Pre-tourney Rankings
Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#260
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#264
Pace78.5#16
Improvement-3.0#282

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#212
Improvement+4.6#21

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#287
Improvement-7.6#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 257   Bethune-Cookman W 65-60 63%     1 - 0 -4.1 -21.6 +16.9
  Nov 14, 2011 318   @ Florida A&M W 78-60 60%     2 - 0 +9.5 -13.3 +19.3
  Nov 16, 2011 22   @ Florida St. L 66-79 3%     2 - 1 +3.1 +3.2 +0.0
  Nov 21, 2011 184   @ Charleston Southern L 64-73 22%     2 - 2 -6.7 -13.2 +7.1
  Nov 28, 2011 16   Florida L 70-96 4%     2 - 3 -12.2 -11.1 +2.8
  Dec 01, 2011 152   East Tennessee St. W 73-65 36%     3 - 3 1 - 0 +5.9 -6.5 +11.6
  Dec 04, 2011 8   @ Indiana L 50-84 2%     3 - 4 -15.3 -19.2 +5.0
  Dec 17, 2011 147   South Carolina Upstate L 63-79 35%     3 - 5 1 - 1 -18.0 -8.8 -9.5
  Dec 21, 2011 184   Charleston Southern L 81-88 45%     3 - 6 -11.5 -7.2 -3.3
  Dec 29, 2011 93   @ Central Florida L 70-80 9%     3 - 7 -1.2 -0.8 -0.1
  Dec 30, 2011 249   James Madison L 69-71 OT 47%     3 - 8 -7.1 -15.9 +9.0
  Jan 02, 2012 314   @ Kennesaw St. W 66-62 59%     4 - 8 2 - 1 -4.0 -7.0 +3.4
  Jan 04, 2012 115   @ Mercer L 59-75 12%     4 - 9 2 - 2 -8.9 -8.2 -0.8
  Jan 07, 2012 248   Jacksonville W 73-61 60%     5 - 9 3 - 2 +3.6 -5.9 +9.1
  Jan 09, 2012 190   North Florida W 68-64 47%     6 - 9 4 - 2 -1.0 +1.0 -1.5
  Jan 14, 2012 24   @ Belmont L 71-84 4%     6 - 10 4 - 3 +2.4 +0.2 +2.5
  Jan 16, 2012 216   @ Lipscomb L 103-104 OT 27%     6 - 11 4 - 4 -0.6 +7.4 -7.8
  Jan 20, 2012 178   Florida Gulf Coast L 85-92 43%     6 - 12 4 - 5 -11.1 +3.0 -13.7
  Jan 23, 2012 187   @ Savannah St. L 45-75 23%     6 - 13 -27.9 -18.1 -12.4
  Jan 28, 2012 115   Mercer L 64-75 28%     6 - 14 4 - 6 -10.7 -10.4 +0.2
  Jan 30, 2012 314   Kennesaw St. W 75-59 80%     7 - 14 5 - 6 +1.2 -10.2 +10.9
  Feb 04, 2012 190   @ North Florida L 96-99 23%     7 - 15 5 - 7 -1.2 +16.8 -17.8
  Feb 06, 2012 248   @ Jacksonville L 63-74 34%     7 - 16 5 - 8 -12.6 -11.2 -1.3
  Feb 11, 2012 216   Lipscomb L 91-99 OT 52%     7 - 17 5 - 9 -14.4 -4.7 -7.9
  Feb 13, 2012 24   Belmont L 93-106 10%     7 - 18 5 - 10 -4.4 +13.2 -16.5
  Feb 17, 2012 178   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 86-80 21%     8 - 18 6 - 10 +8.7 +11.8 -3.1
  Feb 23, 2012 152   @ East Tennessee St. L 56-72 16%     8 - 19 6 - 11 -11.3 -10.5 -1.5
  Feb 25, 2012 147   @ South Carolina Upstate L 72-90 16%     8 - 20 6 - 12 -13.2 -2.6 -9.3
Projected Record 8.0 - 20.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%