All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Taylor University Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Last Run |
North Central (Indpls) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
278 | |
315 |
266 |
307 |
614 |
317 |
269 |
450 |
434 |
300 |
275 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
315 |
266 |
307 |
278 |
317 |
269 |
278 |
278 |
300 |
275 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Taylor University Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Last Run |
North Central (Indpls) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 43 |
Kathryn Green |
10 |
19:14 |
|
21:24 |
20:15 |
19:44 |
|
20:18 |
19:21 |
|
|
19:12 |
19:06 |
| 113 |
Anwesha Mishra |
10 |
19:49 |
20:29 |
19:38 |
19:48 |
20:01 |
|
19:40 |
19:45 |
|
|
20:05 |
19:43 |
| 124 |
Cailyn Murphy |
10 |
19:53 |
19:52 |
19:35 |
19:54 |
20:14 |
|
20:01 |
19:48 |
|
|
19:49 |
19:46 |
| 175 |
Katherine Bowen |
11 |
20:11 |
19:49 |
20:16 |
19:37 |
20:08 |
|
20:00 |
20:18 |
|
|
20:08 |
20:21 |
| 184 |
Audrey Magnusun |
12 |
20:16 |
19:41 |
20:19 |
19:34 |
20:10 |
|
20:22 |
19:58 |
|
|
20:38 |
20:21 |
| 236 |
Megan Race |
9 |
20:34 |
|
20:54 |
20:43 |
20:38 |
|
20:26 |
20:23 |
20:43 |
20:39 |
|
20:25 |
| 237 |
Sara Bostwick |
10 |
20:34 |
21:07 |
20:30 |
20:28 |
20:38 |
|
20:25 |
20:36 |
20:22 |
20:40 |
20:39 |
|
| 254 |
MacKinsey Heagy |
12 |
20:39 |
19:41 |
|
20:21 |
20:03 |
|
21:34 |
20:34 |
20:57 |
20:32 |
|
20:46 |
| 263 |
Addisyn Hoffman |
9 |
20:42 |
|
20:44 |
20:29 |
20:48 |
|
20:22 |
20:52 |
20:42 |
20:35 |
20:47 |
|
| 279 |
Elaina Herman |
12 |
20:44 |
19:51 |
20:46 |
20:36 |
20:17 |
|
20:27 |
20:57 |
21:22 |
20:48 |
|
|
| 280 |
Delaney Schmidt |
9 |
20:45 |
|
20:54 |
20:50 |
20:44 |
|
21:00 |
20:33 |
20:31 |
20:37 |
|
|
| 327 |
Maddie Scheitlin |
12 |
20:55 |
19:43 |
20:34 |
20:50 |
21:14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 366 |
Allison Bruggers |
9 |
21:02 |
|
21:01 |
21:06 |
20:54 |
20:55 |
21:03 |
20:59 |
21:01 |
|
|
|
| 392 |
Madeline Bruns |
10 |
21:10 |
21:14 |
21:07 |
21:10 |
21:18 |
20:54 |
21:16 |
20:52 |
21:31 |
|
|
|
| 400 |
Marlee Phillips |
10 |
21:13 |
21:56 |
21:18 |
21:15 |
21:19 |
21:07 |
20:59 |
21:12 |
21:11 |
21:12 |
|
|
| 567 |
Jane Porzel |
9 |
21:43 |
|
21:33 |
21:48 |
21:43 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 573 |
Margaret Dimmett |
12 |
21:44 |
22:04 |
21:42 |
21:36 |
21:33 |
21:51 |
21:43 |
21:31 |
21:53 |
|
|
|
| 589 |
Lucy Bostian |
9 |
21:45 |
|
21:11 |
21:42 |
21:29 |
21:31 |
21:59 |
22:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 630 |
Clara Carlson |
9 |
21:53 |
|
22:12 |
22:05 |
22:12 |
21:35 |
21:40 |
21:36 |
|
|
|
|
| 894 |
Carolyn Williams |
11 |
22:29 |
22:26 |
23:17 |
23:03 |
|
22:06 |
22:30 |
21:56 |
|
|
|
|
| 944 |
Johana Coons |
11 |
22:37 |
23:53 |
22:37 |
22:55 |
22:23 |
22:02 |
23:03 |
22:32 |
|
|
|
|
| 983 |
Arleen Reynolds |
9 |
22:41 |
|
22:04 |
22:12 |
22:14 |
23:15 |
24:05 |
25:14 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,016 |
Maria Vazquez |
10 |
22:46 |
|
22:34 |
23:11 |
23:10 |
22:45 |
22:40 |
22:15 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,030 |
Abigail Altman |
11 |
22:48 |
23:03 |
|
22:25 |
22:40 |
21:52 |
23:22 |
23:19 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,126 |
