All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
HSE JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/30 |
9/6 |
9/13 |
9/20 |
9/27 |
10/4 |
10/6 |
10/18 |
10/25 |
| Team Rating |
321 | |
317 |
336 |
913 |
399 |
305 |
330 |
872 |
273 |
330 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
317 |
336 |
358 |
324 |
305 |
330 |
321 |
273 |
330 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
HSE JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
|---|
| 60 |
Jayde Stamm |
11 |
19:20 |
19:17 |
19:18 |
19:28 |
|
19:07 |
19:24 |
19:12 |
|
19:04 |
19:42 |
| 142 |
Ansley Applegate |
12 |
20:06 |
19:00 |
20:05 |
20:44 |
|
|
20:11 |
19:51 |
|
19:54 |
20:06 |
| 161 |
Nelani Render |
9 |
20:11 |
|
20:27 |
20:22 |
|
20:09 |
19:37 |
20:20 |
|
19:50 |
20:18 |
| 206 |
Kate Mumaw |
11 |
20:23 |
20:04 |
20:47 |
20:27 |
21:02 |
|
21:16 |
20:56 |
|
|
20:12 |
| 237 |
Gretchen Graham |
12 |
20:28 |
20:44 |
19:59 |
20:02 |
|
21:01 |
20:04 |
20:29 |
|
21:12 |
20:33 |
| 252 |
Izzy Salinas |
10 |
20:31 |
21:55 |
21:46 |
21:11 |
|
20:52 |
20:57 |
20:51 |
|
20:11 |
20:23 |
| 262 |
Addie Scott |
11 |
20:35 |
21:22 |
20:32 |
20:31 |
|
20:39 |
20:43 |
20:42 |
|
20:14 |
20:50 |
| 469 |
Norah Mathes |
10 |
21:23 |
21:14 |
21:24 |
21:19 |
|
21:17 |
21:03 |
21:41 |
20:49 |
22:30 |
|
| 697 |
Emmy Reeder |
9 |
22:01 |
|
22:07 |
22:04 |
22:06 |
21:41 |
22:36 |
21:53 |
21:30 |
|
|
| 920 |
Haylen Kaiser |
9 |
22:32 |
|
22:36 |
22:17 |
22:23 |
22:15 |
22:51 |
22:36 |
22:42 |
|
|
| 1,036 |
Olivia Ozimek |
10 |
22:51 |
22:07 |
23:11 |
22:44 |
22:46 |
23:17 |
22:54 |
22:42 |
22:35 |
|
|
| 1,037 |
Grace Crawford |
11 |
22:52 |
24:09 |
|
23:25 |
22:42 |
22:19 |
22:58 |
22:39 |
22:42 |
|
|
| 1,155 |
Kenley Johnson |
11 |
23:07 |
22:17 |
22:40 |
|
23:34 |
23:44 |
23:34 |
22:40 |
22:52 |
|
|
| 1,235 |
Mabel Caughell |
9 |
23:18 |
|
23:02 |
23:11 |
23:12 |
23:19 |
23:25 |
23:19 |
23:33 |
|
|
|
Gabby Hopkins |
9 |
23:50 |
|
23:22 |
23:39 |
23:45 |
25:03 |
23:51 |
24:01 |
23:40 |
|
|
|
Anna Miller |
11 |
23:52 |
22:17 |
24:33 |
24:11 |
24:13 |
24:48 |
22:21 |
22:35 |
23:49 |
|
|
|
Gwen Goller |
9 |
23:59 |
|
23:28 |
23:25 |
23:40 |
24:40 |
|
24:22 |
24:27 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
87.6% |
15.6 |
400 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
0.7 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
7.7 |
7.7 |
8.6 |
8.6 |
7.8 |
6.4 |
5.2 |
4.4 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
| Regionals |
100% |
3.9 |
157 |
2.9 |
11.7 |
22.6 |
29.4 |
21.0 |
9.7 |
2.1 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.3 |
94 |
4.0 |
18.5 |
40.5 |
22.5 |
10.0 |
4.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jayde Stamm |
98.2% |
60.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
85.5% |
96.0% |
| Ansley Applegate |
87.6% |
132.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
12.6% |
| Nelani Render |
87.6% |
143.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
7.8% |
| Kate Mumaw |
87.6% |
167.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.1% |
| Gretchen Graham |
87.6% |
177.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.8% |
| Izzy Salinas |
87.6% |
182.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.4% |
| Addie Scott |
87.6% |
187.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jayde Stamm |
100% |
12.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
3.5 |
6.1 |
6.0 |
7.5 |
7.4 |
9.2 |
8.1 |
7.2 |
7.5 |
6.7 |
5.8 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Ansley Applegate |
100% |
34.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Nelani Render |
100% |
38.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Kate Mumaw |
100% |
49.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Gretchen Graham |
100% |
55.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Izzy Salinas |
100% |
57.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Addie Scott |
100% |
60.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jayde Stamm |
5.6 |
|
0.1 |
1.4 |
12.2 |
21.7 |
24.8 |
20.0 |
8.8 |
4.3 |
2.9 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Ansley Applegate |
16.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
6.1 |
6.8 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.3 |
4.7 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
| Nelani Render |
19.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
5.1 |
5.8 |
4.3 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
| Kate Mumaw |
25.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
4.7 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
| Gretchen Graham |
28.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
| Izzy Salinas |
29.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
| Addie Scott |
31.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
4.0 |
|
