Pre-tourney Rankings
Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#96
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#76
Pace72.6#109
Improvement+1.7#108

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#75
First Shot+3.1#88
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#92
Layup/Dunks+2.0#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#34
Freethrows+1.3#88
Improvement-2.3#287

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#131
First Shot+1.5#128
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#190
Layups/Dunks+0.4#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#173
Freethrows+5.0#3
Improvement+4.0#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.7% n/a n/a
First Round0.6% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 231   Canisius W 96-85 88%     1 - 0 +4.0 +6.1 -3.2
  Nov 20, 2015 46   Florida St. W 82-77 32%     2 - 0 +15.6 +4.7 +10.4
  Nov 22, 2015 45   South Carolina L 84-94 32%     2 - 1 +0.6 +15.9 -14.9
  Nov 23, 2015 165   Indiana St. L 66-67 72%     2 - 2 -1.4 -7.4 +6.1
  Nov 28, 2015 83   @ St. Bonaventure W 89-83 35%     3 - 2 +15.7 +10.5 +4.6
  Dec 02, 2015 250   @ La Salle W 84-80 78%     4 - 2 +1.5 +6.9 -5.6
  Dec 06, 2015 260   Appalachian St. W 86-80 87%     5 - 2 -0.1 +6.2 -6.5
  Dec 09, 2015 119   @ Siena L 68-81 49%     5 - 3 -7.0 -8.0 +2.0
  Dec 20, 2015 100   @ Stony Brook L 68-71 40%     5 - 4 +5.3 +2.0 +3.2
  Dec 22, 2015 301   Florida Atlantic W 68-54 94%     6 - 4 +1.9 -3.1 +6.2
  Dec 28, 2015 298   Sacred Heart W 80-73 94%     7 - 4 -4.8 -3.2 -1.9
  Dec 31, 2015 270   Delaware W 90-80 92%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +0.3 +3.3 -3.9
  Jan 02, 2016 140   @ Towson W 90-58 54%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +36.7 +21.0 +16.5
  Jan 07, 2016 124   @ College of Charleston L 61-72 50%     9 - 5 2 - 1 -5.3 +1.0 -6.9
  Jan 09, 2016 156   @ Elon W 80-76 59%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +7.4 +6.8 +0.5
  Jan 14, 2016 230   Drexel W 69-61 88%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +1.0 -11.7 +12.1
  Jan 16, 2016 97   James Madison L 82-86 OT 61%     11 - 6 4 - 2 -1.2 -1.2 +0.7
  Jan 21, 2016 127   @ Northeastern W 96-92 3OT 51%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +9.4 +6.8 +1.8
  Jan 24, 2016 92   William & Mary W 91-63 61%     13 - 6 6 - 2 +31.0 +17.0 +14.1
  Jan 28, 2016 156   Elon W 66-64 78%     14 - 6 7 - 2 -0.5 -12.8 +12.3
  Jan 30, 2016 230   @ Drexel W 70-64 75%     15 - 6 8 - 2 +4.9 +4.6 +0.8
  Feb 04, 2016 87   UNC Wilmington L 67-70 58%     15 - 7 8 - 3 +0.6 -4.4 +5.1
  Feb 07, 2016 97   @ James Madison L 95-98 OT 39%     15 - 8 8 - 4 +5.6 +13.6 -7.5
  Feb 11, 2016 92   @ William & Mary W 86-80 38%     16 - 8 9 - 4 +14.8 +6.3 +7.9
  Feb 13, 2016 270   @ Delaware W 77-66 82%     17 - 8 10 - 4 +7.2 +2.2 +5.1
  Feb 18, 2016 140   Towson W 84-82 75%     18 - 8 11 - 4 +0.9 +9.4 -8.6
  Feb 21, 2016 127   Northeastern W 65-60 72%     19 - 8 12 - 4 +4.6 -7.9 +12.6
  Feb 25, 2016 87   @ UNC Wilmington W 70-69 36%     20 - 8 13 - 4 +10.5 +3.5 +7.0
  Feb 27, 2016 124   College of Charleston W 72-63 71%     21 - 8 14 - 4 +8.9 +7.3 +1.8
  Mar 05, 2016 230   Drexel W 80-67 82%     22 - 8 +8.9 +7.4 +1.7
  Mar 06, 2016 92   William & Mary W 70-67 50%     23 - 8 +8.9 -2.2 +11.1
  Mar 07, 2016 87   UNC Wilmington L 73-80 OT 47%     23 - 9 -0.5 +1.2 -1.5
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 1.7% 1.7% 11.3 0.0 1.2 0.5 0.0 98.3 1.7%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7% 11.3 0.0 1.2 0.5 0.0 98.3 1.7%