North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2024 - 2025 - 2026
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State Rank #13
Brownsburg Regional Rank #5
North Central (Indpls) Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 13th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 17.6%
Advance to State Finals 89.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff John Cleland Early Bird (4k) Marion County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference XC Town Twilight North Central JV North Central (Indpls) Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
Date 8/17 8/23 8/30 9/6 9/13 9/13 9/20 9/27 10/4 10/4 10/18 10/25 11/1
Team Rating 278 272 357 269 346 273 670 339 304 393 823 262 312
Team Adjusted Rating 272 287 269 272 245 278 339 304 296 278 261 312
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff John Cleland Early Bird (4k) Marion County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference XC Town Twilight North Central JV North Central (Indpls) Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
31  Kelsey Rehmel 12 18:47 18:28 18:24 18:48 18:47 17:56 18:12 18:59 18:53 19:05 19:17
53  Elizabeth Rocchio 12 19:15 19:14 20:35 19:24 19:29 19:46 21:01 19:44 19:41 18:56 19:30 20:10
102  Aislinn Biesecker 10 19:48 19:50 19:35 20:17 19:24 19:29 19:33 19:34 19:42 19:54 19:56 19:46 20:16
258  Valerie Fernhaber 11 20:31 20:24 20:07 20:36 20:20 20:40 20:32 20:23 20:36 21:03 20:11 20:53
306  Isabella Ewer 10 20:45 20:58 20:57 20:24 20:50 20:43 20:08 21:05 21:00 20:34 22:42
329  Ruby Brown 11 20:53 20:02 21:22 20:34 21:05 20:55 21:17 20:55 20:47 20:38 20:46 20:43
466  Tatum Houle 12 21:21 21:27 20:11 21:10 21:36 21:00 21:20 21:36 21:41 21:12
475  Eleanor Kirchhoff 10 21:23 21:29 24:08 21:17 21:01 21:29 23:33 25:17 21:19 21:40
478  Betty Gebreananya 11 21:24 22:00 20:50 20:51 21:12 21:45 21:12 20:58 21:47 22:25
489  Charlotte Mallon 12 21:26 22:09 23:11 22:00 21:09 21:46 21:10 21:20 21:26
496  Adyme Welderufael 9 21:27 21:00 21:44 21:39 21:41 21:14 21:39 21:14 21:06 21:33
661  Marin Matthews 9 21:55 23:34 21:54 21:56 22:21 21:22 22:00 22:11 21:55 21:25
694  Adrienne Spacey 10 22:00 21:37 21:25 21:44 22:09 21:45 22:08 22:15 21:47 22:11
728  Megan Smith 10 22:06 21:55 21:55 22:31 22:19 21:54 21:38 22:07
882  Julia Eynon 12 22:27 22:45 22:23 23:09 23:03 22:28 22:18 22:32 22:04 22:08
938  Stella Andrews 9 22:37 22:24 22:40 22:42 22:34 21:55 22:58 22:49 22:24
1,086  Lucy Phillips 11 22:59 22:23 23:00 22:56 23:53 22:26 22:50
1,188  Larkin Phillips 9 23:12 23:32 22:55 22:59 22:44 23:10 23:07 23:47
1,228  Mia Hurrle 11 23:18 24:07 23:27 23:12 22:41
1,255  Stella Sermersheim 10 23:22 21:46 23:45 23:40 23:36 23:20 23:00 23:02
Annabell Jameson 10 23:34 22:49 22:07 23:51 22:28 23:55 24:03
Lyra Schmid 9 23:38 23:30 23:15 24:39 23:45 23:45 23:02
Emma Bell 9 23:38 23:53 23:38 23:27 23:32 23:51 23:10 23:43
Sophia Rodeheffer 9 23:38 23:46 23:35 24:03 23:15 23:31 23:06 24:05
Georgia Colmen 11 23:51 22:33 23:10 23:43 24:39
Eliana Downey 10 24:17 23:00 25:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 89.0% 13.1 353 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.0 4.8 7.4 9.3 11.3 11.7 11.2 8.4 7.8 5.1 3.3 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 4.2 143 5.3 18.3 45.2 20.2 8.8 2.0 0.2
Sectionals 100% 3.7 85 5.1 16.4 78.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelsey Rehmel 100% 30.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.4 100.0% 100.0%
Elizabeth Rocchio 100.0% 54.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 99.8% 100.0%
Aislinn Biesecker 96.2% 100.7 65.1% 91.2%
Valerie Fernhaber 89.0% 184.9 0.0% 8.2%
Isabella Ewer 89.0% 205.7 0.0% 1.4%
Ruby Brown 89.0% 214.3 0.0% 0.3%
Tatum Houle 89.0% 232.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelsey Rehmel 100% 7.7 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.7 11.3 11.7 12.9 12.6 11.3 9.8 8.0 5.9 4.4 3.0 2.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Elizabeth Rocchio 100% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.9 2.6 3.4 5.0 6.5 8.9 9.7 11.6 9.7 10.1 8.1 7.3 4.8 3.0 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.5 100.0%
Aislinn Biesecker 100% 24.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.9 2.6 4.1 5.1 6.7 7.5 7.8 6.6 7.2 100.0%
Valerie Fernhaber 100% 48.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Isabella Ewer 100% 57.7 100.0%
Ruby Brown 100% 63.0 100.0%
Tatum Houle 100% 83.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelsey Rehmel 5.2 0.2 0.6 1.5 4.9 37.9 25.1 13.7 8.9 4.1 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
Elizabeth Rocchio 9.3 0.0 0.5 5.0 10.0 12.3 15.9 18.8 15.9 10.7 5.5 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Aislinn Biesecker 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.3 7.7 14.4 12.6 13.3 11.7 9.5 8.1 5.2 4.4 2.8 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.4
Valerie Fernhaber 25.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.3 2.0 2.9 3.9 5.1 6.7 8.8 11.6
Isabella Ewer 28.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.1 2.4 3.0 5.0
Ruby Brown 29.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.8
Tatum Houle 33.8 0.0