Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2024 - 2025 - 2026
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #17
Shelbyville Regional Rank #4
Noblesville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 18th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 7.0%
Advance to State Finals 85.0%
Advance to Regional 95.5%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference XC Town Twilight HSE JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
Date 8/30 9/6 9/13 9/20 9/27 10/4 10/6 10/18 10/25 11/1
Team Rating 316 319 336 910 399 306 331 881 275 332 359
Team Adjusted Rating 319 336 352 328 306 331 316 275 332 338
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference XC Town Twilight HSE JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
57  Jayde Stamm 11 19:19 19:17 19:18 19:28 19:07 19:24 19:13 19:05 19:43 19:19
168  Nelani Render 9 20:12 20:28 20:22 20:09 19:37 20:21 19:51 20:19 20:33
169  Ansley Applegate 12 20:12 19:00 20:06 20:43 20:11 19:51 19:55 20:07 20:46
183  Izzy Salinas 10 20:16 21:55 21:46 21:10 20:52 20:57 20:52 20:12 20:23 20:08
213  Kate Mumaw 11 20:23 20:04 20:48 20:27 21:02 21:16 20:56 20:13
248  Gretchen Graham 12 20:30 20:44 20:00 20:02 21:01 20:04 20:30 21:13 20:34 20:28
272  Addie Scott 11 20:36 21:22 20:32 20:30 20:39 20:43 20:43 20:15 20:50 21:20
444  Norah Mathes 10 21:18 21:14 21:24 21:18 21:18 21:03 21:42 20:51 22:32 21:10
688  Emmy Reeder 9 21:59 22:07 22:04 22:06 21:41 22:36 21:54 21:32
919  Haylen Kaiser 9 22:34 22:37 22:17 22:23 22:15 22:51 22:37 22:44
1,013  Grace Crawford 11 22:47 24:09 23:24 22:42 22:19 22:59 22:39 22:44
1,040  Olivia Ozimek 10 22:52 22:07 23:12 22:43 22:46 23:17 22:55 22:43 22:37
1,185  Kenley Johnson 11 23:12 22:17 22:41 23:34 23:44 23:35 22:40 22:54
1,239  Mabel Caughell 9 23:20 23:03 23:11 23:11 23:19 23:25 23:19 23:35
Anna Miller 11 23:51 22:17 24:33 24:10 24:13 24:48 22:22 22:35 23:51
Gabby Hopkins 9 23:51 23:23 23:38 23:45 25:03 23:51 24:01 23:42
Gwen Goller 9 24:06 23:28 23:25 23:40 24:40 24:22 24:29




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 85.0% 16.0 400 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.0 3.0 4.4 5.0 6.7 7.0 7.8 7.7 7.5 8.2 6.7 6.6 4.9 2.8 1.8 0.7 0.1
Regionals 95.5% 3.8 150 3.5 11.6 22.9 30.1 16.9 9.0 1.3 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.3 94 4.2 16.2 42.0 21.7 11.4 4.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jayde Stamm 99.5% 58.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 96.7% 99.1%
Nelani Render 85.1% 145.8 0.3% 11.8%
Ansley Applegate 85.1% 146.1 0.1% 11.4%
Izzy Salinas 85.1% 155.7 0.3% 7.0%
Kate Mumaw 85.0% 170.9 0.0% 2.8%
Gretchen Graham 85.0% 182.7 0.0% 1.2%
Addie Scott 85.0% 192.2 0.0% 0.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jayde Stamm 100% 11.1 0.1 0.6 2.3 5.2 7.3 7.6 8.5 8.8 9.2 7.7 7.3 6.9 6.1 4.6 4.1 3.4 2.6 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 100.0% 100.0%
Nelani Render 100% 38.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.7 1.5 2.1 100.0% 100.0%
Ansley Applegate 100% 38.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.7 100.0% 100.0%
Izzy Salinas 100% 43.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 1.1 1.2 100.0% 100.0%
Kate Mumaw 100% 49.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Gretchen Graham 100% 54.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Addie Scott 100% 60.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jayde Stamm 5.4 0.2 1.6 17.4 22.6 21.5 17.0 8.8 4.6 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Nelani Render 20.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.6 2.5 3.5 3.3 4.0 4.0 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.0 6.1 5.5 5.0 5.0 5.3 4.8
Ansley Applegate 20.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.5 2.5 3.3 4.1 4.4 4.3 4.6 4.9 5.0 5.0 6.1 5.8 5.6 5.2 4.9 4.5
Izzy Salinas 22.6 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.0 2.5 2.7 3.1 4.0 4.4 4.4 4.2 5.5 4.7 5.5 5.2 5.3 5.2
Kate Mumaw 26.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.8 2.9 3.2 4.2 4.0 5.0 5.1 6.0
Gretchen Graham 29.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.9 3.0 3.4 3.7 3.9
Addie Scott 31.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.9