Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio
Mid-American
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#71
Expected Predictive Rating+8.9#53
Pace69.6#120
Improvement-0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#125
Improvement+0.1#164

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#38
Improvement-0.3#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round25.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 334   Tennessee Martin W 74-65 98%     1 - 0 -8.9 -10.3 +1.2
  Nov 15, 2011 102   Lamar W 85-78 OT 70%     2 - 0 +8.3 +1.4 +6.0
  Nov 20, 2011 193   Arkansas St. W 69-54 87%     3 - 0 +9.9 -7.1 +17.1
  Nov 25, 2011 19   @ Louisville L 54-59 18%     3 - 1 +11.5 +6.9 +3.4
  Nov 30, 2011 76   @ Marshall W 70-68 38%     4 - 1 +12.1 +5.2 +7.0
  Dec 03, 2011 266   Morgan St. W 61-53 93%     5 - 1 -1.6 -19.4 +17.4
  Dec 07, 2011 153   @ Oakland W 84-82 59%     6 - 1 +6.6 -3.4 +9.7
  Dec 10, 2011 286   @ Portland W 72-54 84%     7 - 1 +14.1 -6.4 +19.7
  Dec 17, 2011 214   @ Wright St. W 82-54 73%     8 - 1 +28.6 +11.0 +16.8
  Dec 20, 2011 89   @ Northern Iowa W 76-59 42%     9 - 1 +25.9 +14.0 +13.2
  Dec 23, 2011 303   N.C. A&T W 82-66 96%     10 - 1 +3.3 +6.1 -2.6
  Dec 30, 2011 314   Kennesaw St. W 71-63 97%     11 - 1 -6.8 -4.8 -1.2
  Jan 02, 2012 148   Robert Morris L 67-70 80%     11 - 2 -5.0 -13.8 +9.0
  Jan 07, 2012 126   @ Bowling Green L 57-67 52%     11 - 3 0 - 1 -3.8 -11.0 +7.0
  Jan 11, 2012 103   Buffalo W 60-52 70%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +9.3 -14.5 +23.5
  Jan 14, 2012 73   @ Akron L 63-68 37%     12 - 4 1 - 2 +5.2 -4.9 +10.1
  Jan 18, 2012 116   Kent St. W 87-65 74%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +22.2 +15.2 +7.3
  Jan 21, 2012 189   Miami (OH) W 69-65 86%     14 - 4 3 - 2 -0.9 +1.9 -2.3
  Jan 25, 2012 175   Western Michigan W 56-51 84%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +1.1 -16.2 +17.7
  Jan 28, 2012 201   Ball St. W 59-55 87%     16 - 4 5 - 2 -1.3 -9.8 +8.9
  Feb 01, 2012 317   @ Northern Illinois W 67-58 92%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +0.5 -4.0 +5.1
  Feb 04, 2012 247   Central Michigan W 68-42 92%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +17.6 -2.5 +22.4
  Feb 08, 2012 197   @ Toledo L 73-77 70%     18 - 5 7 - 3 -2.5 -2.3 -0.1
  Feb 11, 2012 250   @ Eastern Michigan L 55-68 79%     18 - 6 7 - 4 -14.8 -6.7 -9.6
  Feb 15, 2012 126   Bowling Green W 72-59 76%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +12.4 +2.0 +10.8
  Feb 18, 2012 122   UNC Asheville W 81-62 75%     20 - 6 +18.7 -2.8 +19.8
  Feb 22, 2012 103   @ Buffalo W 88-77 45%     21 - 6 9 - 4 +19.1 +14.8 +3.8
  Feb 26, 2012 73   Akron W 85-61 63%     22 - 6 10 - 4 +27.4 +15.7 +12.1
  Feb 29, 2012 116   @ Kent St. L 61-68 50%     22 - 7 10 - 5 +0.0 -12.7 +13.1
  Mar 03, 2012 189   @ Miami (OH) W 63-54 68%     23 - 7 11 - 5 +10.9 -2.7 +14.6
  Mar 08, 2012 197   Toledo W 65-57 80%     24 - 7 +6.1 -4.1 +11.0
  Mar 09, 2012 103   Buffalo W 77-74 58%     25 - 7 +7.7 +11.7 -3.8
  Mar 10, 2012 73   Akron W 64-63 50%     26 - 7 +7.8 +7.3 +0.7
Projected Record 26.0 - 7.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.6 0.1 3.2 40.3 49.6 6.8 0.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.6 0.1 3.2 40.3 49.6 6.8 0.0