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State Rank #118
Mater Dei Regional Rank #21
Jasper Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 20th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 99.8%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Harrier Invite Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Invitational Patriot Invitational South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional Mater Dei Regional
Date 8/17 8/23 8/30 9/4 9/13 9/20 9/27 10/11 10/18 10/25
Team Rating 1,060 1,145 1,196 1,089 1,173 1,013 1,085 1,125 1,009 1,140 1,227
Team Adjusted Rating 1,048 1,053 1,089 1,017 1,013 1,085 1,125 1,009 1,140 1,183
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Harrier Invite Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Invitational Patriot Invitational South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional Mater Dei Regional
461  Kylee Weathers 12 21:21 21:51 22:28 21:37 21:32 21:47 22:28 21:38 21:23 21:27 22:19 21:09
590  Alyssa MCutchan 11 21:42 20:48 21:22 21:28 21:16 21:39 22:29 21:45 21:52 23:04
911  Emiley Riker 11 22:32 21:38 21:41 22:56 21:51 21:35 22:45 23:11 21:54 22:55 22:51
Audrey Whitehead 9 23:55 24:39 23:25 23:46 23:21 23:41 23:37 23:28 23:58 24:16 24:58
Kylie Meyer 11 23:58 23:45 24:47 24:26 24:07 23:39 24:25 24:00 23:32 23:34
Eva Cox 10 25:17 25:03 30:54 25:49 27:05 24:35 25:42 26:41 25:08 25:04 24:52 25:26
Avery Adams 10 25:54 27:12 28:29 26:03 25:05 25:24 25:39 25:51 25:41 27:14 28:22
Channing Sorgius 10 26:54 26:15 27:28 26:35 26:48 29:06




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 99.8% 19.6 464 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.3 7.0 17.6 58.9 9.2 1.6
Sectionals 100% 3.1 112 7.5 80.6 10.3 1.4 0.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kylee Weathers 0.0% 227.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kylee Weathers 100% 66.1 100.0% 100.0%
Alyssa MCutchan 100% 78.5 100.0% 100.0%
Emiley Riker 100% 111.6 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kylee Weathers 8.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 2.9 8.7 17.9 22.0 21.5 16.3 6.3 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0
Alyssa MCutchan 11.5 0.1 0.4 2.0 5.1 11.0 19.4 26.2 17.4 9.1 4.6 2.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Emiley Riker 19.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 4.1 6.7 8.4 10.0 12.0 12.1 10.8 10.1 7.8 7.0 3.9