Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
2 Villanova 100.0%   1   31 - 3 15 - 3 31 - 3 15 - 3 +22.1      +12.3 8 +9.8 7 62.5 300 +23.8 2 +20.4 1
26 Butler 100.0%   4   23 - 8 12 - 6 23 - 8 12 - 6 +15.3      +9.5 20 +5.8 47 62.8 291 +16.3 21 +15.4 2
27 Creighton 100.0%   6   24 - 9 10 - 8 24 - 9 10 - 8 +14.7      +7.6 31 +7.1 28 75.1 37 +15.0 25 +12.4 6
28 Marquette 95.6%   9   19 - 12 10 - 8 19 - 12 10 - 8 +13.3      +12.4 5 +0.9 145 71.4 89 +11.6 43 +12.5 5
41 Xavier 93.4%   10   21 - 13 9 - 9 21 - 13 9 - 9 +11.4      +8.0 30 +3.4 80 65.9 224 +12.6 36 +11.3 7
42 Seton Hall 96.9%   8   21 - 11 10 - 8 21 - 11 10 - 8 +11.4      +4.7 60 +6.7 35 65.7 227 +13.6 33 +12.8 4
50 Providence 85.5%   10   20 - 12 10 - 8 20 - 12 10 - 8 +10.4      +3.4 82 +7.0 31 64.5 257 +11.4 44 +12.9 3
62 Georgetown 0.0%   14 - 18 5 - 13 14 - 18 5 - 13 +8.8      +3.7 76 +5.1 53 68.7 149 +6.7 79 +5.2 9
89 St. John's 0.0%   14 - 19 7 - 11 14 - 19 7 - 11 +5.0      +3.6 78 +1.4 123 78.3 15 +5.5 94 +9.0 8
152 DePaul 0.0%   9 - 23 2 - 16 9 - 23 2 - 16 +0.6      -0.4 177 +1.0 138 67.1 203 -1.5 192 -0.2 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Villanova 1.0 100.0
Butler 2.0 100.0
Creighton 3.0 100.0
Marquette 3.0 100.0
Xavier 7.0 100.0
Seton Hall 3.0 100.0
Providence 3.0 100.0
Georgetown 9.0 100.0
St. John's 8.0 100.0
DePaul 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Villanova 15 - 3 100.0
Butler 12 - 6 100.0
Creighton 10 - 8 100.0
Marquette 10 - 8 100.0
Xavier 9 - 9 100.0
Seton Hall 10 - 8 100.0
Providence 10 - 8 100.0
Georgetown 5 - 13 100.0
St. John's 7 - 11 100.0
DePaul 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Villanova 100.0% 100.0
Butler
Creighton
Marquette
Xavier
Seton Hall
Providence
Georgetown
St. John's
DePaul


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Villanova 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   85.6 14.3 0.1
Butler 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.2 10.5 37.6 44.9 6.8 0.0 100.0%
Creighton 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6   0.0 0.8 13.0 56.1 28.4 1.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Marquette 95.6% 0.0% 95.6% 9   0.1 4.9 33.0 34.2 20.4 3.1 4.4 95.6%
Xavier 93.4% 0.0% 93.4% 10   0.1 2.7 15.3 28.5 32.8 13.8 0.2 6.6 93.4%
Seton Hall 96.9% 0.0% 96.9% 8   0.0 0.4 9.2 34.5 33.6 16.9 2.4 0.0 3.1 96.9%
Providence 85.5% 0.0% 85.5% 10   0.3 5.9 16.7 33.5 28.4 0.9 14.5 85.5%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.1% 81.9% 56.9% 38.0% 23.2% 13.9%
Butler 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 78.7% 37.3% 13.5% 5.5% 1.9% 0.6%
Creighton 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 62.0% 24.2% 9.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Marquette 95.6% 0.6% 95.4% 50.7% 13.0% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Xavier 93.4% 5.1% 90.9% 39.1% 8.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Seton Hall 96.9% 0.5% 96.6% 43.8% 8.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Providence 85.5% 13.7% 77.8% 28.7% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.7 0.0 1.9 24.6 73.4
1st Round 100.0% 6.6 0.1 3.1 33.0 63.9
2nd Round 100.0% 4.0 0.0 0.7 7.0 23.0 36.7 24.8 7.2 0.7
Sweet Sixteen 95.5% 1.8 4.5 35.1 40.5 16.7 2.9 0.3
Elite Eight 72.1% 0.9 27.9 55.0 15.6 1.4 0.1
Final Four 46.0% 0.5 54.0 42.4 3.5 0.1
Final Game 26.5% 0.3 73.5 26.0 0.5
Champion 15.0% 0.1 85.0 15.0