Pre-tourney Rankings
UCLA
Pac-12
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.0#11
Expected Predictive Rating+14.7#18
Pace76.2#26
Improvement+0.6#154

Offense
Total Offense+9.6#9
Improvement+0.5#153

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#36
Improvement+0.1#165
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 1.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 77.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round83.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen52.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight26.0% n/a n/a
Final Four13.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.4% n/a n/a
National Champion2.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 147   Drexel W 72-67 94%     1 - 0 +3.7 -3.5 +6.9
  Nov 12, 2013 185   Oakland W 91-60 96%     2 - 0 +26.9 +4.7 +19.7
  Nov 18, 2013 267   Sacramento St. W 86-50 98%     3 - 0 +27.5 +7.0 +20.8
  Nov 22, 2013 184   Morehead St. W 81-70 96%     4 - 0 +7.0 +6.5 +0.4
  Nov 24, 2013 283   Chattanooga W 106-65 98%     5 - 0 +31.1 +10.2 +14.0
  Nov 28, 2013 139   Nevada W 105-84 90%     6 - 0 +22.9 +24.1 -2.7
  Nov 29, 2013 116   Northwestern W 95-79 87%     7 - 0 +19.6 +29.7 -10.3
  Dec 03, 2013 108   UC Santa Barbara W 89-76 91%     8 - 0 +14.2 +18.9 -4.2
  Dec 07, 2013 65   @ Missouri L 71-80 69%     8 - 1 +1.8 -1.8 +3.9
  Dec 14, 2013 329   Prairie View W 95-71 99%     9 - 1 +8.9 +16.1 -6.9
  Dec 19, 2013 8   Duke L 63-80 47%     9 - 2 -0.2 -9.7 +10.3
  Dec 22, 2013 171   Weber St. W 83-60 95%     10 - 2 +19.8 +5.7 +13.6
  Dec 28, 2013 86   Alabama W 75-67 88%     11 - 2 +11.4 +2.6 +8.5
  Jan 05, 2014 143   USC W 107-73 93%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +33.0 +19.2 +8.6
  Jan 09, 2014 2   Arizona L 75-79 45%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +13.3 +13.9 -0.5
  Jan 12, 2014 37   Arizona St. W 87-72 77%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +23.1 +12.1 +9.7
  Jan 16, 2014 55   @ Colorado W 69-56 65%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +25.1 +3.5 +21.5
  Jan 18, 2014 33   @ Utah L 69-74 56%     14 - 4 3 - 2 +9.5 -0.5 +10.3
  Jan 23, 2014 34   Stanford W 91-74 76%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +25.8 +17.9 +7.1
  Jan 26, 2014 62   California W 76-64 84%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +17.6 +3.2 +14.0
  Jan 30, 2014 24   @ Oregon W 70-68 49%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +18.2 +2.6 +15.6
  Feb 02, 2014 90   @ Oregon St. L 67-71 76%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +4.7 -5.0 +9.8
  Feb 08, 2014 143   @ USC W 83-73 86%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +14.5 +9.8 +4.3
  Feb 13, 2014 55   Colorado W 92-74 81%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +24.5 +19.7 +4.0
  Feb 15, 2014 33   Utah W 80-66 75%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +22.9 +16.4 +7.2
  Feb 19, 2014 62   @ California W 86-66 68%     21 - 5 10 - 3 +31.2 +21.2 +10.5
  Feb 22, 2014 34   @ Stanford L 74-83 56%     21 - 6 10 - 4 +5.3 +10.4 -5.3
  Feb 27, 2014 24   Oregon L 83-87 OT 70%     21 - 7 10 - 5 +6.7 +2.3 +4.9
  Mar 02, 2014 90   Oregon St. W 74-69 88%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +8.2 +1.7 +6.6
  Mar 06, 2014 91   @ Washington W 91-82 76%     23 - 7 12 - 5 +17.6 +18.9 -1.4
  Mar 08, 2014 158   @ Washington St. L 55-73 88%     23 - 8 12 - 6 -14.7 -15.3 +0.9
  Mar 13, 2014 24   Oregon W 82-63 60%     24 - 8 +32.5 +11.6 +20.5
  Mar 14, 2014 34   Stanford W 84-59 67%     25 - 8 +36.6 +22.0 +16.2
  Mar 15, 2014 2   Arizona W 75-71 34%     26 - 8 +24.1 +14.9 +9.2
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.0 0.1 1.8 19.7 55.4 21.0 1.9 0.1
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4.0 0.1 1.8 19.7 55.4 21.0 1.9 0.1