Pre-tourney Rankings
Marquette
Big East
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.3#28
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#43
Pace71.4#89
Improvement-1.3#242

Offense
Total Offense+12.4#5
First Shot+12.7#3
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#193
Layup/Dunks+0.9#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#158
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.3#2
Freethrows+1.1#102
Improvement+2.1#60

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#145
First Shot+0.8#141
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#191
Layups/Dunks+0.8#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#275
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#142
Freethrows+0.9#115
Improvement-3.4#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 95.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 95.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.6% n/a n/a
First Round95.4% n/a n/a
Second Round50.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.8% n/a n/a
Final Four1.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 34   Vanderbilt W 95-71 54%     1 - 0 +36.3 +20.9 +13.4
  Nov 14, 2016 336   Howard W 81-49 99%     2 - 0 +15.1 +8.3 +9.0
  Nov 17, 2016 21   Michigan L 61-79 38%     2 - 1 -1.6 -9.7 +8.7
  Nov 18, 2016 73   Pittsburgh L 75-78 71%     2 - 2 +4.7 +0.1 +4.7
  Nov 22, 2016 205   IUPUI W 104-79 95%     3 - 2 +19.6 +16.6 +0.8
  Nov 26, 2016 219   Houston Baptist W 101-79 95%     4 - 2 +15.8 +17.0 -2.6
  Nov 30, 2016 317   Western Carolina W 90-44 98%     5 - 2 +33.1 +17.7 +16.5
  Dec 04, 2016 55   @ Georgia W 89-79 54%     6 - 2 +22.2 +23.6 -1.4
  Dec 06, 2016 98   Fresno St. W 84-81 85%     7 - 2 +5.0 +14.7 -9.7
  Dec 10, 2016 23   Wisconsin L 84-93 50%     7 - 3 +4.2 +18.6 -14.4
  Dec 19, 2016 263   St. Francis (PA) W 78-65 97%     8 - 3 +4.5 -2.9 +6.8
  Dec 21, 2016 313   SIU Edwardsville W 89-56 98%     9 - 3 +20.3 +10.6 +9.4
  Dec 28, 2016 62   Georgetown W 76-66 75%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +16.2 +9.8 +6.8
  Jan 01, 2017 42   @ Seton Hall L 66-69 48%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +10.9 +2.8 +8.0
  Jan 07, 2017 2   Villanova L 81-93 20%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +10.1 +25.5 -16.4
  Jan 11, 2017 42   Seton Hall W 89-86 OT 67%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +11.8 +15.5 -3.8
  Jan 14, 2017 152   DePaul W 83-58 92%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +23.1 +24.2 +3.1
  Jan 16, 2017 26   @ Butler L 80-88 33%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +9.8 +20.7 -11.5
  Jan 21, 2017 27   @ Creighton W 102-94 35%     13 - 6 4 - 3 +25.2 +27.9 -3.5
  Jan 24, 2017 2   Villanova W 74-72 27%     14 - 6 5 - 3 +21.6 +16.8 +5.0
  Jan 28, 2017 50   Providence L 78-79 70%     14 - 7 5 - 4 +6.8 +14.9 -8.1
  Feb 01, 2017 89   @ St. John's L 72-86 71%     14 - 8 5 - 5 -6.5 -1.0 -4.9
  Feb 04, 2017 152   @ DePaul W 92-79 83%     15 - 8 6 - 5 +16.1 +27.2 -10.3
  Feb 07, 2017 26   Butler L 65-68 52%     15 - 9 6 - 6 +9.8 +3.6 +5.8
  Feb 11, 2017 62   @ Georgetown L 62-80 58%     15 - 10 6 - 7 -6.7 +2.0 -10.6
  Feb 18, 2017 41   Xavier W 83-61 67%     16 - 10 7 - 7 +30.8 +15.6 +16.1
  Feb 21, 2017 89   St. John's W 93-71 84%     17 - 10 8 - 7 +24.5 +16.4 +7.1
  Feb 25, 2017 50   @ Providence L 69-73 52%     17 - 11 8 - 8 +8.9 +11.3 -2.8
  Mar 01, 2017 41   @ Xavier W 95-84 48%     18 - 11 9 - 8 +24.9 +27.5 -2.5
  Mar 04, 2017 27   Creighton W 91-83 55%     19 - 11 10 - 8 +20.1 +17.7 +1.9
  Mar 09, 2017 42   Seton Hall L 76-82 57%     19 - 12 +5.4 +10.2 -4.8
Projected Record 19.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 95.6% 95.6% 8.8 0.1 4.9 33.0 34.2 20.4 3.1 4.4 95.6%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 95.6% 0.0% 95.6% 8.8 0.1 4.9 33.0 34.2 20.4 3.1 4.4 95.6%