Pre-tourney Rankings
Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#218
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#261
Pace68.2#150
Improvement-2.8#273

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#240
Improvement-0.5#194

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#183
Improvement-2.3#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 162   LIU Brooklyn W 89-71 50%     1 - 0 +15.0 +6.7 +7.5
  Nov 16, 2011 92   @ Oregon St. L 72-82 14%     1 - 1 -1.2 -1.9 +1.1
  Nov 19, 2011 227   St. Francis Brooklyn W 63-59 64%     2 - 1 -2.8 -9.1 +6.4
  Nov 22, 2011 208   Florida Atlantic L 60-62 60%     2 - 2 -7.8 -9.7 +1.7
  Nov 25, 2011 215   @ Rhode Island L 73-85 36%     2 - 3 -11.4 -2.2 -9.1
  Nov 26, 2011 88   Cleveland St. W 63-53 21%     3 - 3 +15.5 +2.4 +14.4
  Nov 27, 2011 191   Boston University L 61-68 44%     3 - 4 -8.6 -5.9 -3.4
  Dec 03, 2011 249   James Madison L 60-62 70%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -10.5 -11.9 +1.1
  Dec 06, 2011 109   @ Wagner L 43-58 16%     3 - 6 -7.5 -25.4 +18.1
  Dec 10, 2011 127   Manhattan L 59-68 41%     3 - 7 -9.8 -15.7 +6.4
  Dec 17, 2011 341   Binghamton W 82-62 94%     4 - 7 -0.5 -4.6 +2.7
  Dec 22, 2011 321   Colgate W 82-59 88%     5 - 7 +7.3 -4.0 +10.5
  Dec 29, 2011 48   Iona W 83-75 22%     6 - 7 +13.2 -6.0 +17.9
  Jan 02, 2012 52   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-80 22%     6 - 8 0 - 2 -12.1 -4.1 -8.7
  Jan 04, 2012 166   @ Delaware L 66-67 27%     6 - 9 0 - 3 +2.5 -7.3 +9.8
  Jan 07, 2012 236   @ UNC Wilmington L 80-86 42%     6 - 10 0 - 4 -7.0 +3.9 -10.8
  Jan 11, 2012 200   Northeastern L 62-64 59%     6 - 11 0 - 5 -7.3 -5.2 -2.4
  Jan 14, 2012 107   @ Old Dominion L 61-69 16%     6 - 12 0 - 6 -0.4 -5.1 +4.8
  Jan 18, 2012 63   Drexel L 50-56 24%     6 - 13 0 - 7 -1.9 -16.4 +14.1
  Jan 21, 2012 249   @ James Madison W 71-69 45%     7 - 13 1 - 7 +0.3 -0.8 +1.2
  Jan 23, 2012 52   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 49-61 9%     7 - 14 1 - 8 -0.3 -14.6 +13.6
  Jan 25, 2012 112   George Mason L 50-55 36%     7 - 15 1 - 9 -4.4 -16.8 +12.1
  Jan 28, 2012 200   @ Northeastern L 51-58 33%     7 - 16 1 - 10 -5.5 -12.0 +5.3
  Feb 01, 2012 331   Towson W 74-49 91%     8 - 16 2 - 10 +7.3 -5.2 +12.5
  Feb 04, 2012 98   Georgia St. L 43-59 33%     8 - 17 2 - 11 -14.4 -16.7 -1.0
  Feb 08, 2012 112   @ George Mason L 62-72 16%     8 - 18 2 - 12 -2.6 -4.7 +2.0
  Feb 11, 2012 63   @ Drexel L 67-78 10%     8 - 19 2 - 13 -0.1 +3.1 -3.6
  Feb 14, 2012 166   Delaware L 57-71 51%     8 - 20 2 - 14 -17.3 -13.9 -4.4
  Feb 18, 2012 233   Siena W 81-69 66%     9 - 20 +4.7 +6.1 -1.4
  Feb 22, 2012 290   @ William & Mary L 71-75 55%     9 - 21 2 - 15 -8.3 +0.5 -9.1
  Feb 25, 2012 236   UNC Wilmington W 93-64 68%     10 - 21 3 - 15 +21.2 +12.0 +8.1
  Mar 02, 2012 98   Georgia St. L 50-85 22%     10 - 22 -30.0 -11.8 -21.8
Projected Record 10.0 - 22.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%