Pre-tourney Rankings
SMU
Conference USA
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#181
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#197
Pace55.7#341
Improvement+1.1#123

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#238
Improvement-2.3#274

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#128
Improvement+3.4#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2011 72   Colorado St. L 56-75 23%     0 - 1 -12.2 -8.9 -6.3
  Nov 15, 2011 177   Fresno St. L 52-54 49%     0 - 2 -2.7 -10.7 +7.6
  Nov 19, 2011 178   Florida Gulf Coast W 65-64 62%     1 - 2 -3.1 -5.1 +2.1
  Nov 21, 2011 87   @ Oral Roberts L 56-62 17%     1 - 3 +3.1 -5.3 +7.3
  Nov 22, 2011 329   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 64-55 87%     2 - 3 -4.0 -2.5 +0.3
  Nov 27, 2011 237   Georgia Southern W 55-49 75%     3 - 3 -1.9 -6.4 +6.1
  Dec 04, 2011 183   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 69-63 OT 38%     4 - 3 +8.4 +3.8 +4.9
  Dec 15, 2011 333   Jackson St. L 58-59 89%     4 - 4 -15.4 -7.3 -8.3
  Dec 19, 2011 230   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 84-65 48%     5 - 4 +18.7 +9.8 +9.2
  Dec 28, 2011 90   Oklahoma St. L 58-68 2OT 27%     5 - 5 -4.6 -17.0 +13.2
  Dec 31, 2011 185   Louisiana Tech W 73-65 64%     6 - 5 +3.3 +5.7 -1.5
  Jan 03, 2012 84   @ Mississippi L 48-50 17%     6 - 6 +7.3 -6.9 +13.7
  Jan 07, 2012 94   @ Tulsa W 57-55 19%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +10.6 -0.1 +11.1
  Jan 11, 2012 145   Rice L 52-68 54%     7 - 7 1 - 1 -17.8 -15.1 -4.2
  Jan 14, 2012 131   @ UTEP L 64-70 OT 26%     7 - 8 1 - 2 -0.1 -2.4 +2.0
  Jan 18, 2012 182   Houston W 70-54 63%     8 - 8 2 - 2 +11.7 +1.9 +12.0
  Jan 21, 2012 10   @ Memphis L 45-63 5%     8 - 9 2 - 3 +0.5 -13.6 +11.7
  Jan 25, 2012 186   @ Tulane L 74-80 39%     8 - 10 2 - 4 -3.9 +8.5 -12.7
  Jan 28, 2012 94   Tulsa L 60-66 40%     8 - 11 2 - 5 -4.2 -2.9 -2.1
  Feb 01, 2012 138   @ East Carolina L 43-62 27%     8 - 12 2 - 6 -13.3 -14.4 -4.9
  Feb 04, 2012 93   Central Florida L 52-59 39%     8 - 13 2 - 7 -5.0 -2.6 -4.8
  Feb 08, 2012 143   TCU W 68-62 53%     9 - 13 +4.3 -5.0 +9.6
  Feb 11, 2012 145   @ Rice L 39-43 29%     9 - 14 2 - 8 +1.0 -21.8 +22.0
  Feb 15, 2012 124   UAB L 28-47 48%     9 - 15 2 - 9 -19.4 -34.4 +9.4
  Feb 18, 2012 76   Marshall L 68-73 34%     9 - 16 2 - 10 -1.7 -2.1 +0.2
  Feb 22, 2012 186   Tulane W 64-50 65%     10 - 16 3 - 10 +9.3 -3.3 +13.9
  Feb 25, 2012 182   @ Houston L 59-62 37%     10 - 17 3 - 11 -0.5 -3.8 +2.7
  Feb 29, 2012 69   @ Southern Miss L 60-67 15%     10 - 18 3 - 12 +3.4 +1.2 +1.0
  Mar 03, 2012 131   UTEP W 57-48 50%     11 - 18 4 - 12 +8.1 -7.0 +16.3
  Mar 07, 2012 76   Marshall L 56-74 24%     11 - 19 -11.3 -13.3 +1.6
Projected Record 11.0 - 19.0 4.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 100.0% 100.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%