Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida
Southeastern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.8#16
Expected Predictive Rating+12.2#26
Pace67.2#178
Improvement-5.0#326

Offense
Total Offense+11.9#3
Improvement-2.1#271

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#116
Improvement-2.8#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 1.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 53.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.8% n/a n/a
Second Round66.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen31.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight15.0% n/a n/a
Final Four6.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 333   Jackson St. W 99-59 99%     1 - 0 +22.2 +16.6 +4.2
  Nov 15, 2011 2   @ Ohio St. L 74-81 18%     1 - 1 +16.4 +10.6 +5.9
  Nov 17, 2011 190   North Florida W 91-55 95%     2 - 1 +31.0 +10.2 +19.0
  Nov 21, 2011 214   Wright St. W 78-65 93%     3 - 1 +10.2 +7.3 +2.8
  Nov 25, 2011 248   Jacksonville W 107-62 97%     4 - 1 +36.6 +20.5 +12.1
  Nov 28, 2011 260   Stetson W 96-70 96%     5 - 1 +20.2 +4.5 +11.9
  Dec 02, 2011 7   @ Syracuse L 68-72 26%     5 - 2 +16.6 +2.3 +14.5
  Dec 07, 2011 47   Arizona W 78-72 OT 79%     6 - 2 +11.3 +4.3 +6.7
  Dec 09, 2011 221   Rider W 90-69 93%     7 - 2 +17.8 +15.4 +2.9
  Dec 17, 2011 104   Texas A&M W 84-64 81%     8 - 2 +24.5 +18.6 +6.5
  Dec 19, 2011 243   Mississippi Valley W 82-54 97%     9 - 2 +19.8 +3.6 +15.6
  Dec 22, 2011 22   Florida St. W 82-64 67%     10 - 2 +27.3 +15.7 +11.4
  Dec 29, 2011 117   @ Rutgers L 83-85 2OT 75%     10 - 3 +4.9 +4.9 +0.4
  Dec 31, 2011 155   Yale W 90-70 93%     11 - 3 +17.6 +20.8 -2.5
  Jan 03, 2012 124   UAB W 79-61 90%     12 - 3 +17.6 +19.0 +1.0
  Jan 07, 2012 51   @ Tennessee L 56-67 58%     12 - 4 0 - 1 +0.7 -6.1 +6.1
  Jan 10, 2012 105   Georgia W 70-48 88%     13 - 4 1 - 1 +23.1 +12.5 +14.9
  Jan 14, 2012 157   @ South Carolina W 79-65 82%     14 - 4 2 - 1 +18.2 +21.0 -0.6
  Jan 21, 2012 85   LSU W 76-64 86%     15 - 4 3 - 1 +14.4 +10.8 +4.0
  Jan 26, 2012 84   @ Mississippi W 64-60 67%     16 - 4 4 - 1 +13.3 +7.7 +6.3
  Jan 28, 2012 70   Mississippi St. W 69-57 83%     17 - 4 5 - 1 +15.5 +5.1 +12.2
  Feb 02, 2012 157   South Carolina W 74-66 93%     18 - 4 6 - 1 +5.4 +0.0 +5.4
  Feb 04, 2012 13   Vanderbilt W 73-65 62%     19 - 4 7 - 1 +18.6 +2.5 +16.0
  Feb 07, 2012 1   @ Kentucky L 58-78 16%     19 - 5 7 - 2 +4.3 +2.7 -0.6
  Feb 11, 2012 51   Tennessee L 70-75 80%     19 - 6 7 - 3 -0.1 -0.1 +0.0
  Feb 14, 2012 32   @ Alabama W 61-52 49%     20 - 6 8 - 3 +23.2 +4.3 +19.7
  Feb 18, 2012 118   @ Arkansas W 98-68 75%     21 - 6 9 - 3 +36.8 +28.1 +9.0
  Feb 21, 2012 140   Auburn W 63-47 91%     22 - 6 10 - 3 +14.8 +6.0 +12.1
  Feb 25, 2012 105   @ Georgia L 62-76 72%     22 - 7 10 - 4 -6.1 -1.7 -5.3
  Feb 28, 2012 13   @ Vanderbilt L 67-77 36%     22 - 8 10 - 5 +7.4 +11.4 -5.5
  Mar 04, 2012 1   Kentucky L 59-74 36%     22 - 9 10 - 6 +2.5 +3.9 -4.0
  Mar 09, 2012 32   Alabama W 66-63 62%     23 - 9 +13.8 +15.8 -1.4
  Mar 10, 2012 1   Kentucky L 71-74 25%     23 - 10 +17.9 +17.0 +0.5
Projected Record 23.0 - 10.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 99.8% 99.8% 6.5 0.2 1.4 16.4 35.1 30.3 13.7 2.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 99.8%
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 6.5 0.2 1.4 16.4 35.1 30.3 13.7 2.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 99.8%