Winamac
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #95
New Prairie Regional Rank #24
Rensselaer Central Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Caston Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier North Athletic Conference Rensselaer Central Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Date 8/19 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 899 903 838 1,066 899 908 927 978 891
Team Adjusted Rating 903 838 882 899 908 927 978 891
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Caston Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier North Athletic Conference Rensselaer Central Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
176  Margaret Smith 12 20:12 21:10 21:07 21:29 20:36 20:55 20:24 21:02 20:01 20:27
650  Kadence Hoover 11 21:55 21:41 21:39 21:38 22:19 21:56 21:37 22:06 21:59 21:47
845  Kelsey Wegner 12 22:22 21:50 22:29 22:02 22:30 22:25 22:13 22:26 22:24 22:11
1,013  Kandace Kroft 10 22:44 21:50 22:21 22:12 22:29 22:35 22:46 22:48 23:11 22:55
1,324  Avery Wagner 10 23:28 22:04 23:15 23:24 23:21 23:20 23:27 23:30 23:30 23:34
Claire Goodman 11 23:33 24:28 23:24 22:25 22:53 23:14 23:24 23:47 24:02 24:03
Bethany Poor 12 25:01 25:16 24:51 24:47 25:11
Lily Bennett 12 25:04 24:19 24:10 24:35 24:54 24:45 25:04 24:54 25:41 25:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 20.0 486 0.2 0.8 2.8 5.9 9.3 13.6 21.0 28.0 18.6
Sectionals 100% 1.0 49 99.2 0.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Margaret Smith 68.4% 147.8 68.4% 68.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Margaret Smith 100% 27.8 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.6 1.1 1.4 2.2 2.2 2.7 2.3 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.8 5.0 100.0%
Kadence Hoover 100% 109.9 100.0%
Kelsey Wegner 100% 139.8 100.0%
Kandace Kroft 100% 161.8 100.0%
Avery Wagner 100% 199.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Margaret Smith 2.5 0.1 6.3 93.3 0.3 0.1
Kadence Hoover 6.3 1.6 8.5 32.8 28.2 19.0 7.0 2.5 0.5 0.1 0.1
Kelsey Wegner 8.9 0.1 0.2 1.3 5.6 16.8 28.7 24.5 12.5 6.2 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
Kandace Kroft 11.6 0.2 1.1 3.8 13.9 19.1 20.4 16.4 12.1 7.4 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
Avery Wagner 18.1 0.2 0.4 1.5 3.1 5.2 9.2 12.8 16.2 15.6 13.1 9.5 6.5 2.9 2.3 1.5