All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Champ at the Amp |
John Cleland Early Bird (4k) |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Golden Bear Invitational |
XC Town Twilight |
Sagamore Conference |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/17 |
8/23 |
9/6 |
9/13 |
9/20 |
10/4 |
10/11 |
| Team Rating |
907 | |
848 |
954 |
1,121 |
1,044 |
919 |
1,161 |
964 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
848 |
905 |
942 |
934 |
844 |
862 |
899 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Champ at the Amp |
John Cleland Early Bird (4k) |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Golden Bear Invitational |
XC Town Twilight |
Sagamore Conference |
|---|
| 121 |
Penny Lamerson |
12 |
20:01 |
19:35 |
19:55 |
19:43 |
20:18 |
20:08 |
19:42 |
|
20:41 |
| 573 |
Alexis Lahrman |
10 |
21:46 |
|
21:53 |
21:39 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,001 |
Abbigail Riggs |
10 |
22:57 |
22:05 |
22:53 |
22:31 |
23:01 |
23:11 |
23:12 |
|
25:31 |
| 1,014 |
Claire Larson |
10 |
22:59 |
22:15 |
23:02 |
23:49 |
|
23:03 |
22:50 |
22:47 |
22:43 |
| 1,018 |
Sophia Kyker |
11 |
23:00 |
21:32 |
22:01 |
|
23:39 |
23:06 |
23:01 |
23:22 |
22:48 |
| 1,065 |
Haley Tiefel |
10 |
23:06 |
22:57 |
23:16 |
23:44 |
|
23:43 |
22:20 |
22:38 |
22:49 |
| 1,146 |
Audrie Cooper |
9 |
23:15 |
|
23:09 |
23:52 |
23:20 |
23:36 |
22:56 |
22:47 |
22:52 |
|
Charlotte Kleindl |
12 |
24:10 |
25:53 |
24:23 |
25:26 |
|
24:26 |
23:17 |
23:34 |
23:31 |
|
Jesuoteme Soteria" Udu |
12 |
24:19 |
24:17 |
24:09 |
24:26 |
|
26:25 |
23:43 |
25:50 |
23:48 |
|
Isabella Metheny |
11 |
24:25 |
23:33 |
24:56 |
25:11 |
|
24:56 |
23:56 |
24:07 |
23:53 |
|
Jillian Pollock |
9 |
24:26 |
|
25:16 |
24:47 |
24:11 |
24:19 |
23:43 |
|
|
|
Lyla Susong |
9 |
24:38 |
|
23:59 |
24:07 |
|
26:07 |
|
26:52 |
24:53 |
|
Raylee Washburn |
9 |
24:59 |
|
26:02 |
25:35 |
24:24 |
24:42 |
26:26 |
24:45 |
24:51 |
|
Amellia Spencer |
10 |
25:26 |
|
|
25:41 |
25:17 |
25:22 |
25:59 |
|
24:41 |
|
Marli Mcconnell |
12 |
25:28 |
26:14 |
25:01 |
24:48 |
25:29 |
27:25 |
|
26:10 |
25:18 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
8.0 |
209 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Penny Lamerson |
34.7% |
108.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
34.7% |
34.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Penny Lamerson |
100% |
28.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
4.4 |
4.0 |
4.5 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Alexis Lahrman |
100% |
115.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
13.7% |
| Abbigail Riggs |
60.1% |
166.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Claire Larson |
52.2% |
168.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Sophia Kyker |
50.0% |
169.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Haley Tiefel |
32.3% |
173.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Audrie Cooper |
12.5% |
180.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Penny Lamerson |
14.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
3.3 |
5.6 |
6.6 |
7.4 |
7.1 |
7.4 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
6.7 |
6.1 |
5.5 |
5.3 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
| Alexis Lahrman |
45.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Abbigail Riggs |
49.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Claire Larson |
49.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sophia Kyker |
49.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Haley Tiefel |
50.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Audrie Cooper |
51.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
