Pre-tourney Rankings
Lafayette
Patriot League
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#324
Expected Predictive Rating-12.7#327
Pace73.0#97
Improvement+0.8#149

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#264
First Shot-0.3#186
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#340
Layup/Dunks-2.8#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#142
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#48
Freethrows-2.1#308
Improvement-0.8#223

Defense
Total Defense-7.9#341
First Shot-5.0#322
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#349
Layups/Dunks-2.4#274
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#259
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#210
Freethrows-0.9#235
Improvement+1.6#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 72   @ George Washington L 76-85 3%     0 - 1 +1.7 +2.7 -0.5
  Nov 15, 2015 207   St. Peter's W 87-86 OT 29%     1 - 1 -4.9 +4.8 -9.8
  Nov 21, 2015 223   @ NJIT L 66-80 16%     1 - 2 -14.6 -8.4 -6.0
  Nov 23, 2015 250   @ La Salle L 75-83 20%     1 - 3 -10.5 -1.7 -8.5
  Nov 25, 2015 76   @ Princeton L 52-104 3%     1 - 4 -41.6 -22.6 -14.2
  Nov 29, 2015 245   Penn W 92-86 36%     2 - 4 -1.7 +10.0 -12.1
  Dec 02, 2015 274   St. Francis Brooklyn L 62-69 45%     2 - 5 -17.2 -10.1 -7.2
  Dec 05, 2015 275   @ Cornell L 67-85 25%     2 - 6 -22.5 -16.8 -3.2
  Dec 09, 2015 269   Fairleigh Dickinson L 89-91 OT 43%     2 - 7 -11.6 -13.6 +2.5
  Dec 12, 2015 298   @ Sacred Heart W 90-86 30%     3 - 7 -2.0 +4.4 -6.8
  Dec 23, 2015 41   @ USC L 64-100 2%     3 - 8 -22.2 -4.1 -17.6
  Dec 30, 2015 256   @ Colgate L 70-77 21%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -9.9 -5.5 -4.5
  Jan 02, 2016 294   Loyola Maryland L 78-81 51%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -14.7 -2.3 -12.4
  Jan 06, 2016 251   @ Army W 76-73 20%     4 - 10 1 - 2 +0.5 -5.7 +5.8
  Jan 09, 2016 247   @ Boston University L 47-68 18%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -23.0 -29.2 +7.2
  Jan 13, 2016 286   Holy Cross W 65-52 48%     5 - 11 2 - 3 +2.1 -11.1 +13.4
  Jan 16, 2016 212   @ Navy L 61-87 15%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -26.3 -2.1 -27.5
  Jan 20, 2016 311   American L 73-81 55%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -20.9 +8.1 -30.2
  Jan 25, 2016 171   @ Bucknell L 67-79 10%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -9.7 -11.5 +2.9
  Jan 30, 2016 294   @ Loyola Maryland L 77-84 29%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -12.9 +1.8 -14.9
  Feb 03, 2016 251   Army L 81-84 OT 38%     5 - 16 2 - 8 -11.4 -5.3 -5.7
  Feb 06, 2016 247   Boston University L 82-89 OT 36%     5 - 17 2 - 9 -14.8 -0.4 -13.9
  Feb 08, 2016 193   Lehigh L 72-87 26%     5 - 18 2 - 10 -19.9 -6.4 -13.0
  Feb 10, 2016 286   @ Holy Cross L 53-67 27%     5 - 19 2 - 11 -19.1 -15.5 -5.0
  Feb 13, 2016 212   Navy L 68-74 30%     5 - 20 2 - 12 -12.2 -3.3 -9.1
  Feb 17, 2016 311   @ American L 59-60 OT 33%     5 - 21 2 - 13 -8.1 -7.6 -0.6
  Feb 21, 2016 193   @ Lehigh L 61-73 13%     5 - 22 2 - 14 -11.1 -13.6 +2.9
  Feb 24, 2016 171   Bucknell L 83-86 2OT 22%     5 - 23 2 - 15 -6.6 -3.6 -2.5
  Feb 27, 2016 256   Colgate W 79-77 39%     6 - 23 3 - 15 -6.8 +2.9 -9.5
  Mar 01, 2016 212   @ Navy L 70-78 15%     6 - 24 -8.3 -2.5 -5.6
Projected Record 6.0 - 24.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%