Pre-tourney Rankings
Elon
Colonial Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#156
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#162
Pace77.7#37
Improvement-0.7#211

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#147
First Shot+1.3#135
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#185
Layup/Dunks-0.6#207
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#270
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#22
Freethrows-2.2#311
Improvement-2.1#282

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#190
First Shot-1.1#206
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#133
Layups/Dunks+0.1#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#81
Freethrows+1.8#60
Improvement+1.4#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 195   @ Charlotte W 85-74 49%     1 - 0 +11.8 +0.0 +10.4
  Nov 16, 2015 42   @ Michigan L 68-88 11%     1 - 1 -6.3 +1.1 -7.9
  Nov 21, 2015 38   @ Syracuse L 55-66 10%     1 - 2 +3.4 -9.9 +13.3
  Nov 26, 2015 262   Mount St. Mary's W 79-74 82%     2 - 2 -4.1 -4.4 -0.4
  Nov 27, 2015 177   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 81-85 66%     2 - 3 -7.8 +3.5 -11.1
  Nov 30, 2015 258   Kennesaw St. W 103-93 OT 81%     3 - 3 +1.0 +4.2 -5.3
  Dec 04, 2015 236   @ Florida International W 77-71 58%     4 - 3 +4.4 +2.2 +2.1
  Dec 16, 2015 295   Alabama St. W 91-74 87%     5 - 3 +5.2 +5.9 -1.9
  Dec 19, 2015 210   UNC Greensboro W 79-69 73%     6 - 3 +3.9 -2.8 +6.1
  Dec 21, 2015 125   @ UNC Asheville W 86-81 31%     7 - 3 +10.6 +6.1 +3.7
  Dec 28, 2015 17   @ Duke L 66-105 6%     7 - 4 -20.4 -8.7 -7.5
  Dec 31, 2015 127   Northeastern L 79-86 53%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -7.4 -1.6 -5.2
  Jan 02, 2016 230   Drexel W 83-78 76%     8 - 5 1 - 1 -2.0 -4.1 +1.4
  Jan 07, 2016 97   @ James Madison W 79-73 22%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +14.6 +4.8 +9.3
  Jan 09, 2016 96   Hofstra L 76-80 41%     9 - 6 2 - 2 -1.2 +2.1 -3.2
  Jan 14, 2016 87   UNC Wilmington L 82-91 38%     9 - 7 2 - 3 -5.4 +4.6 -9.4
  Jan 16, 2016 124   @ College of Charleston W 65-64 31%     10 - 7 3 - 3 +6.7 +6.5 +0.3
  Jan 21, 2016 92   @ William & Mary L 67-89 21%     10 - 8 3 - 4 -13.2 -1.4 -12.8
  Jan 23, 2016 97   James Madison L 64-82 41%     10 - 9 3 - 5 -15.2 -7.0 -8.0
  Jan 28, 2016 96   @ Hofstra L 64-66 22%     10 - 10 3 - 6 +6.7 -9.6 +16.4
  Jan 30, 2016 127   @ Northeastern W 71-67 32%     11 - 10 4 - 6 +9.4 -0.8 +10.2
  Feb 04, 2016 270   Delaware W 83-56 83%     12 - 10 5 - 6 +17.3 -4.5 +19.0
  Feb 06, 2016 140   Towson L 77-81 56%     12 - 11 5 - 7 -5.1 -1.1 -3.8
  Feb 11, 2016 87   @ UNC Wilmington L 82-86 20%     12 - 12 5 - 8 +5.5 +8.4 -2.8
  Feb 13, 2016 124   College of Charleston L 62-66 52%     12 - 13 5 - 9 -4.1 +4.4 -9.1
  Feb 18, 2016 230   @ Drexel W 81-76 56%     13 - 13 6 - 9 +3.9 +14.0 -9.8
  Feb 20, 2016 140   @ Towson L 56-67 34%     13 - 14 6 - 10 -6.3 -12.3 +5.5
  Feb 25, 2016 92   William & Mary L 65-75 40%     13 - 15 6 - 11 -7.0 -6.6 -0.8
  Feb 27, 2016 270   @ Delaware W 77-59 66%     14 - 15 7 - 11 +14.2 +2.4 +12.0
  Mar 04, 2016 230   Drexel L 56-57 67%     14 - 16 -5.1 -8.8 +3.5
Projected Record 14.0 - 16.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%