Alexandra Gallagher |
11 |
23:01 |
|
23:13 |
23:11 |
22:57 |
22:49 |
23:09 |
22:44 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,137 |
Madison Schmidt |
12 |
23:03 |
22:14 |
23:10 |
|
23:07 |
24:33 |
23:12 |
22:34 |
|
|
|
|
|
Alexsandra Dehart |
10 |
23:47 |
|
|
|
|
24:13 |
24:04 |
22:48 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bethany Michael |
10 |
24:35 |
23:23 |
23:56 |
25:23 |
|
25:15 |
24:08 |
24:25 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
12.4 |
334 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
2.3 |
4.8 |
8.6 |
14.7 |
12.0 |
10.5 |
9.9 |
9.6 |
7.2 |
5.9 |
4.0 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.4 |
139 |
1.0 |
5.7 |
58.4 |
26.2 |
7.0 |
1.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.0 |
69 |
1.0 |
6.4 |
88.6 |
4.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kathryn Green |
100% |
45.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
|
99.9% |
| Anwesha Mishra |
100% |
110.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
82.5% |
| Cailyn Murphy |
100% |
118.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
76.1% |
| Katherine Bowen |
100% |
153.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37.3% |
| Audrey Magnusun |
100% |
162.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24.5% |
| Megan Race |
100% |
186.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.0% |
| Sara Bostwick |
100% |
187.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kathryn Green |
100% |
9.8 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
4.1 |
6.3 |
10.1 |
15.9 |
12.9 |
9.4 |
8.3 |
6.3 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Anwesha Mishra |
100% |
26.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Cailyn Murphy |
100% |
28.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Katherine Bowen |
100% |
36.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Audrey Magnusun |
100% |
38.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Megan Race |
100% |
45.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Sara Bostwick |
100% |
45.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kathryn Green |
5.0 |
|
2.7 |
6.5 |
12.6 |
27.9 |
20.0 |
12.8 |
6.6 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Anwesha Mishra |
12.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.3 |
3.8 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
7.6 |
8.7 |
10.5 |
10.7 |
10.7 |
10.8 |
9.6 |
5.8 |
4.1 |
2.6 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
| Cailyn Murphy |
13.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
6.9 |
7.6 |
8.4 |
8.8 |
10.7 |
9.9 |
11.3 |
10.9 |
6.5 |
4.1 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
| Katherine Bowen |
17.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
4.0 |
5.5 |
7.6 |
10.2 |
17.5 |
15.8 |
13.5 |
9.6 |
6.0 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
| Audrey Magnusun |
18.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
4.3 |
5.9 |
7.4 |
12.1 |
16.1 |
15.8 |
13.1 |
10.8 |
5.3 |
2.8 |
0.6 |
| Megan Race |
22.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
4.3 |
7.6 |
12.7 |
17.6 |
20.0 |
19.3 |
12.7 |
| Sara Bostwick |
22.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
4.5 |
9.0 |
12.8 |
16.0 |
21.0 |
18.5 |
12.1 |
|
