Pre-tourney Rankings
Creighton
Big East
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.7#9
Expected Predictive Rating+15.6#16
Pace65.2#245
Improvement-2.4#285

Offense
Total Offense+14.8#1
Improvement+1.2#116

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#117
Improvement-3.6#322
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 2.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 15.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 94.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round87.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen58.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight31.4% n/a n/a
Final Four16.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game8.3% n/a n/a
National Champion3.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 326   Alcorn St. W 107-61 99%     1 - 0 +31.2 +16.5 +9.9
  Nov 11, 2013 278   UMKC W 96-70 98%     2 - 0 +16.6 +7.9 +5.6
  Nov 16, 2013 57   @ Saint Joseph's W 83-79 68%     3 - 0 +15.9 +23.1 -6.9
  Nov 23, 2013 78   Tulsa W 82-72 88%     4 - 0 +13.9 +4.8 +7.9
  Nov 28, 2013 37   Arizona St. W 88-60 71%     5 - 0 +38.9 +22.1 +16.8
  Nov 29, 2013 29   San Diego St. L 80-86 65%     5 - 1 +6.7 +17.6 -10.9
  Dec 01, 2013 50   George Washington L 53-60 75%     5 - 2 +2.8 -10.6 +12.8
  Dec 03, 2013 140   @ Long Beach St. W 78-61 87%     6 - 2 +21.6 +10.2 +11.9
  Dec 08, 2013 49   Nebraska W 82-67 82%     7 - 2 +22.0 +16.2 +6.1
  Dec 17, 2013 323   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 88-51 99%     8 - 2 +22.7 +19.8 +6.4
  Dec 22, 2013 62   California W 68-54 85%     9 - 2 +19.6 +8.4 +13.4
  Dec 29, 2013 286   Chicago St. W 90-58 99%     10 - 2 +21.6 +23.6 +1.7
  Dec 31, 2013 61   Marquette W 67-49 84%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +23.8 +1.4 +23.6
  Jan 04, 2014 70   @ Seton Hall W 79-66 74%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +23.0 +18.6 +5.6
  Jan 07, 2014 154   @ DePaul W 81-62 88%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +22.7 +13.7 +10.0
  Jan 12, 2014 40   Xavier W 95-89 80%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +13.9 +14.2 -1.0
  Jan 14, 2014 82   Butler W 88-60 89%     15 - 2 5 - 0 +31.6 +26.2 +7.8
  Jan 18, 2014 44   @ Providence L 68-81 63%     15 - 3 5 - 1 +0.2 +10.3 -12.0
  Jan 20, 2014 5   @ Villanova W 96-68 37%     16 - 3 6 - 1 +48.2 +36.9 +12.3
  Jan 25, 2014 56   Georgetown W 76-63 83%     17 - 3 7 - 1 +19.5 +8.8 +11.2
  Jan 28, 2014 35   St. John's W 63-60 79%     18 - 3 8 - 1 +11.3 +0.6 +10.9
  Feb 07, 2014 154   DePaul W 78-66 95%     19 - 3 9 - 1 +10.1 +12.2 -0.8
  Feb 09, 2014 35   @ St. John's L 65-70 61%     19 - 4 9 - 2 +8.9 +2.3 +6.6
  Feb 13, 2014 82   @ Butler W 68-63 76%     20 - 4 10 - 2 +14.2 +15.7 -0.5
  Feb 16, 2014 5   Villanova W 101-80 58%     21 - 4 11 - 2 +35.7 +38.2 -2.0
  Feb 19, 2014 61   @ Marquette W 85-70 69%     22 - 4 12 - 2 +26.4 +24.0 +3.5
  Feb 23, 2014 70   Seton Hall W 72-71 87%     23 - 4 13 - 2 +5.5 +12.2 -6.6
  Mar 01, 2014 40   @ Xavier L 69-75 62%     23 - 5 13 - 3 +7.5 +3.8 +3.5
  Mar 04, 2014 56   @ Georgetown L 63-75 67%     23 - 6 13 - 4 +0.1 +3.9 -5.4
  Mar 08, 2014 44   Providence W 88-73 80%     24 - 6 14 - 4 +22.6 +19.8 +3.3
  Mar 13, 2014 154   DePaul W 84-62 92%     25 - 6 +22.9 +22.5 +3.4
  Mar 14, 2014 40   Xavier W 86-78 72%     26 - 6 +18.7 +26.0 -6.5
  Mar 15, 2014 44   Providence L 58-65 73%     26 - 7 +3.4 +1.4 +0.5
Projected Record 26.0 - 7.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.3 2.5 12.9 38.2 40.4 5.8 0.3 0.0 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.3 2.5 12.9 38.2 40.4 5.8 0.3 0.0 100.0%