All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Marion Invitational |
Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/30 |
9/6 |
9/13 |
9/20 |
9/27 |
10/4 |
10/11 |
10/18 |
10/25 |
| Team Rating |
224 | |
200 |
218 |
480 |
237 |
200 |
245 |
685 |
251 |
207 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
200 |
218 |
224 |
237 |
200 |
245 |
224 |
251 |
207 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
Marion Invitational |
Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
|---|
| 13 |
Alivia Lozier |
11 |
18:25 |
18:24 |
18:14 |
18:30 |
|
18:12 |
18:19 |
18:50 |
|
18:17 |
18:26 |
| 81 |
Jenna Burns |
9 |
19:37 |
|
19:28 |
19:27 |
|
19:46 |
19:37 |
19:35 |
|
20:03 |
19:26 |
| 107 |
Emma Pitney |
9 |
19:51 |
|
19:52 |
19:27 |
|
20:08 |
19:38 |
19:44 |
|
20:06 |
19:54 |
| 116 |
MacKenna Condon |
10 |
19:55 |
19:49 |
19:48 |
20:08 |
|
19:53 |
19:35 |
20:16 |
|
20:07 |
19:45 |
| 120 |
Jordyn Landrum |
12 |
19:58 |
20:36 |
19:39 |
20:05 |
|
19:56 |
19:55 |
20:12 |
|
19:47 |
19:50 |
| 200 |
Gianna Ferreri |
12 |
20:21 |
20:09 |
19:54 |
21:07 |
|
20:28 |
20:14 |
20:13 |
|
20:21 |
20:25 |
| 202 |
Ella Bozarth |
11 |
20:22 |
20:27 |
20:26 |
20:15 |
20:22 |
20:55 |
20:01 |
20:06 |
|
20:25 |
20:20 |
| 272 |
Sam Foster |
10 |
20:37 |
20:10 |
21:46 |
20:57 |
20:27 |
20:30 |
20:51 |
20:30 |
|
|
|
| 280 |
Ella Lidskin |
9 |
20:39 |
|
|
|
21:00 |
20:30 |
20:22 |
20:55 |
20:28 |
|
|
| 282 |
Sam Plummer |
11 |
20:40 |
21:25 |
20:45 |
20:23 |
20:52 |
20:37 |
20:19 |
20:43 |
22:15 |
|
|
| 403 |
Lyla Osborn |
11 |
21:11 |
21:49 |
21:13 |
21:05 |
21:02 |
21:15 |
20:57 |
21:09 |
21:12 |
|
|
| 581 |
Sofia Grisel |
9 |
21:41 |
|
22:08 |
22:02 |
21:50 |
22:08 |
21:17 |
21:02 |
21:11 |
|
|
| 648 |
Carly Davis |
10 |
21:53 |
20:20 |
|
|
22:03 |
21:29 |
|
22:50 |
|
|
|
| 667 |
Maggie Naas |
11 |
21:56 |
20:48 |
21:58 |
|
22:19 |
|
|
21:46 |
|
|
|
| 713 |
Vivienne Lyon |
10 |
22:03 |
21:59 |
21:25 |
21:51 |
23:15 |
|
23:28 |
21:44 |
22:16 |
|
|
| 714 |
Izzy McCulloch |
12 |
22:03 |
21:52 |
22:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 752 |
Cameron Goodwin |
10 |
22:09 |
|
22:09 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 757 |
Claudia Southworth |
11 |
22:10 |
21:55 |
22:10 |
22:32 |
22:18 |
21:25 |
22:14 |
22:05 |
22:06 |
|
|
| 924 |
Sylvia O'Neill |
9 |
22:33 |
|
|
22:42 |
22:17 |
|
|
22:23 |
22:43 |
|
|
| 979 |
Elle Meyers |
10 |
22:41 |
|
22:48 |
23:07 |
22:10 |
22:36 |
23:16 |
22:25 |
22:17 |
|
|
| 1,125 |
Delaney Curtis |
12 |
23:03 |
23:48 |
22:50 |
22:49 |
22:31 |
|
23:16 |
24:52 |
23:29 |
|
|
| 1,182 |
Haley Pitney |
11 |
23:11 |
|
24:03 |
23:21 |
23:03 |
23:23 |
23:01 |
23:03 |
22:28 |
|
|
| 1,223 |
Ava Brandau |
12 |
23:17 |
23:33 |
23:56 |
22:47 |
23:35 |
22:42 |
22:55 |
23:43 |
23:07 |
|
|
| 1,262 |
Norah Lahr |
9 |
23:23 |
|
23:18 |
23:46 |
23:26 |
|
22:58 |
23:49 |
22:58 |
|
|
|
Annalisa Schuth |
11 |
23:31 |
|
23:35 |
23:27 |
23:27 |
23:23 |
23:42 |
23:05 |
23:48 |
|
|
|
Jade Keefer |
11 |
23:42 |
|
23:35 |
23:31 |
23:53 |
23:35 |
23:47 |
23:36 |
23:48 |
|
|
|
Lauren Zelik |
9 |
23:59 |
|
23:35 |
24:50 |
23:41 |
24:24 |
23:54 |
23:49 |
23:52 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
99.9% |
7.9 |
265 |
|
0.6 |
1.3 |
4.6 |
10.6 |
14.7 |
18.9 |
14.9 |
10.7 |
8.3 |
5.0 |
3.7 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.4 |
89 |
69.0 |
21.7 |
6.9 |
2.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.3 |
53 |
72.7 |
21.4 |
4.6 |
1.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alivia Lozier |
100% |
14.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
5.8 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Jenna Burns |
99.9% |
81.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0% |
75.7% |
| Emma Pitney |
99.9% |
105.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
42.2% |
| MacKenna Condon |
99.9% |
115.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
31.9% |
| Jordyn Landrum |
99.9% |
118.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
26.7% |
| Gianna Ferreri |
99.9% |
166.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
2.0% |
| Ella Bozarth |
99.9% |
169.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alivia Lozier |
100% |
2.7 |
0.2 |
3.3 |
63.7 |
20.6 |
8.1 |
2.7 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jenna Burns |
100% |
18.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
5.2 |
7.1 |
7.8 |
6.9 |
6.7 |
5.3 |
6.8 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Emma Pitney |
100% |
25.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
6.7 |
5.0 |
4.6 |
5.7 |
4.9 |
|
100.0% |
| MacKenna Condon |
100% |
27.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
4.4 |
5.9 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Jordyn Landrum |
100% |
29.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Gianna Ferreri |
100% |
48.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Ella Bozarth |
100% |
49.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alivia Lozier |
1.6 |
2.3 |
74.7 |
20.5 |
2.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jenna Burns |
7.7 |
|
|
0.3 |
1.4 |
4.5 |
10.3 |
17.0 |
24.8 |
13.9 |
8.1 |
6.0 |
4.0 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
| Emma Pitney |
10.9 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
3.3 |
9.0 |
12.0 |
13.8 |
11.0 |
8.2 |
7.2 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
3.6 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
| MacKenna Condon |
12.5 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.5 |
5.2 |
8.0 |
10.6 |
10.7 |
8.6 |
7.8 |
6.6 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
| Jordyn Landrum |
13.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
3.3 |
7.1 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
7.9 |
8.1 |
7.0 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
5.6 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
| Gianna Ferreri |
24.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
6.0 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
| Ella Bozarth |
25.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
5.7 |
|
