Pre-tourney Rankings
California
Pac-12
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#62
Expected Predictive Rating+9.7#56
Pace68.1#167
Improvement-3.5#312

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#70
Improvement-1.5#259

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#66
Improvement-2.0#281
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 33.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four21.2% n/a n/a
First Round21.0% n/a n/a
Second Round6.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 295   Coppin St. W 83-64 96%     1 - 0 +7.5 +1.2 +5.8
  Nov 12, 2013 142   Denver W 77-50 81%     2 - 0 +26.0 +6.3 +22.0
  Nov 15, 2013 185   Oakland W 64-60 88%     3 - 0 -0.1 -10.2 +10.4
  Nov 18, 2013 347   Southern Utah W 75-47 99%     4 - 0 +8.7 +0.1 +10.5
  Nov 25, 2013 46   Arkansas W 85-77 42%     5 - 0 +18.3 +11.0 +6.7
  Nov 26, 2013 21   Syracuse L 81-92 29%     5 - 1 +3.2 +14.6 -11.2
  Nov 27, 2013 60   Dayton L 64-82 49%     5 - 2 -9.3 -3.2 -7.0
  Dec 02, 2013 98   UC Irvine W 73-56 73%     6 - 2 +18.9 -1.4 +18.8
  Dec 06, 2013 108   @ UC Santa Barbara L 65-72 56%     6 - 3 -0.2 +3.4 -4.6
  Dec 10, 2013 139   Nevada W 92-84 81%     7 - 3 +7.1 +18.1 -10.9
  Dec 14, 2013 123   Fresno St. W 67-56 78%     8 - 3 +11.3 -9.0 +20.2
  Dec 22, 2013 9   @ Creighton L 54-68 15%     8 - 4 +5.5 -7.2 +10.5
  Dec 28, 2013 340   Furman W 90-60 98%     9 - 4 +12.9 +16.5 -1.0
  Jan 02, 2014 34   @ Stanford W 69-62 28%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +21.3 +4.9 +16.7
  Jan 09, 2014 24   @ Oregon W 96-83 23%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +29.2 +13.8 +13.5
  Jan 11, 2014 90   @ Oregon St. W 88-83 49%     12 - 4 3 - 0 +13.7 +11.2 +2.2
  Jan 15, 2014 91   Washington W 82-56 70%     13 - 4 4 - 0 +29.0 +7.8 +21.1
  Jan 18, 2014 158   Washington St. W 76-55 84%     14 - 4 5 - 0 +18.8 +10.7 +10.0
  Jan 22, 2014 143   @ USC L 69-77 64%     14 - 5 5 - 1 -3.5 +2.0 -5.6
  Jan 26, 2014 11   @ UCLA L 64-76 16%     14 - 6 5 - 2 +6.8 -3.3 +10.5
  Jan 29, 2014 37   Arizona St. L 78-89 OT 51%     14 - 7 5 - 3 -2.9 -0.3 -1.0
  Feb 01, 2014 2   Arizona W 60-58 20%     15 - 7 6 - 3 +19.3 +2.3 +17.1
  Feb 05, 2014 34   Stanford L 69-80 48%     15 - 8 6 - 4 -2.2 -3.5 +1.8
  Feb 12, 2014 158   @ Washington St. W 80-76 OT 69%     16 - 8 7 - 4 +7.3 +15.9 -8.3
  Feb 15, 2014 91   @ Washington W 72-59 49%     17 - 8 8 - 4 +21.6 +0.3 +21.2
  Feb 19, 2014 11   UCLA L 66-86 32%     17 - 9 8 - 5 -6.8 +0.2 -7.6
  Feb 23, 2014 143   USC W 77-64 81%     18 - 9 9 - 5 +12.0 +9.3 +3.3
  Feb 26, 2014 2   @ Arizona L 59-87 9%     18 - 10 9 - 6 -5.1 +1.4 -6.3
  Mar 01, 2014 37   @ Arizona St. L 60-78 30%     18 - 11 9 - 7 -4.3 +1.8 -8.1
  Mar 05, 2014 33   Utah L 59-63 48%     18 - 12 9 - 8 +4.9 -2.0 +6.5
  Mar 08, 2014 55   Colorado W 66-65 OT 57%     19 - 12 10 - 8 +7.5 +0.1 +7.5
  Mar 13, 2014 55   Colorado L 56-59 46%     19 - 13 +6.3 -2.0 +7.8
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 33.3% 33.3% 11.1 0.1 0.4 3.7 20.3 8.8 66.7 33.3%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 33.3% 0.0% 33.3% 11.1 0.1 0.4 3.7 20.3 8.8 66.7 33.3%