Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Sun Belt
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#183
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#181
Pace65.5#222
Improvement+3.6#54

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#254
Improvement+1.4#88

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#117
Improvement+2.2#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 94   @ Tulsa L 49-65 18%     0 - 1 -7.4 -18.4 +10.9
  Nov 13, 2011 226   Northwestern St. W 72-66 71%     1 - 1 -0.8 -6.0 +4.9
  Nov 15, 2011 194   IUPUI W 75-70 66%     2 - 1 -0.2 -3.7 +3.6
  Nov 18, 2011 250   @ Eastern Michigan L 51-62 53%     2 - 2 -12.8 -16.8 +4.0
  Nov 20, 2011 3   @ Michigan St. L 47-69 2%     2 - 3 +0.8 -16.2 +18.3
  Nov 26, 2011 154   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 54-59 55%     2 - 4 -7.3 -12.1 +4.3
  Nov 29, 2011 226   @ Northwestern St. L 65-80 46%     2 - 5 -15.0 -7.7 -6.8
  Dec 04, 2011 181   SMU L 63-69 OT 62%     2 - 6 -10.3 -6.3 -4.3
  Dec 10, 2011 97   Missouri St. L 60-68 40%     2 - 7 -6.4 -2.3 -5.3
  Dec 12, 2011 87   Oral Roberts L 55-58 37%     2 - 8 -0.7 -13.8 +12.8
  Dec 17, 2011 185   @ Louisiana Tech L 68-71 38%     2 - 9 -0.9 -3.3 +2.4
  Dec 20, 2011 101   @ Illinois St. L 65-72 19%     2 - 10 +1.2 -0.8 +1.5
  Dec 29, 2011 159   @ North Texas W 69-66 31%     3 - 10 1 - 0 +7.1 +4.6 +2.7
  Dec 31, 2011 79   @ Denver W 66-59 16%     4 - 10 2 - 0 +16.8 +7.3 +10.7
  Jan 03, 2012 1   Kentucky L 51-73 3%     4 - 11 -1.1 -9.1 +6.6
  Jan 07, 2012 208   Florida Atlantic W 40-38 68%     5 - 11 3 - 0 -3.8 -27.7 +24.3
  Jan 12, 2012 309   @ Louisiana Monroe W 72-51 72%     6 - 11 4 - 0 +13.9 -2.8 +17.6
  Jan 14, 2012 193   @ Arkansas St. W 63-62 39%     7 - 11 5 - 0 +2.7 -1.7 +4.5
  Jan 19, 2012 198   Louisiana L 49-68 66%     7 - 12 5 - 1 -24.3 -23.6 +0.1
  Jan 21, 2012 188   @ Western Kentucky L 53-65 39%     7 - 13 5 - 2 -10.1 -14.8 +4.2
  Jan 26, 2012 205   South Alabama W 75-50 67%     8 - 13 6 - 2 +19.5 +13.7 +10.6
  Jan 28, 2012 79   Denver W 64-57 35%     9 - 13 7 - 2 +10.0 +0.0 +11.1
  Feb 04, 2012 309   Louisiana Monroe W 70-66 88%     10 - 13 8 - 2 -9.9 -10.3 +0.5
  Feb 09, 2012 198   @ Louisiana W 72-70 OT 40%     11 - 13 9 - 2 +3.5 -4.1 +7.4
  Feb 11, 2012 54   @ Middle Tennessee L 60-68 12%     11 - 14 9 - 3 +3.6 +0.9 +1.8
  Feb 16, 2012 231   Florida International W 78-64 72%     12 - 14 10 - 3 +6.8 -0.3 +6.7
  Feb 18, 2012 267   @ Troy W 74-62 OT 57%     13 - 14 11 - 3 +9.2 -5.5 +14.6
  Feb 23, 2012 159   North Texas L 67-75 OT 57%     13 - 15 11 - 4 -10.7 -8.5 -1.9
  Feb 25, 2012 193   Arkansas St. W 62-60 65%     14 - 15 12 - 4 -3.1 -4.8 +2.0
  Mar 04, 2012 188   Western Kentucky L 63-68 52%     14 - 16 -6.5 -9.1 +2.7
Projected Record 14.0 - 16.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%