Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2024 - 2025 - 2026
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State Rank #28
New Prairie Regional Rank #6
Chesterton Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 37.6%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Manchester Invitational New Prairie Kickoff Classic Brown County Eagle Classic New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf.
Date 8/23 9/6 9/9 9/13 9/20 9/27 10/4
Team Rating 436 430 470 1,069 375 429 940 458
Team Adjusted Rating 400 469 436 375 429 451 458
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Manchester Invitational New Prairie Kickoff Classic Brown County Eagle Classic New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf.
198  Paige Clancy 10 20:26 20:30 20:12 20:34 20:11 20:18 20:46
217  Hannah Haring 10 20:30 20:23 20:33 20:13 21:20 20:21
222  Aubrey Bamber 12 20:31 21:44 20:39 20:10 20:38 20:20
232  Allison Van Kley 12 20:35 20:34 20:29 20:50 20:18 20:13 20:55
331  Lauren Kroft 12 21:00 20:42 20:45 21:10 20:52 21:15 21:09
366  Evie Fortney 9 21:10 21:12 21:15 21:01 21:10
409  Natalie White 10 21:20 21:35 21:02 20:49 21:51 21:21
436  Natalie Williams 10 21:25 22:08 21:01 21:46 21:34 21:28 21:07
465  Natascha Lepinasse 11 21:30 22:09 21:47 21:25 22:21 20:45 20:59
654  Alexa Jaworski 12 22:01 21:55 21:56 22:36 21:49 21:48 21:45 22:05
810  Reagan Rex 9 22:25 22:38 22:14 22:10 22:36 25:52
951  Natalie Gallo 9 22:48 23:20 22:37 22:36 22:44
986  Eshaal Ali 11 22:55 22:57 22:38 22:36 22:28 23:59 23:10
Kate Meyer 10 23:40 23:55 21:25 23:59 23:28 24:15
Sierra Grant 12 23:40 23:23 23:50 23:04 23:32 24:26
Grace Basich 11 25:23 25:09 25:27 25:27 26:04 24:44




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 37.6% 22.2 512 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.5 1.7 2.6 3.7 5.7 8.0 7.4 5.1
Regionals 100% 5.9 197 0.1 6.8 12.7 18.1 24.1 21.9 13.0 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.0 82 9.5 16.4 35.4 38.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paige Clancy 46.5% 154.3 14.2% 26.1%
Hannah Haring 43.1% 159.8 8.8% 18.0%
Aubrey Bamber 41.8% 160.4 6.6% 16.2%
Allison Van Kley 40.0% 166.3 3.8% 11.0%
Lauren Kroft 37.6% 204.3 0.0% 0.2%
Evie Fortney 37.6% 214.7 0.0% 0.1%
Natalie White 37.6% 223.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paige Clancy 100% 35.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.3 100.0%
Hannah Haring 100% 39.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.5 100.0%
Aubrey Bamber 100% 39.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.8 1.2 1.6 100.0%
Allison Van Kley 100% 42.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.8 100.0%
Lauren Kroft 100% 64.1 0.0 100.0%
Evie Fortney 100% 72.6 100.0%
Natalie White 100% 80.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paige Clancy 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.0 4.4 4.8 6.3 6.7 7.2 8.2 9.2 8.1 7.6 7.5 6.5 5.5 4.1 3.1 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.1
Hannah Haring 14.3 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.7 3.0 4.5 5.7 5.1 6.7 7.7 8.9 8.9 8.3 8.1 7.0 6.1 5.0 3.7 2.4 1.7 0.9 0.5
Aubrey Bamber 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.9 2.6 3.6 4.7 5.5 7.1 8.0 8.4 8.5 8.4 8.1 7.9 6.9 5.4 3.5 3.0 1.9 1.0 0.5
Allison Van Kley 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.9 4.3 5.3 5.9 7.3 8.1 9.0 9.2 8.9 8.0 7.1 5.8 4.5 2.7 1.6 0.9
Lauren Kroft 23.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.2 3.1 3.9 6.8 9.2 10.1 11.6 11.7 11.1
Evie Fortney 25.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.4 5.6 7.1 9.8 11.7
Natalie White 27.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.5 3.1 5.7 7.2