Pre-tourney Rankings
Mercer
Atlantic Sun
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#115
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#120
Pace64.6#249
Improvement-3.0#279

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#159
Improvement-1.9#262

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#76
Improvement-1.1#221
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2011 6   @ Missouri L 63-81 6%     0 - 1 +3.7 -4.1 +7.5
  Nov 17, 2011 238   @ Furman W 66-46 68%     1 - 1 +18.9 +0.0 +20.8
  Nov 21, 2011 270   Sam Houston St. W 60-38 89%     2 - 1 +12.4 -4.5 +19.9
  Nov 22, 2011 244   Niagara W 74-55 86%     3 - 1 +10.8 -2.3 +13.9
  Nov 23, 2011 60   South Dakota St. L 61-74 47%     3 - 2 -8.6 -15.3 +7.1
  Dec 01, 2011 216   @ Lipscomb W 79-72 62%     4 - 2 1 - 0 +7.4 -3.6 +10.1
  Dec 03, 2011 24   @ Belmont L 78-82 14%     4 - 3 1 - 1 +11.4 +9.1 +2.3
  Dec 07, 2011 279   @ Samford W 83-78 OT 75%     5 - 3 +1.5 -2.2 +3.3
  Dec 10, 2011 274   Chattanooga W 67-56 89%     6 - 3 +1.2 -7.3 +9.1
  Dec 18, 2011 44   @ Seton Hall L 77-80 OT 21%     6 - 4 +9.2 +5.0 +4.5
  Dec 20, 2011 105   @ Georgia L 58-72 34%     6 - 5 -6.1 -5.8 -1.3
  Dec 22, 2011 170   @ Georgia Tech W 65-59 52%     7 - 5 +9.2 +2.7 +7.1
  Dec 28, 2011 94   @ Tulsa L 62-68 32%     7 - 6 +2.6 -3.4 +5.8
  Dec 30, 2011 323   @ Navy W 65-56 88%     8 - 6 +0.0 -4.2 +5.1
  Jan 02, 2012 178   Florida Gulf Coast W 76-54 77%     9 - 6 2 - 1 +17.9 -2.7 +20.1
  Jan 04, 2012 260   Stetson W 75-59 88%     10 - 6 3 - 1 +6.8 -3.4 +10.3
  Jan 07, 2012 152   @ East Tennessee St. L 61-76 46%     10 - 7 3 - 2 -10.3 -5.0 -6.0
  Jan 09, 2012 147   @ South Carolina Upstate W 73-66 46%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +11.8 +5.5 +6.5
  Jan 13, 2012 314   Kennesaw St. W 81-51 95%     12 - 7 5 - 2 +15.2 +12.2 +8.2
  Jan 21, 2012 190   North Florida W 69-58 80%     13 - 7 6 - 2 +6.0 -4.3 +10.8
  Jan 23, 2012 248   Jacksonville W 75-65 87%     14 - 7 7 - 2 +1.6 +4.0 -1.6
  Jan 28, 2012 260   @ Stetson W 75-64 72%     15 - 7 8 - 2 +8.6 -4.4 +12.4
  Jan 30, 2012 178   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 75-66 54%     16 - 7 9 - 2 +11.7 +10.7 +2.1
  Feb 04, 2012 147   South Carolina Upstate W 61-47 71%     17 - 7 10 - 2 +12.0 -12.9 +24.8
  Feb 06, 2012 152   East Tennessee St. W 54-46 71%     18 - 7 11 - 2 +5.9 -6.6 +14.2
  Feb 10, 2012 314   @ Kennesaw St. W 61-57 86%     19 - 7 12 - 2 -4.0 -7.7 +4.4
  Feb 18, 2012 248   @ Jacksonville L 75-81 70%     19 - 8 12 - 3 -7.6 -1.9 -5.5
  Feb 20, 2012 190   @ North Florida L 66-75 57%     19 - 9 12 - 4 -7.2 +2.3 -10.7
  Feb 23, 2012 216   Lipscomb W 63-54 83%     20 - 9 13 - 4 +2.6 -4.5 +8.3
  Feb 25, 2012 24   Belmont L 61-62 32%     20 - 10 13 - 5 +7.6 -8.5 +16.0
  Feb 29, 2012 216   Lipscomb W 61-53 83%     21 - 10 +1.6 -7.9 +10.4
  Mar 02, 2012 178   Florida Gulf Coast L 58-62 77%     21 - 11 -8.1 -8.2 -0.6
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%