Pre-tourney Rankings
Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#63
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#50
Pace58.6#325
Improvement+4.8#31

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#94
Improvement+5.0#20

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#56
Improvement-0.2#166
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four14.0% n/a n/a
First Round7.7% n/a n/a
Second Round2.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2011 221   @ Rider W 80-62 76%     1 - 0 +18.2 +0.1 +17.0
  Nov 18, 2011 196   Norfolk St. L 56-61 81%     1 - 1 -6.9 -18.0 +11.2
  Nov 19, 2011 31   Virginia L 35-49 37%     1 - 2 -3.1 -19.6 +12.9
  Nov 21, 2011 264   Winthrop W 68-45 89%     2 - 2 +17.0 +15.1 +8.5
  Nov 30, 2011 62   @ Saint Joseph's L 49-62 37%     2 - 3 -2.0 -17.8 +15.1
  Dec 03, 2011 166   @ Delaware L 60-71 65%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -7.5 -6.2 -2.3
  Dec 10, 2011 99   Princeton W 64-60 72%     3 - 4 +5.5 +1.2 +4.9
  Dec 13, 2011 244   @ Niagara W 71-58 80%     4 - 4 +11.6 +2.7 +10.3
  Dec 17, 2011 256   Bradley W 73-68 93%     5 - 4 -4.0 -5.6 +1.4
  Dec 22, 2011 341   @ Binghamton W 68-44 96%     6 - 4 +10.4 +3.9 +11.2
  Dec 28, 2011 120   Fairfield W 77-69 77%     7 - 4 +7.9 +17.3 -8.5
  Dec 31, 2011 312   St. Francis (PA) W 63-42 97%     8 - 4 +6.6 -3.6 +14.6
  Jan 02, 2012 98   @ Georgia St. L 44-58 47%     8 - 5 0 - 2 -5.6 -19.4 +13.2
  Jan 04, 2012 331   Towson W 60-27 98%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +15.3 -3.5 +27.5
  Jan 08, 2012 52   Virginia Commonwealth W 64-58 60%     10 - 5 2 - 2 +10.9 +3.3 +8.4
  Jan 12, 2012 112   George Mason W 60-53 75%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +7.6 -0.6 +9.5
  Jan 14, 2012 236   @ UNC Wilmington W 79-57 79%     12 - 5 4 - 2 +21.0 +11.4 +11.4
  Jan 18, 2012 218   @ Hofstra W 56-50 76%     13 - 5 5 - 2 +6.3 -11.4 +18.2
  Jan 21, 2012 200   Northeastern W 71-53 88%     14 - 5 6 - 2 +12.7 +5.4 +9.5
  Jan 23, 2012 290   @ William & Mary W 64-48 86%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +11.7 +4.6 +11.3
  Jan 25, 2012 98   Georgia St. W 68-46 72%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +23.6 +10.3 +16.8
  Jan 28, 2012 166   Delaware W 71-55 85%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +12.7 -1.9 +15.0
  Feb 01, 2012 200   @ Northeastern W 61-53 72%     18 - 5 10 - 2 +9.5 +1.9 +9.2
  Feb 04, 2012 331   @ Towson W 65-57 95%     19 - 5 11 - 2 -2.9 +6.0 -6.7
  Feb 08, 2012 249   @ James Madison W 63-56 81%     20 - 5 12 - 2 +5.3 -4.8 +10.8
  Feb 11, 2012 218   Hofstra W 78-67 90%     21 - 5 13 - 2 +4.5 +6.2 -1.2
  Feb 14, 2012 290   William & Mary W 63-61 95%     22 - 5 14 - 2 -9.1 -1.4 -7.2
  Feb 18, 2012 88   @ Cleveland St. W 69-49 45%     23 - 5 +28.9 +17.6 +15.8
  Feb 22, 2012 249   James Madison W 78-61 92%     24 - 5 15 - 2 +8.5 +10.4 +0.4
  Feb 25, 2012 107   @ Old Dominion W 73-72 50%     25 - 5 16 - 2 +8.6 +5.9 +2.7
  Mar 03, 2012 236   UNC Wilmington W 59-47 87%     26 - 5 +7.6 +1.0 +10.2
  Mar 04, 2012 107   Old Dominion W 68-51 63%     27 - 5 +21.2 +8.6 +14.5
  Mar 05, 2012 52   Virginia Commonwealth L 56-59 47%     27 - 6 +5.3 -5.9 +10.8
Projected Record 27.0 - 6.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 14.6% 14.6% 12.6 0.0 0.8 5.9 7.0 1.0 0.0 85.4 14.6%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.6% 0.0% 14.6% 12.6 0.0 0.8 5.9 7.0 1.0 0.0 85.4 14.6%