All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Larry James Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conf. |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/23 |
8/30 |
9/6 |
9/13 |
9/20 |
9/27 |
10/4 |
| Team Rating |
345 | |
435 |
361 |
354 |
391 |
306 |
358 |
319 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
435 |
361 |
354 |
391 |
306 |
358 |
319 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Larry James Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conf. |
|---|
| 45 |
Whitney Anderson |
11 |
19:04 |
18:23 |
20:08 |
19:01 |
19:00 |
18:37 |
18:54 |
19:08 |
19:33 |
| 156 |
Ena Gilliana |
12 |
20:13 |
19:26 |
20:27 |
20:50 |
20:56 |
19:58 |
20:00 |
20:04 |
19:56 |
| 214 |
Lydia Becker |
12 |
20:29 |
20:50 |
20:41 |
20:32 |
20:28 |
20:46 |
20:07 |
20:09 |
20:25 |
| 233 |
Eavan Daly |
11 |
20:35 |
19:50 |
20:44 |
20:17 |
20:16 |
21:14 |
20:41 |
21:43 |
20:08 |
| 235 |
Amber Johnson |
11 |
20:35 |
20:51 |
20:54 |
20:34 |
20:32 |
20:56 |
20:14 |
20:26 |
20:22 |
| 294 |
Ingrid Danger |
12 |
20:52 |
20:43 |
|
20:47 |
20:48 |
21:04 |
20:53 |
|
|
| 353 |
Sydney Herb |
9 |
21:06 |
|
20:57 |
|
21:14 |
21:14 |
21:04 |
21:24 |
20:39 |
| 574 |
Naia Nikitaras |
11 |
21:46 |
21:52 |
21:40 |
21:55 |
21:46 |
22:16 |
21:48 |
21:13 |
21:31 |
| 651 |
Sophia Swigon |
11 |
22:00 |
|
22:04 |
21:35 |
21:59 |
22:24 |
22:16 |
21:13 |
22:13 |
| 702 |
Allison Martin |
12 |
22:08 |
22:26 |
21:49 |
22:07 |
23:16 |
21:51 |
22:03 |
21:58 |
22:11 |
| 719 |
Caroline Dyer |
11 |
22:11 |
|
22:57 |
22:34 |
21:50 |
23:10 |
21:48 |
21:54 |
21:48 |
| 745 |
Maura Lazar |
12 |
22:15 |
22:17 |
22:31 |
21:56 |
22:10 |
22:19 |
22:01 |
22:09 |
22:20 |
| 849 |
Eleanor Steiner |
9 |
22:31 |
|
22:35 |
22:16 |
22:49 |
22:24 |
22:35 |
22:22 |
22:32 |
| 903 |
Emerson Svilar |
11 |
22:40 |
21:44 |
22:03 |
22:29 |
22:28 |
22:26 |
23:25 |
23:22 |
23:05 |
| 1,143 |
Violet Furuness |
9 |
23:14 |
|
23:18 |
23:09 |
23:28 |
24:05 |
22:39 |
22:55 |
23:14 |
| 1,226 |
Beatrix Medved |
9 |
23:26 |
|
24:05 |
23:18 |
24:08 |
23:38 |
23:00 |
22:54 |
23:10 |
|
Lana Braik |
10 |
23:40 |
|
23:51 |
23:51 |
23:34 |
|
23:23 |
23:42 |
23:37 |
|
Opal Smith |
11 |
23:44 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
23:56 |
23:33 |
|
Sophia Jobbe |
10 |
23:55 |
|
23:44 |
23:53 |
23:53 |
24:45 |
23:43 |
23:57 |
23:39 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
91.9% |
17.8 |
433 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
4.3 |
5.6 |
6.4 |
8.1 |
9.1 |
8.6 |
9.0 |
9.3 |
8.2 |
7.5 |
5.3 |
2.4 |
0.6 |
| Regionals |
100% |
3.7 |
145 |
0.3 |
2.2 |
54.8 |
22.6 |
11.9 |
5.3 |
2.2 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.5 |
57 |
65.6 |
23.5 |
9.1 |
1.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Whitney Anderson |
100% |
42.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Ena Gilliana |
92.6% |
140.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.6% |
57.4% |
| Lydia Becker |
91.9% |
168.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
21.5% |
| Eavan Daly |
91.9% |
178.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
12.9% |
| Amber Johnson |
91.9% |
179.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
12.3% |
| Ingrid Danger |
91.9% |
202.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.8% |
| Sydney Herb |
91.9% |
216.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Whitney Anderson |
100% |
8.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
3.3 |
7.8 |
13.4 |
18.4 |
27.5 |
15.6 |
6.6 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ena Gilliana |
100% |
27.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Lydia Becker |
100% |
38.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Eavan Daly |
100% |
42.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Amber Johnson |
100% |
43.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Ingrid Danger |
100% |
56.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sydney Herb |
100% |
68.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Whitney Anderson |
1.0 |
84.1 |
11.9 |
3.1 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ena Gilliana |
8.7 |
|
0.4 |
1.3 |
3.9 |
7.8 |
9.2 |
9.8 |
10.1 |
10.2 |
8.7 |
8.4 |
7.8 |
6.1 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
2.1 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
| Lydia Becker |
13.9 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
5.3 |
6.8 |
7.6 |
8.3 |
8.4 |
8.1 |
7.9 |
7.8 |
7.5 |
6.3 |
4.7 |
3.1 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
| Eavan Daly |
16.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.4 |
7.1 |
7.6 |
9.1 |
8.9 |
10.0 |
8.8 |
7.1 |
5.4 |
3.9 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
| Amber Johnson |
16.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
4.3 |
5.1 |
6.5 |
7.1 |
8.3 |
8.2 |
8.9 |
8.8 |
8.4 |
7.5 |
5.2 |
4.3 |
2.8 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
| Ingrid Danger |
20.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
4.5 |
6.0 |
8.3 |
9.6 |
11.8 |
11.1 |
9.4 |
8.4 |
7.0 |
| Sydney Herb |
24.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
2.6 |
4.2 |
5.3 |
7.5 |
9.9 |
11.1 |
11.6 |
|
