Pre-tourney Rankings
Colgate
Patriot League
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#256
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#263
Pace63.9#315
Improvement+1.0#141

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#193
First Shot+0.8#154
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#287
Layup/Dunks-3.0#300
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#18
Freethrows-2.5#323
Improvement+3.2#41

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#303
First Shot-3.9#287
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#283
Layups/Dunks-1.4#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#273
Freethrows-0.6#216
Improvement-2.2#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 196   @ George Mason W 66-53 26%     1 - 0 +13.8 -3.1 +17.3
  Nov 16, 2015 275   Cornell L 98-101 2OT 67%     1 - 1 -13.3 -5.5 -7.0
  Nov 19, 2015 131   @ Albany L 67-88 15%     1 - 2 -15.7 -4.1 -11.2
  Nov 24, 2015 148   @ Fordham L 58-84 18%     1 - 3 -22.1 -9.2 -14.1
  Nov 28, 2015 328   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 71-63 63%     2 - 3 -1.3 -4.9 +4.1
  Dec 01, 2015 317   @ Binghamton L 50-69 58%     2 - 4 -26.9 -19.9 -7.3
  Dec 05, 2015 113   @ TCU L 49-76 13%     2 - 5 -20.6 -13.2 -9.9
  Dec 08, 2015 38   @ Syracuse L 51-78 4%     2 - 6 -12.6 -9.2 -5.8
  Dec 13, 2015 243   New Hampshire W 75-59 57%     3 - 6 +8.3 +8.5 +1.8
  Dec 23, 2015 55   @ Georgia Tech L 60-76 5%     3 - 7 -3.3 +4.3 -10.7
  Dec 30, 2015 324   Lafayette W 77-70 79%     4 - 7 1 - 0 -7.4 -4.3 -3.1
  Jan 03, 2016 311   @ American W 56-37 55%     5 - 7 2 - 0 +11.9 +0.8 +17.2
  Jan 06, 2016 286   @ Holy Cross L 63-65 47%     5 - 8 2 - 1 -7.1 -8.0 +0.8
  Jan 09, 2016 212   Navy L 68-71 OT 51%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -9.2 -7.3 -1.8
  Jan 13, 2016 251   Army W 80-66 60%     6 - 9 3 - 2 +5.6 +3.4 +2.2
  Jan 16, 2016 171   @ Bucknell W 84-73 22%     7 - 9 4 - 2 +13.3 +6.0 +6.5
  Jan 20, 2016 247   Boston University W 85-78 57%     8 - 9 5 - 2 -0.8 +4.8 -5.8
  Jan 24, 2016 286   Holy Cross W 76-61 69%     9 - 9 6 - 2 +4.1 +10.3 -3.9
  Jan 27, 2016 193   @ Lehigh L 70-79 26%     9 - 10 6 - 3 -8.1 -5.1 -2.6
  Jan 30, 2016 311   American L 49-54 75%     9 - 11 6 - 4 -17.9 -18.4 -0.3
  Feb 01, 2016 294   @ Loyola Maryland L 65-68 50%     9 - 12 6 - 5 -8.9 -7.8 -1.3
  Feb 06, 2016 212   @ Navy W 58-55 30%     10 - 12 7 - 5 +2.7 +1.7 +1.7
  Feb 08, 2016 251   @ Army L 72-82 37%     10 - 13 7 - 6 -12.5 -0.2 -12.5
  Feb 13, 2016 171   Bucknell W 91-81 41%     11 - 13 8 - 6 +6.4 +18.3 -11.6
  Feb 17, 2016 247   @ Boston University L 68-71 35%     11 - 14 8 - 7 -5.0 -8.5 +3.7
  Feb 21, 2016 294   Loyola Maryland W 93-90 OT 71%     12 - 14 9 - 7 -8.7 +15.0 -23.7
  Feb 24, 2016 193   Lehigh L 54-71 46%     12 - 15 9 - 8 -21.9 -18.9 -3.9
  Feb 27, 2016 324   @ Lafayette L 77-79 61%     12 - 16 9 - 9 -10.6 +0.8 -11.4
  Mar 03, 2016 251   @ Army L 72-79 37%     12 - 17 -9.5 +0.3 -10.0
Projected Record 12.0 - 17.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%