Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
Big East
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.4#36
Expected Predictive Rating+9.5#44
Pace63.8#263
Improvement-1.2#221

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#40
Improvement-3.3#315

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#50
Improvement+2.1#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 1.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round97.6% n/a n/a
Second Round47.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.6% n/a n/a
Final Four1.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 192   Columbia W 70-57 92%     1 - 0 +8.0 -3.3 +11.7
  Nov 14, 2011 109   Wagner W 78-66 82%     2 - 0 +12.7 +5.2 +7.3
  Nov 17, 2011 282   Maine W 80-60 96%     3 - 0 +9.6 +6.0 +4.3
  Nov 20, 2011 277   Coppin St. W 87-70 96%     4 - 0 +6.7 +3.2 +3.5
  Nov 24, 2011 122   UNC Asheville W 73-63 76%     5 - 0 +13.1 +2.2 +11.5
  Nov 25, 2011 93   Central Florida L 63-68 69%     5 - 1 +0.4 +0.4 -0.6
  Nov 26, 2011 22   Florida St. W 78-76 OT 41%     6 - 1 +14.7 +9.4 +5.1
  Dec 03, 2011 118   Arkansas W 75-62 84%     7 - 1 +13.0 +0.0 +12.8
  Dec 08, 2011 49   Harvard W 67-53 70%     8 - 1 +19.1 +9.7 +12.0
  Dec 18, 2011 228   Holy Cross W 77-40 94%     9 - 1 +29.9 +3.0 +27.3
  Dec 22, 2011 120   Fairfield W 79-71 84%     10 - 1 +7.9 +10.4 -2.5
  Dec 28, 2011 55   @ South Florida W 60-57 46%     11 - 1 1 - 0 +14.5 +9.6 +5.5
  Dec 31, 2011 146   St. John's W 83-69 87%     12 - 1 2 - 0 +12.1 +11.7 +0.9
  Jan 03, 2012 44   @ Seton Hall L 63-75 43%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +0.2 +0.2 -0.4
  Jan 07, 2012 117   @ Rutgers L 60-67 63%     12 - 3 2 - 2 -0.1 -5.1 +4.9
  Jan 09, 2012 37   West Virginia W 64-57 63%     13 - 3 3 - 2 +14.0 +2.5 +12.4
  Jan 14, 2012 40   @ Notre Dame W 67-53 39%     14 - 3 4 - 2 +27.3 +11.4 +18.2
  Jan 18, 2012 33   Cincinnati L 67-70 62%     14 - 4 4 - 3 +4.3 +8.1 -4.1
  Jan 21, 2012 51   @ Tennessee L 57-60 45%     14 - 5 +8.7 -0.5 +8.8
  Jan 29, 2012 40   Notre Dame L 48-50 65%     14 - 6 4 - 4 +4.5 -4.9 +8.8
  Feb 01, 2012 17   @ Georgetown L 44-58 26%     14 - 7 4 - 5 +3.0 -16.3 +18.5
  Feb 04, 2012 44   Seton Hall W 69-46 69%     15 - 7 5 - 5 +28.4 -2.6 +30.1
  Feb 06, 2012 19   @ Louisville L 59-80 28%     15 - 8 5 - 6 -4.5 -3.7 +0.3
  Feb 11, 2012 7   @ Syracuse L 67-85 17%     15 - 9 5 - 7 +2.6 +7.6 -5.8
  Feb 15, 2012 156   DePaul W 80-54 88%     16 - 9 6 - 7 +23.6 +1.4 +21.7
  Feb 18, 2012 18   Marquette L 64-79 51%     16 - 10 6 - 8 -4.8 -1.1 -4.4
  Feb 20, 2012 83   @ Villanova W 73-70 OT 54%     17 - 10 7 - 8 +12.3 +1.4 +10.9
  Feb 25, 2012 7   Syracuse L 69-71 37%     17 - 11 7 - 9 +11.8 +6.4 +5.3
  Feb 28, 2012 121   @ Providence L 70-72 65%     17 - 12 7 - 10 +4.6 +3.6 +0.9
  Mar 03, 2012 68   Pittsburgh W 74-65 74%     18 - 12 8 - 10 +12.7 +7.1 +6.5
  Mar 06, 2012 156   DePaul W 81-67 81%     19 - 12 +15.0 +4.8 +10.1
  Mar 07, 2012 37   West Virginia W 71-67 OT 50%     20 - 12 +14.4 +4.1 +10.4
  Mar 08, 2012 7   Syracuse L 55-58 26%     20 - 13 +14.2 -1.8 +15.6
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 97.6% 97.6% 8.7 0.0 1.0 4.9 29.2 46.0 15.6 0.9 0.0 2.4 97.6%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.6% 0.0% 97.6% 8.7 0.0 1.0 4.9 29.2 46.0 15.6 0.9 0.0 2.4 97.6%