Pre-tourney Rankings
Towson
Colonial Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#140
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#133
Pace64.6#302
Improvement+4.3#22

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#131
First Shot-2.4#250
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#2
Layup/Dunks-4.9#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#295
Freethrows+3.1#15
Improvement+3.6#27

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#172
First Shot-1.3#211
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#45
Layups/Dunks-0.4#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#101
Freethrows-2.0#299
Improvement+0.8#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 250   @ La Salle L 76-78 66%     0 - 1 -4.5 +2.9 -7.4
  Nov 16, 2015 305   Morgan St. W 69-61 90%     1 - 1 -4.4 -12.6 +7.7
  Nov 19, 2015 82   Oklahoma St. L 52-69 31%     1 - 2 -10.2 -12.1 +0.8
  Nov 20, 2015 67   Mississippi L 60-76 27%     1 - 3 -7.9 -0.4 -10.0
  Nov 22, 2015 314   Bradley W 62-60 87%     2 - 3 -8.3 -6.8 -1.4
  Nov 28, 2015 329   @ Coppin St. W 81-77 OT 85%     3 - 3 -5.5 -4.8 -1.1
  Dec 02, 2015 196   George Mason W 75-54 74%     4 - 3 +16.0 +7.7 +10.2
  Dec 05, 2015 298   Sacred Heart W 83-61 89%     5 - 3 +10.2 -0.4 +9.6
  Dec 08, 2015 294   @ Loyola Maryland W 65-54 77%     6 - 3 +5.1 -11.0 +16.3
  Dec 18, 2015 269   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 68-69 70%     6 - 4 -4.7 -5.8 +1.0
  Dec 23, 2015 328   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 91-65 93%     7 - 4 +10.8 +14.1 -1.4
  Dec 24, 2015 328   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 91-65 93%     8 - 4 +10.8 +15.6 -2.4
  Dec 31, 2015 92   @ William & Mary W 76-69 25%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +15.8 +0.6 +14.8
  Jan 02, 2016 96   Hofstra L 58-90 46%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -29.2 -13.4 -16.5
  Jan 07, 2016 87   UNC Wilmington W 76-60 43%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +19.6 +8.2 +12.3
  Jan 09, 2016 97   @ James Madison L 59-73 26%     10 - 6 2 - 2 -5.4 -2.9 -3.8
  Jan 14, 2016 270   @ Delaware W 79-77 71%     11 - 6 3 - 2 -1.8 +2.1 -4.0
  Jan 16, 2016 230   Drexel W 69-50 80%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +12.0 -5.9 +18.0
  Jan 21, 2016 124   College of Charleston L 37-40 57%     12 - 7 4 - 3 -3.1 -18.1 +14.1
  Jan 23, 2016 127   @ Northeastern W 79-72 36%     13 - 7 5 - 3 +12.4 +7.0 +5.4
  Jan 28, 2016 230   @ Drexel W 77-70 61%     14 - 7 6 - 3 +5.9 +12.8 -6.2
  Jan 30, 2016 270   Delaware W 101-97 OT 86%     15 - 7 7 - 3 -5.7 +14.7 -20.7
  Feb 04, 2016 124   @ College of Charleston L 47-65 35%     15 - 8 7 - 4 -12.3 -11.9 -2.2
  Feb 06, 2016 156   @ Elon W 81-77 44%     16 - 8 8 - 4 +7.4 +4.7 +2.5
  Feb 11, 2016 127   Northeastern L 44-47 58%     16 - 9 8 - 5 -3.4 -19.4 +15.3
  Feb 13, 2016 92   William & Mary W 99-82 45%     17 - 9 9 - 5 +20.0 +21.6 -2.2
  Feb 18, 2016 96   @ Hofstra L 82-84 25%     17 - 10 9 - 6 +6.7 +11.7 -5.0
  Feb 20, 2016 156   Elon W 67-56 66%     18 - 10 10 - 6 +8.5 -4.6 +13.7
  Feb 25, 2016 97   James Madison W 69-67 46%     19 - 10 11 - 6 +4.8 +4.3 +0.7
  Feb 27, 2016 87   @ UNC Wilmington L 68-74 23%     19 - 11 11 - 7 +3.5 +0.1 +3.3
  Mar 05, 2016 127   Northeastern L 60-71 47%     19 - 12 -8.5 -0.2 -10.6
Projected Record 19.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%