Pre-tourney Rankings
American
Patriot League
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#311
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#265
Pace56.7#349
Improvement+7.0#5

Offense
Total Offense-8.2#334
First Shot-3.3#270
After Offensive Rebound-4.9#351
Layup/Dunks-0.7#209
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#114
Freethrows-2.4#316
Improvement+4.9#7

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#217
First Shot-1.7#224
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#180
Layups/Dunks-6.2#343
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#218
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#4
Freethrows-0.7#227
Improvement+2.1#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 90   @ Rhode Island L 42-65 5%     0 - 1 -13.8 -20.0 +3.3
  Nov 17, 2015 249   Hampton L 48-61 43%     0 - 2 -21.2 -21.9 -0.8
  Nov 21, 2015 297   @ St. Francis (PA) L 48-68 35%     0 - 3 -26.0 -24.2 -4.0
  Nov 25, 2015 35   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 44-72 2%     0 - 4 -13.4 -16.7 +1.2
  Nov 28, 2015 243   @ New Hampshire W 68-50 22%     1 - 4 +16.2 +2.9 +15.2
  Dec 01, 2015 262   @ Mount St. Mary's L 56-81 26%     1 - 5 -28.3 -10.1 -20.1
  Dec 04, 2015 289   @ Youngstown St. W 60-56 33%     2 - 5 -1.3 -8.5 +7.8
  Dec 06, 2015 199   @ Wagner L 48-55 16%     2 - 6 -6.3 -20.6 +14.2
  Dec 17, 2015 100   Stony Brook L 68-86 12%     2 - 7 -15.5 -1.8 -13.8
  Dec 20, 2015 319   Maryland Eastern Shore L 64-79 64%     2 - 8 -28.8 -11.3 -18.7
  Dec 22, 2015 75   @ LSU L 51-79 4%     2 - 9 -17.5 -11.9 -9.4
  Dec 30, 2015 294   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-75 34%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -13.9 -4.8 -9.7
  Jan 03, 2016 256   Colgate L 37-56 45%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -27.8 -30.5 -3.4
  Jan 06, 2016 171   @ Bucknell L 54-72 13%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -15.7 -11.2 -6.8
  Jan 09, 2016 193   Lehigh L 50-65 31%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -19.9 -21.4 +0.1
  Jan 13, 2016 247   Boston University L 50-61 41%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -18.8 -20.0 -0.3
  Jan 17, 2016 251   @ Army L 45-65 24%     2 - 15 0 - 6 -22.5 -19.8 -6.6
  Jan 20, 2016 324   @ Lafayette W 81-73 45%     3 - 15 1 - 6 -0.6 +14.0 -13.4
  Jan 27, 2016 212   @ Navy W 63-58 18%     4 - 15 2 - 6 +4.7 +0.0 +5.3
  Jan 30, 2016 256   @ Colgate W 54-49 25%     5 - 15 3 - 6 +2.1 -12.9 +15.9
  Feb 01, 2016 286   Holy Cross W 58-45 53%     6 - 15 4 - 6 +2.1 -7.9 +12.5
  Feb 03, 2016 171   Bucknell W 69-55 27%     7 - 15 5 - 6 +10.4 -0.7 +12.2
  Feb 06, 2016 193   @ Lehigh L 49-72 15%     7 - 16 5 - 7 -22.1 -21.3 -2.1
  Feb 10, 2016 247   @ Boston University L 51-71 22%     7 - 17 5 - 8 -22.0 -16.9 -7.4
  Feb 13, 2016 251   Army L 59-65 44%     7 - 18 5 - 9 -14.4 -11.8 -3.2
  Feb 17, 2016 324   Lafayette W 60-59 OT 67%     8 - 18 6 - 9 -13.4 -15.6 +2.3
  Feb 21, 2016 286   @ Holy Cross W 71-70 OT 32%     9 - 18 7 - 9 -4.1 -5.8 +1.7
  Feb 24, 2016 212   Navy W 72-65 35%     10 - 18 8 - 9 +0.8 +0.6 +0.4
  Feb 27, 2016 294   Loyola Maryland W 67-66 57%     11 - 18 9 - 9 -10.7 -2.2 -8.3
  Mar 03, 2016 247   @ Boston University W 69-64 22%     12 - 18 +3.0 +1.2 +2.3
  Mar 06, 2016 193   @ Lehigh L 62-78 15%     12 - 19 -15.1 -9.1 -6.5
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%