Pre-tourney Rankings
USC
Pac-12
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#41
Expected Predictive Rating+11.0#43
Pace77.1#48
Improvement-4.2#320

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#35
First Shot+5.1#49
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#51
Layup/Dunks+3.9#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#109
Freethrows+0.0#172
Improvement-1.6#258

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#73
First Shot+4.3#57
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#210
Layups/Dunks+1.1#135
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#197
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#185
Freethrows+3.6#16
Improvement-2.6#302
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.1% n/a n/a
First Round90.1% n/a n/a
Second Round43.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.7% n/a n/a
Final Four1.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 263   San Diego W 83-45 96%     1 - 0 +28.8 +4.8 +21.7
  Nov 16, 2015 85   Monmouth W 101-90 76%     2 - 0 +14.6 +16.3 -3.3
  Nov 21, 2015 116   New Mexico W 90-82 84%     3 - 0 +8.3 +8.9 -1.2
  Nov 23, 2015 238   Cal St. Northridge W 96-61 95%     4 - 0 +27.5 +11.6 +12.6
  Nov 26, 2015 24   Wichita St. W 72-69 36%     5 - 0 +17.5 +2.5 +14.7
  Nov 27, 2015 15   Xavier L 77-87 32%     5 - 1 +5.8 +4.9 +1.7
  Nov 29, 2015 85   Monmouth L 73-83 66%     5 - 2 -3.4 -5.4 +3.3
  Dec 03, 2015 104   @ UC Santa Barbara W 75-63 62%     6 - 2 +19.9 +11.5 +9.0
  Dec 07, 2015 217   Idaho W 74-55 94%     7 - 2 +12.7 +2.3 +10.9
  Dec 13, 2015 60   Yale W 68-56 68%     8 - 2 +18.1 +6.9 +12.4
  Dec 17, 2015 204   Cal Poly W 101-82 93%     9 - 2 +13.3 +9.3 +1.5
  Dec 21, 2015 309   SIU Edwardsville W 70-51 98%     10 - 2 +6.1 -15.1 +19.1
  Dec 23, 2015 324   Lafayette W 100-64 98%     11 - 2 +21.6 +16.6 +4.6
  Jan 01, 2016 169   @ Washington St. W 90-77 79%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +15.4 +5.9 +7.6
  Jan 03, 2016 56   @ Washington L 85-87 43%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +10.7 +1.7 +9.3
  Jan 07, 2016 86   Arizona St. W 75-65 76%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +13.6 +0.4 +12.8
  Jan 09, 2016 12   Arizona W 103-101 4OT 40%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +15.5 +7.3 +7.6
  Jan 13, 2016 63   @ UCLA W 89-75 48%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +25.4 +16.0 +8.8
  Jan 21, 2016 10   @ Oregon L 81-89 20%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +11.9 +7.1 +5.6
  Jan 24, 2016 57   @ Oregon St. L 70-85 44%     15 - 5 4 - 3 -2.7 -5.3 +4.5
  Jan 28, 2016 169   Washington St. W 81-71 90%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +6.5 +3.1 +3.0
  Jan 30, 2016 56   Washington W 98-88 65%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +16.8 +15.4 +0.0
  Feb 04, 2016 63   UCLA W 80-61 70%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +24.6 +5.6 +18.3
  Feb 12, 2016 86   @ Arizona St. L 67-74 56%     18 - 6 7 - 4 +2.5 -1.5 +4.0
  Feb 14, 2016 12   @ Arizona L 78-86 21%     18 - 7 7 - 5 +11.3 +7.7 +4.1
  Feb 17, 2016 47   Colorado W 79-72 63%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +14.6 +7.7 +6.5
  Feb 21, 2016 26   Utah L 69-80 49%     19 - 8 8 - 6 +0.2 +5.8 -6.5
  Feb 25, 2016 89   @ Stanford L 64-84 57%     19 - 9 8 - 7 -10.8 -2.8 -8.4
  Feb 28, 2016 23   California L 65-87 36%     19 - 10 8 - 8 -7.3 -5.7 +0.7
  Mar 02, 2016 57   Oregon St. W 81-70 67%     20 - 10 9 - 8 +17.5 +12.6 +5.0
  Mar 05, 2016 10   Oregon L 66-76 38%     20 - 11 9 - 9 +4.1 +1.2 +2.4
  Mar 09, 2016 63   UCLA W 95-71 59%     21 - 11 +32.5 +16.6 +13.9
  Mar 10, 2016 26   Utah L 72-80 38%     21 - 12 +6.2 +7.9 -2.1
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 91.3% 91.3% 9.2 0.0 2.0 15.9 36.3 32.5 4.6 8.7 91.3%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 91.3% 0.0% 91.3% 9.2 0.0 2.0 15.9 36.3 32.5 4.6 8.7 91.3%