Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2024 - 2025 - 2026
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State Rank #23
Shelbyville Regional Rank #7
Noblesville Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.8%
Advance to State Finals 25.2%
Advance to Regional 49.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Taylor University Opener Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational
Date 8/23 8/30 9/6
Team Rating 374 424 350 346
Team Adjusted Rating 367 350 346
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Taylor University Opener Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational
53  Chloe Tragesser 9 19:15 19:01 19:18 19:15
177  Brinna Wolf 11 20:17 20:50 20:18 20:04 20:11
186  Katherine Kolb 12 20:19 20:29 20:14 20:11
275  Taylor Tragesser 10 20:48 19:43 20:34 21:16 20:49
286  Jillian Tichenor 9 20:51 21:04 20:58 20:27
365  Claire Flannagan 11 21:11 21:54 21:19 20:24 21:13
531  Kara Van Woerkom 11 21:42 21:47 21:20 21:37 21:50
539  Keira Hines 12 21:43 20:33 21:51 21:55
568  Delaney Gould 12 21:47 21:53 21:37 21:45
602  Elly Rodgerson 11 21:52 21:47 21:53 21:54
804  Lucy Esposito 12 22:25 22:21 22:44 22:13
894  Anna Maurovich 9 22:42 22:18 22:30 23:49
983  Caroline Ford 11 22:55 22:45 22:25 23:03 23:16
Maggie Scott 11 23:47 24:06 24:23 23:26 23:21




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 25.2% 17.2 423 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0
Regionals 49.0% 5.2 178 0.1 0.8 3.1 7.7 13.6 21.1 2.2 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 5.2 123 0.1 1.1 8.2 14.7 24.8 50.8 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chloe Tragesser 99.5% 57.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 99.3% 99.5%
Brinna Wolf 27.4% 138.6 2.9% 7.2%
Katherine Kolb 26.6% 141.7 1.9% 5.3%
Taylor Tragesser 25.2% 183.3 0.0% 0.1%
Jillian Tichenor 25.2% 187.3 0.0% 0.0%
Claire Flannagan 25.2% 210.0 0.0% 0.0%
Kara Van Woerkom 25.2% 233.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chloe Tragesser 100% 11.2 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.0 5.7 7.1 8.5 9.9 9.9 9.0 7.7 6.5 5.9 4.7 3.9 3.4 2.8 2.1 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.5 100.0% 100.0%
Brinna Wolf 100% 41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Katherine Kolb 100% 44.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Taylor Tragesser 100% 67.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 99.5%
Jillian Tichenor 100% 70.0 100.0% 98.7%
Claire Flannagan 100% 85.4 100.0% 85.8%
Kara Van Woerkom 99.8% 112.8 74.3% 49.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chloe Tragesser 5.6 0.4 3.7 12.5 21.6 19.6 14.5 10.7 6.5 4.3 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Brinna Wolf 22.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.7 2.2 2.6 3.2 4.1 4.7 4.8 4.6 5.8 5.7 5.6 6.6 5.8 5.9
Katherine Kolb 23.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.2 3.1 2.8 3.5 4.0 4.8 4.7 5.7 5.3 6.1 5.9 6.0
Taylor Tragesser 34.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.3
Jillian Tichenor 35.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0
Claire Flannagan 41.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kara Van Woerkom 45.9