Pre-tourney Rankings
Toledo
Mid-American
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#197
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#206
Pace68.7#133
Improvement+2.3#80

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#149
Improvement+1.4#92

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#259
Improvement+0.9#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2011 259   Texas St. L 91-94 65%     0 - 1 -8.8 +5.6 -14.1
  Nov 19, 2011 147   South Carolina Upstate W 75-70 37%     1 - 1 +6.4 +5.4 +1.1
  Nov 20, 2011 310   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 64-54 71%     2 - 1 +2.5 -11.2 +13.7
  Nov 26, 2011 280   Illinois-Chicago W 82-67 79%     3 - 1 +4.7 -6.0 +8.9
  Nov 30, 2011 236   UNC Wilmington W 75-73 72%     4 - 1 -5.8 +2.2 -7.9
  Dec 03, 2011 332   @ Chicago St. W 73-61 81%     5 - 1 +1.0 -2.0 +3.1
  Dec 07, 2011 35   Temple L 58-77 19%     5 - 2 -11.8 -15.1 +3.7
  Dec 10, 2011 275   Loyola Chicago L 55-57 78%     5 - 3 -12.0 -13.7 +1.4
  Dec 17, 2011 169   Youngstown St. W 86-77 56%     6 - 3 +5.4 +1.8 +2.9
  Dec 20, 2011 196   Norfolk St. L 70-72 63%     6 - 4 -7.3 -6.4 -0.8
  Dec 22, 2011 178   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 80-83 33%     6 - 5 -0.3 +2.1 -2.3
  Dec 28, 2011 88   Cleveland St. L 64-72 35%     6 - 6 -5.9 -5.3 -0.7
  Jan 07, 2012 247   @ Central Michigan L 69-85 49%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -17.6 -3.8 -13.8
  Jan 10, 2012 201   Ball St. L 68-70 63%     6 - 8 0 - 2 -7.3 -4.9 -2.5
  Jan 14, 2012 175   @ Western Michigan L 52-74 32%     6 - 9 0 - 3 -19.1 -17.6 -3.0
  Jan 18, 2012 317   Northern Illinois W 71-41 89%     7 - 9 1 - 3 +14.7 -0.2 +18.1
  Jan 21, 2012 250   @ Eastern Michigan L 38-41 50%     7 - 10 1 - 4 -4.8 -22.9 +17.5
  Jan 25, 2012 189   @ Miami (OH) W 63-61 36%     8 - 10 2 - 4 +3.9 -0.7 +4.9
  Jan 28, 2012 116   Kent St. L 61-77 42%     8 - 11 2 - 5 -15.8 -14.1 -1.3
  Feb 01, 2012 73   @ Akron L 72-86 13%     8 - 12 2 - 6 -3.8 +1.9 -5.1
  Feb 04, 2012 103   Buffalo L 65-72 38%     8 - 13 2 - 7 -5.7 -6.5 +0.7
  Feb 08, 2012 71   Ohio W 77-73 30%     9 - 13 3 - 7 +7.4 +6.1 +1.3
  Feb 11, 2012 126   @ Bowling Green L 63-66 22%     9 - 14 3 - 8 +3.2 +2.2 +0.7
  Feb 15, 2012 201   @ Ball St. W 63-55 37%     10 - 14 4 - 8 +9.5 +2.0 +8.8
  Feb 18, 2012 270   @ Sam Houston St. W 59-58 54%     11 - 14 -1.8 -3.5 +1.8
  Feb 22, 2012 247   Central Michigan W 72-67 73%     12 - 14 5 - 8 -3.4 +1.0 -4.0
  Feb 25, 2012 175   Western Michigan W 83-74 58%     13 - 14 6 - 8 +5.1 +15.4 -9.3
  Feb 29, 2012 317   @ Northern Illinois L 61-65 74%     13 - 15 6 - 9 -12.5 -3.3 -9.9
  Mar 03, 2012 250   Eastern Michigan W 76-51 74%     14 - 15 7 - 9 +16.4 +13.3 +6.0
  Mar 05, 2012 189   Miami (OH) W 60-53 62%     15 - 15 +2.1 -6.5 +9.7
  Mar 07, 2012 247   Central Michigan W 75-72 62%     16 - 15 -2.0 +3.5 -5.3
  Mar 08, 2012 71   Ohio L 57-65 20%     16 - 16 -1.1 -5.0 +3.1
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%