Pre-tourney Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#103
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#87
Pace72.8#54
Improvement-1.8#238

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#102
Improvement+2.5#54

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#115
Improvement-4.3#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 315   St. Peter's W 72-65 96%     1 - 0 -7.9 -1.8 -5.8
  Nov 16, 2011 204   Cornell W 68-59 83%     2 - 0 +3.6 -8.6 +11.7
  Nov 19, 2011 99   @ Princeton L 53-61 36%     2 - 1 +0.3 -16.5 +16.9
  Nov 22, 2011 328   Canisius W 94-59 96%     3 - 1 +18.8 +2.3 +12.6
  Nov 30, 2011 65   @ Dayton W 84-55 28%     4 - 1 +39.8 +13.4 +26.4
  Dec 03, 2011 57   St. Bonaventure L 60-66 50%     4 - 2 -1.3 -10.0 +8.5
  Dec 07, 2011 244   @ Niagara W 82-74 72%     5 - 2 +6.6 +5.3 +1.3
  Dec 10, 2011 169   Youngstown St. W 80-72 78%     6 - 2 +4.4 -4.5 +8.1
  Dec 20, 2011 45   @ BYU L 78-93 24%     6 - 3 -2.8 +3.7 -4.7
  Dec 28, 2011 35   @ Temple L 85-87 OT 19%     6 - 4 +12.0 +2.0 +10.4
  Jan 07, 2012 116   Kent St. W 66-65 67%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +1.2 -2.2 +3.5
  Jan 11, 2012 71   @ Ohio L 52-60 30%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +2.3 -15.8 +18.3
  Jan 14, 2012 189   @ Miami (OH) L 51-52 61%     7 - 6 1 - 2 +0.9 -14.9 +15.7
  Jan 18, 2012 73   Akron W 82-70 55%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +15.4 +5.3 +9.2
  Jan 21, 2012 126   @ Bowling Green W 68-66 44%     9 - 6 3 - 2 +8.2 +0.9 +7.4
  Jan 24, 2012 250   Eastern Michigan W 65-47 89%     10 - 6 4 - 2 +9.4 +3.6 +8.6
  Jan 28, 2012 317   @ Northern Illinois W 74-59 89%     11 - 6 5 - 2 +6.5 -3.5 +9.6
  Feb 01, 2012 201   Ball St. W 73-57 83%     12 - 6 6 - 2 +10.7 +3.8 +8.2
  Feb 04, 2012 197   @ Toledo W 72-65 62%     13 - 6 7 - 2 +8.5 -0.7 +9.3
  Feb 08, 2012 247   @ Central Michigan W 66-62 73%     14 - 6 8 - 2 +2.4 -3.6 +6.2
  Feb 11, 2012 175   Western Michigan W 59-57 79%     15 - 6 9 - 2 -1.9 -12.0 +10.3
  Feb 14, 2012 116   @ Kent St. L 71-76 41%     15 - 7 9 - 3 +2.0 +0.0 +2.0
  Feb 18, 2012 60   @ South Dakota St. L 65-86 27%     15 - 8 -9.8 -5.9 -4.0
  Feb 22, 2012 71   Ohio L 77-88 55%     15 - 9 9 - 4 -7.6 +4.0 -11.0
  Feb 25, 2012 189   Miami (OH) W 84-74 82%     16 - 9 10 - 4 +5.1 +10.6 -5.2
  Feb 29, 2012 73   @ Akron W 74-70 30%     17 - 9 11 - 4 +14.2 +8.7 +5.7
  Mar 03, 2012 126   Bowling Green W 68-64 69%     18 - 9 12 - 4 +3.4 +3.0 +0.9
  Mar 09, 2012 71   Ohio L 74-77 42%     18 - 10 +3.9 +11.6 -7.9
Projected Record 18.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%