Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
71 Ohio 100.0%   13   26 - 7 11 - 5 26 - 7 11 - 5 +6.9      +1.8 125 +5.1 38 69.6 120 +8.9 53 +5.4 3
73 Akron 2.5%   21 - 11 13 - 3 21 - 11 13 - 3 +6.8      +3.2 89 +3.6 72 71.4 81 +6.6 79 +9.8 1
103 Buffalo 0.0%   18 - 10 12 - 4 18 - 10 12 - 4 +4.7      +2.7 102 +2.0 115 72.8 54 +5.9 87 +7.7 2
116 Kent St. 0.0%   20 - 11 10 - 6 20 - 11 10 - 6 +3.6      +2.2 112 +1.4 132 71.4 83 +4.2 107 +4.3 4
126 Bowling Green 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 7 15 - 15 9 - 7 +2.8      +0.5 154 +2.3 107 65.3 229 +1.1 155 +2.9 5
175 Western Michigan 0.0%   13 - 20 6 - 10 13 - 20 6 - 10 -0.5      +1.7 126 -2.2 242 68.2 149 -2.3 201 -5.3 10
189 Miami (OH) 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 11 8 - 21 5 - 11 -1.5      +0.5 153 -2.0 233 56.5 336 -4.4 241 -3.7 8
197 Toledo 0.0%   16 - 16 7 - 9 16 - 16 7 - 9 -1.9      +0.8 149 -2.7 259 68.7 133 -2.5 206 -3.1 7
201 Ball St. 0.0%   14 - 15 6 - 10 14 - 15 6 - 10 -1.9      -1.3 213 -0.6 187 60.7 308 -3.2 219 -5.1 9
247 Central Michigan 0.0%   10 - 21 5 - 11 10 - 21 5 - 11 -5.0      -3.0 253 -2.0 232 65.5 224 -5.3 252 -6.2 11
250 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   13 - 18 9 - 7 13 - 18 9 - 7 -5.2      -8.2 323 +3.0 86 56.4 337 -3.0 211 +0.6 6
317 Northern Illinois 0.0%   4 - 25 3 - 13 4 - 25 3 - 13 -11.9      -7.6 316 -4.3 283 61.9 291 -12.0 317 -9.4 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Ohio 3.0 100.0
Akron 1.0 100.0
Buffalo 2.0 100.0
Kent St. 4.0 100.0
Bowling Green 5.0 100.0
Western Michigan 8.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 10.0 100.0
Toledo 7.0 100.0
Ball St. 8.0 100.0
Central Michigan 10.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 5.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Ohio 11 - 5 100.0
Akron 13 - 3 100.0
Buffalo 12 - 4 100.0
Kent St. 10 - 6 100.0
Bowling Green 9 - 7 100.0
Western Michigan 6 - 10 100.0
Miami (OH) 5 - 11 100.0
Toledo 7 - 9 100.0
Ball St. 6 - 10 100.0
Central Michigan 5 - 11 100.0
Eastern Michigan 9 - 7 100.0
Northern Illinois 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Ohio
Akron 100.0% 100.0
Buffalo
Kent St.
Bowling Green
Western Michigan
Miami (OH)
Toledo
Ball St.
Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan
Northern Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Ohio 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.1 3.2 40.3 49.6 6.8 0.0
Akron 2.5% 0.0% 2.5% 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.4 97.5 2.5%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Ohio 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 25.1% 7.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Akron 2.5% 2.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 97.4 2.6
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 98.6 1.4
2nd Round 25.3% 0.3 74.7 25.3 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 7.2% 0.1 92.8 7.2 0.0
Elite Eight 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0