Pre-tourney Rankings
Kentucky
Southeastern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.9#1
Expected Predictive Rating+24.1#1
Pace67.9#156
Improvement-1.7#235

Offense
Total Offense+11.6#5
Improvement+0.0#170

Defense
Total Defense+9.3#4
Improvement-1.6#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 45.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 90.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round97.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen81.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight63.4% n/a n/a
Final Four44.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game29.5% n/a n/a
National Champion18.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 258   Marist W 108-58 99%     1 - 0 +40.9 +21.4 +14.9
  Nov 15, 2011 5   Kansas W 75-65 60%     2 - 0 +28.4 +5.5 +22.1
  Nov 19, 2011 128   Penn St. W 85-47 95%     3 - 0 +40.6 +18.0 +24.1
  Nov 20, 2011 107   Old Dominion W 62-52 93%     4 - 0 +14.2 -3.2 +17.7
  Nov 23, 2011 313   Radford W 88-40 99.6%    5 - 0 +33.4 +3.9 +25.4
  Nov 26, 2011 286   Portland W 87-63 99%     6 - 0 +13.3 +6.6 +6.3
  Dec 01, 2011 146   St. John's W 81-59 97%     7 - 0 +20.1 -0.8 +18.8
  Dec 03, 2011 4   North Carolina W 73-72 71%     8 - 0 +16.2 +11.0 +5.2
  Dec 10, 2011 8   @ Indiana L 72-73 58%     8 - 1 +17.7 +3.9 +13.8
  Dec 17, 2011 274   Chattanooga W 87-62 99%     9 - 1 +15.2 +2.6 +10.7
  Dec 20, 2011 279   Samford W 82-50 99%     10 - 1 +21.7 +12.8 +13.5
  Dec 22, 2011 135   Loyola Maryland W 87-63 97%     11 - 1 +22.9 +18.8 +5.4
  Dec 28, 2011 102   Lamar W 86-64 96%     12 - 1 +23.3 +5.2 +16.1
  Dec 31, 2011 19   Louisville W 69-62 85%     13 - 1 +16.7 -4.4 +20.1
  Jan 03, 2012 183   Arkansas Little Rock W 73-51 97%     14 - 1 +21.0 +7.0 +15.4
  Jan 07, 2012 157   South Carolina W 79-64 98%     15 - 1 1 - 0 +12.4 +10.2 +3.2
  Jan 11, 2012 140   @ Auburn W 68-53 92%     16 - 1 2 - 0 +20.6 +10.7 +12.0
  Jan 14, 2012 51   @ Tennessee W 65-62 81%     17 - 1 3 - 0 +14.7 +0.8 +14.0
  Jan 17, 2012 118   Arkansas W 86-63 96%     18 - 1 4 - 0 +23.0 +10.4 +12.2
  Jan 21, 2012 32   Alabama W 77-71 89%     19 - 1 5 - 0 +13.4 +15.3 -1.6
  Jan 24, 2012 105   @ Georgia W 57-44 88%     20 - 1 6 - 0 +20.9 +1.4 +22.3
  Jan 28, 2012 85   @ LSU W 74-50 86%     21 - 1 7 - 0 +33.2 +24.7 +13.3
  Jan 31, 2012 51   Tennessee W 69-44 92%     22 - 1 8 - 0 +29.9 +12.4 +22.1
  Feb 04, 2012 157   @ South Carolina W 86-52 93%     23 - 1 9 - 0 +38.2 +24.0 +17.6
  Feb 07, 2012 16   Florida W 78-58 84%     24 - 1 10 - 0 +30.4 +14.2 +18.5
  Feb 11, 2012 13   @ Vanderbilt W 69-63 63%     25 - 1 11 - 0 +23.4 +8.7 +15.2
  Feb 18, 2012 84   Mississippi W 77-62 95%     26 - 1 12 - 0 +17.5 +10.5 +7.6
  Feb 21, 2012 70   @ Mississippi St. W 73-64 84%     27 - 1 13 - 0 +19.3 +6.1 +13.7
  Feb 25, 2012 13   Vanderbilt W 83-74 83%     28 - 1 14 - 0 +19.6 +18.0 +2.1
  Mar 01, 2012 105   Georgia W 79-49 96%     29 - 1 15 - 0 +31.1 +23.2 +13.8
  Mar 04, 2012 16   @ Florida W 74-59 64%     30 - 1 16 - 0 +32.3 +17.6 +17.2
  Mar 09, 2012 85   LSU W 60-51 91%     31 - 1 +14.8 -4.3 +19.3
  Mar 10, 2012 16   Florida W 74-71 75%     32 - 1 +16.8 +13.1 +4.1
  Mar 11, 2012 13   Vanderbilt L 64-71 75%     32 - 2 +7.0 -2.1 +9.0
Projected Record 32.0 - 2.0 16.0 - 0.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.1 90.1 9.9 0.0 100.0%
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.1 90.1 9.9 0.0 100.0%