All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Early Bird (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
XC Town Twilight |
HSE JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/23 |
8/30 |
9/13 |
9/20 |
9/27 |
10/3 |
10/4 |
10/6 |
10/18 |
10/25 |
11/1 |
| Team Rating |
364 | |
489 |
329 |
312 |
517 |
424 |
519 |
869 |
884 |
355 |
392 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
356 |
329 |
312 |
385 |
351 |
396 |
622 |
364 |
355 |
392 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Early Bird (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
XC Town Twilight |
HSE JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 59 |
Zoe Gebhart |
11 |
19:20 |
|
19:24 |
19:16 |
19:53 |
|
|
|
|
|
19:35 |
19:09 |
19:49 |
| 133 |
Anissa Lammie |
11 |
20:00 |
20:08 |
19:44 |
20:46 |
19:45 |
20:18 |
19:53 |
21:35 |
21:35 |
|
19:56 |
19:56 |
|
| 209 |
Raegan Hissong |
12 |
20:23 |
20:26 |
|
20:03 |
20:16 |
20:35 |
20:33 |
20:19 |
20:19 |
|
20:06 |
20:45 |
|
| 310 |
Aubrey Berger |
12 |
20:45 |
21:37 |
|
20:37 |
20:42 |
|
20:56 |
20:36 |
20:36 |
|
20:31 |
21:05 |
|
| 315 |
Kate Evans |
12 |
20:47 |
|
|
20:16 |
20:09 |
20:47 |
21:02 |
20:56 |
20:56 |
|
20:58 |
20:46 |
|
| 317 |
Ali Johnson |
9 |
20:48 |
|
21:41 |
20:28 |
20:10 |
21:13 |
20:41 |
20:08 |
20:08 |
|
21:07 |
21:03 |
|
| 356 |
Kate Lux |
10 |
20:58 |
21:21 |
21:04 |
20:34 |
21:01 |
22:14 |
20:35 |
20:45 |
20:45 |
|
23:01 |
21:08 |
|
| 520 |
Charlotte Dragoo |
9 |
21:32 |
|
22:03 |
21:30 |
20:35 |
21:27 |
21:19 |
22:26 |
22:26 |
21:53 |
|
|
|
| 570 |
Danika Harris |
10 |
21:40 |
20:47 |
21:25 |
21:23 |
21:07 |
22:36 |
21:44 |
21:46 |
21:46 |
21:41 |
|
|
|
| 627 |
Makenzie Blom |
12 |
21:49 |
21:23 |
|
22:02 |
21:43 |
21:35 |
21:35 |
21:47 |
21:47 |
22:13 |
|
|
|
| 732 |
Olivia Allen |
12 |
22:06 |
21:37 |
|
22:09 |
21:49 |
21:52 |
22:02 |
22:01 |
22:01 |
22:52 |
|
|
|
| 976 |
Anna Irish |
11 |
22:41 |
21:31 |
22:36 |
23:16 |
22:07 |
22:34 |
22:25 |
22:42 |
22:42 |
23:15 |
|
|
|
| 992 |
Avery Francis |
10 |
22:43 |
22:39 |
22:11 |
22:14 |
21:33 |
23:32 |
|
23:47 |
23:47 |
22:44 |
|
|
|
| 1,049 |
Ava Sullivan |
9 |
22:54 |
|
23:36 |
22:40 |
22:39 |
22:55 |
23:29 |
|
|
22:25 |
|
|
|
| 1,058 |
Brynne Dehart |
11 |
22:55 |
24:11 |
23:26 |
23:18 |
23:14 |
22:29 |
23:08 |
22:49 |
22:49 |
22:19 |
|
|
|
| 1,146 |
Addison White |
9 |
23:06 |
|
22:27 |
|
22:58 |
23:16 |
22:54 |
23:13 |
23:13 |
23:25 |
|
|
|
| 1,165 |
Sarah Roeder |
11 |
23:09 |
21:57 |
23:09 |
23:41 |
22:33 |
23:01 |
23:16 |
23:13 |
23:13 |
23:11 |
|
|
|
| 1,180 |
Piper Craig |
9 |
23:11 |
|
23:08 |
23:05 |
22:52 |
23:25 |
23:18 |
23:29 |
23:29 |
22:48 |
|
|
|
| 1,233 |
Lily Sargent |
11 |
23:19 |
22:45 |
23:12 |
|
|
23:27 |
23:08 |
23:51 |
23:51 |
22:53 |
|
|
|
|
Eleanor Henry |
10 |
23:38 |
23:07 |
23:33 |
23:18 |
23:48 |
27:38 |
23:24 |
24:41 |
24:41 |
23:26 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
49.3% |
18.4 |
440 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
5.8 |
6.6 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
4.0 |
2.7 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
| Regionals |
80.2% |
5.1 |
180 |
0.3 |
1.6 |
6.1 |
14.6 |
26.7 |
25.1 |
4.7 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
4.5 |
115 |
0.3 |
2.5 |
15.0 |
30.9 |
31.5 |
19.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Zoe Gebhart |
99.1% |
59.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
98.3% |
99.0% |
| Anissa Lammie |
57.2% |
115.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15.6% |
32.4% |
| Raegan Hissong |
49.4% |
160.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
2.9% |
| Aubrey Berger |
49.3% |
200.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Kate Evans |
49.3% |
201.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Ali Johnson |
49.3% |
204.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Kate Lux |
49.3% |
214.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Zoe Gebhart |
100% |
11.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.4 |
4.9 |
6.7 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
8.8 |
8.4 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
6.6 |
6.1 |
5.3 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Anissa Lammie |
100% |
29.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Raegan Hissong |
100% |
48.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Aubrey Berger |
100% |
68.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
100.0% |
99.5% |
| Kate Evans |
100% |
69.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
99.4% |
| Ali Johnson |
100% |
70.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
99.4% |
| Kate Lux |
100% |
77.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
97.4% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Zoe Gebhart |
5.5 |
|
0.1 |
1.4 |
16.1 |
20.9 |
22.4 |
18.5 |
9.0 |
4.7 |
2.9 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
| Anissa Lammie |
14.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.1 |
4.3 |
5.9 |
6.3 |
6.0 |
6.6 |
6.9 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
| Raegan Hissong |
25.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
| Aubrey Berger |
35.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
| Kate Evans |
35.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
| Ali Johnson |
36.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
| Kate Lux |
38.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
|
