Pre-tourney Rankings
Xavier
Big East
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.4#41
Expected Predictive Rating+12.6#36
Pace65.9#224
Improvement-0.7#207

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#30
First Shot+6.4#33
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#63
Layup/Dunks+5.0#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#144
Freethrows+3.2#21
Improvement+3.0#40

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#80
First Shot+1.9#111
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#40
Layups/Dunks+0.9#135
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#182
Freethrows+1.9#67
Improvement-3.7#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 93.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 93.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.1% n/a n/a
First Round90.9% n/a n/a
Second Round39.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 133   Lehigh W 84-81 87%     1 - 0 +2.1 +4.8 -2.9
  Nov 14, 2016 125   Buffalo W 86-53 86%     2 - 0 +32.5 +12.7 +19.7
  Nov 17, 2016 137   Missouri W 83-82 OT 83%     3 - 0 +2.4 +1.0 +1.3
  Nov 18, 2016 39   Clemson W 83-77 49%     4 - 0 +17.5 +9.9 +7.3
  Nov 20, 2016 153   Northern Iowa W 67-59 84%     5 - 0 +8.6 +2.4 +6.5
  Nov 26, 2016 153   Northern Iowa W 64-42 89%     6 - 0 +20.0 +9.0 +15.7
  Nov 29, 2016 167   North Dakota St. W 85-55 90%     7 - 0 +27.5 +20.6 +10.4
  Dec 03, 2016 15   @ Baylor L 61-76 20%     7 - 1 +5.2 -0.8 +5.9
  Dec 07, 2016 72   @ Colorado L 66-68 54%     7 - 2 +8.3 -1.8 +10.0
  Dec 10, 2016 48   Utah W 77-69 62%     8 - 2 +16.3 +16.4 +0.9
  Dec 17, 2016 29   Wake Forest W 69-65 54%     9 - 2 +14.4 -3.3 +17.7
  Dec 20, 2016 186   Eastern Washington W 85-56 91%     10 - 2 +25.4 +17.1 +11.7
  Dec 28, 2016 50   Providence W 82-56 63%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +33.8 +21.9 +14.1
  Dec 31, 2016 62   @ Georgetown W 81-76 50%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +16.3 +18.5 -2.0
  Jan 07, 2017 89   St. John's W 97-82 80%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +17.5 +20.7 -3.8
  Jan 10, 2017 2   @ Villanova L 54-79 11%     13 - 3 3 - 1 -0.3 -7.6 +7.2
  Jan 14, 2017 26   @ Butler L 78-83 27%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +12.8 +14.0 -1.3
  Jan 16, 2017 27   Creighton L 67-72 47%     13 - 5 3 - 3 +7.1 +0.1 +7.0
  Jan 22, 2017 62   Georgetown W 86-75 69%     14 - 5 4 - 3 +17.2 +18.7 -1.2
  Jan 26, 2017 24   @ Cincinnati L 78-86 26%     14 - 6 +10.0 +23.7 -14.5
  Jan 29, 2017 89   @ St. John's W 82-77 65%     15 - 6 5 - 3 +12.5 +9.4 +3.0
  Feb 01, 2017 42   Seton Hall W 72-70 60%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +10.8 +10.5 +0.5
  Feb 04, 2017 27   @ Creighton W 82-80 29%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +19.2 +23.2 -3.8
  Feb 08, 2017 152   DePaul W 72-61 89%     18 - 6 8 - 3 +9.1 +3.0 +6.7
  Feb 11, 2017 2   Villanova L 57-73 22%     18 - 7 8 - 4 +3.6 +6.4 -6.6
  Feb 15, 2017 50   @ Providence L 63-75 44%     18 - 8 8 - 5 +0.9 +4.3 -4.5
  Feb 18, 2017 28   @ Marquette L 61-83 33%     18 - 9 8 - 6 -6.2 -7.3 +0.3
  Feb 22, 2017 42   @ Seton Hall L 64-71 40%     18 - 10 8 - 7 +6.9 +9.4 -3.6
  Feb 26, 2017 26   Butler L 79-88 45%     18 - 11 8 - 8 +3.8 +13.8 -10.4
  Mar 01, 2017 28   Marquette L 84-95 52%     18 - 12 8 - 9 -0.2 +11.4 -11.7
  Mar 04, 2017 152   @ DePaul W 79-65 78%     19 - 12 9 - 9 +17.1 +15.1 +3.2
  Mar 08, 2017 152   DePaul W 75-64 84%     20 - 12 +11.6 +7.2 +5.0
  Mar 09, 2017 26   Butler W 62-57 35%     21 - 12 +20.3 +5.2 +15.9
  Mar 10, 2017 27   Creighton L 72-75 37%     21 - 13 +11.7 +11.1 +0.3
Projected Record 21.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 93.4% 93.4% 9.4 0.1 2.7 15.3 28.5 32.8 13.8 0.2 6.6 93.4%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 93.4% 0.0% 93.4% 9.4 0.1 2.7 15.3 28.5 32.8 13.8 0.2 6.6 93.4%