:51 |
21:19 |
21:04 |
20:45 |
|
21:50 |
|
| 393 |
Ena Durbin |
11 |
21:10 |
21:23 |
21:34 |
22:49 |
21:25 |
21:06 |
21:04 |
20:58 |
|
21:00 |
|
21:11 |
| 546 |
Galiena Colon |
12 |
21:40 |
21:16 |
22:37 |
22:03 |
21:34 |
21:19 |
21:19 |
21:52 |
|
|
|
|
| 559 |
Izzy McCulloch |
10 |
21:41 |
22:10 |
22:08 |
21:26 |
21:30 |
21:31 |
21:52 |
22:04 |
21:13 |
|
|
|
| 709 |
Lina Abriani |
11 |
22:02 |
21:42 |
21:42 |
21:44 |
|
|
22:10 |
21:51 |
22:24 |
|
|
|
| 728 |
Maryn Babb |
11 |
22:04 |
23:30 |
22:37 |
22:13 |
22:30 |
22:01 |
21:35 |
21:41 |
|
|
|
|
| 805 |
Sam Plummer |
9 |
22:14 |
|
22:05 |
22:18 |
21:51 |
22:16 |
22:15 |
22:29 |
|
|
|
|
| 824 |
Olivia Barnett |
10 |
22:17 |
21:38 |
21:39 |
23:25 |
22:02 |
21:23 |
22:47 |
22:09 |
22:36 |
|
|
|
| 843 |
Cecilia Schmidt |
11 |
22:21 |
22:12 |
22:51 |
|
|
23:19 |
22:19 |
21:59 |
21:52 |
|
|
|
| 895 |
Isabella Rudin |
12 |
22:29 |
22:45 |
22:19 |
21:50 |
22:27 |
|
22:52 |
22:46 |
22:17 |
|
|
|
| 961 |
Lyla Osborn |
9 |
22:40 |
|
23:36 |
23:19 |
22:47 |
22:55 |
22:30 |
21:54 |
22:11 |
|
|
|
| 987 |
Madison Samreta |
11 |
22:42 |
21:59 |
22:38 |
22:17 |
22:50 |
23:59 |
22:25 |
22:52 |
22:25 |
|
|
|
| 1,036 |
Claudia Southworth |
9 |
22:49 |
|
22:49 |
22:34 |
22:29 |
22:45 |
22:27 |
23:54 |
23:00 |
|
|
|
| 1,103 |
Ava Britton-Heitz |
11 |
22:58 |
22:14 |
23:33 |
22:56 |
23:01 |
22:52 |
22:55 |
22:35 |
22:58 |
|
|
|
| 1,219 |
Delaney Curtis |
10 |
23:14 |
23:13 |
23:17 |
23:02 |
23:18 |
23:07 |
23:27 |
23:31 |
22:45 |
|
|
|
|
Alana Shank |
12 |
23:41 |
23:41 |
23:23 |
23:42 |
|
23:49 |
23:24 |
23:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mary Kate Sloan |
12 |
23:52 |
22:46 |
|
23:27 |
|
24:07 |
23:49 |
23:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
Abby Gudeman |
12 |
24:12 |
|
23:59 |
24:09 |
|
25:28 |
24:18 |
23:30 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ava Brandau |
10 |
24:33 |
23:48 |
23:18 |
24:19 |
|
25:20 |
|
24:42 |
|
|
|
|
|
Kiernan Harrington |
10 |
24:34 |
|
23:59 |
24:13 |
|
25:21 |
24:30 |
24:42 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
12.0 |
328 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
3.9 |
9.3 |
13.9 |
17.5 |
13.7 |
12.3 |
9.3 |
5.9 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.2 |
155 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
5.5 |
67.8 |
20.8 |
3.2 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.2 |
77 |
0.4 |
3.8 |
71.1 |
24.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liz Smith |
100% |
18.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
4.7 |
5.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Alivia Lozier |
100% |
35.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Maggie Naas |
100% |
136.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
49.4% |
| Gianna Ferreri |
100% |
182.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.0% |
| Emily Loiselle |
100% |
186.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.8% |
| Jordyn Landrum |
100% |
203.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Ella Bozarth |
100% |
216.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liz Smith |
100% |
5.5 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
10.8 |
15.0 |
15.9 |
16.3 |
12.1 |
10.5 |
7.5 |
4.4 |
3.4 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Alivia Lozier |
100% |
10.2 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.9 |
2.4 |
3.7 |
6.6 |
9.6 |
11.6 |
12.2 |
11.1 |
10.7 |
8.9 |
6.6 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Maggie Naas |
100% |
33.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Gianna Ferreri |
100% |
55.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Emily Loiselle |
100% |
57.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Jordyn Landrum |
100% |
72.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ella Bozarth |
100% |
82.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.8% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liz Smith |
2.7 |
1.1 |
31.2 |
24.8 |
25.0 |
9.7 |
5.4 |
2.1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alivia Lozier |
5.3 |
|
1.4 |
6.6 |
11.1 |
24.8 |
19.2 |
16.0 |
9.7 |
6.7 |
2.8 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Maggie Naas |
15.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
3.8 |
5.5 |
6.2 |
7.7 |
10.0 |
9.1 |
11.0 |
9.1 |
8.6 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
4.8 |
3.6 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
| Gianna Ferreri |
25.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
4.4 |
6.0 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
7.2 |
6.7 |
| Emily Loiselle |
26.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
| Jordyn Landrum |
32.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
| Ella Bozarth |
35.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
|
