Pre-tourney Rankings
UCLA
Pac-12
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.8#12
Expected Predictive Rating+20.0#6
Pace81.6#6
Improvement-2.7#289

Offense
Total Offense+13.0#2
First Shot+11.6#6
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#78
Layup/Dunks+4.9#21
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#41
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#53
Freethrows-0.4#202
Improvement-1.2#244

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#60
First Shot+4.5#53
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#164
Layups/Dunks+3.3#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#314
Freethrows+5.0#3
Improvement-1.4#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 2.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 15.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 94.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round91.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen56.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight27.3% n/a n/a
Final Four12.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.8% n/a n/a
National Champion2.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 227   Pacific W 119-80 98%     1 - 0 +32.3 +34.2 -4.9
  Nov 13, 2016 280   Cal St. Northridge W 102-87 99%     2 - 0 +4.9 -0.2 +2.0
  Nov 17, 2016 240   San Diego W 88-68 98%     3 - 0 +12.6 +6.9 +4.7
  Nov 20, 2016 226   Long Beach St. W 114-77 98%     4 - 0 +30.4 +18.7 +6.0
  Nov 24, 2016 265   Portland W 99-77 98%     5 - 0 +15.7 +12.0 +1.0
  Nov 25, 2016 99   Nebraska W 82-71 89%     6 - 0 +15.4 +14.5 +1.1
  Nov 27, 2016 66   Texas A&M W 74-67 81%     7 - 0 +15.4 +9.1 +6.4
  Nov 30, 2016 307   UC Riverside W 98-56 99%     8 - 0 +29.9 +18.4 +9.4
  Dec 03, 2016 4   @ Kentucky W 97-92 32%     9 - 0 +27.5 +22.1 +4.8
  Dec 10, 2016 21   Michigan W 102-84 65%     10 - 0 +31.9 +45.2 -11.0
  Dec 14, 2016 328   UC Santa Barbara W 102-62 99%     11 - 0 +25.4 +14.8 +6.5
  Dec 17, 2016 71   Ohio St. W 86-73 83%     12 - 0 +20.8 +8.5 +11.3
  Dec 21, 2016 160   Western Michigan W 82-68 96%     13 - 0 +11.7 -0.9 +11.4
  Dec 28, 2016 14   @ Oregon L 87-89 41%     13 - 1 0 - 1 +18.2 +21.5 -3.2
  Dec 30, 2016 236   @ Oregon St. W 76-63 96%     14 - 1 1 - 1 +10.9 +10.4 +1.6
  Jan 05, 2017 57   California W 81-71 84%     15 - 1 2 - 1 +16.9 +12.4 +4.1
  Jan 08, 2017 95   Stanford W 89-75 92%     16 - 1 3 - 1 +16.2 +11.0 +4.1
  Jan 12, 2017 72   @ Colorado W 104-89 76%     17 - 1 4 - 1 +25.3 +29.5 -5.0
  Jan 14, 2017 48   @ Utah W 83-82 66%     18 - 1 5 - 1 +14.4 +13.8 +0.6
  Jan 19, 2017 114   Arizona St. W 102-80 94%     19 - 1 6 - 1 +22.5 +15.5 +4.8
  Jan 21, 2017 19   Arizona L 85-96 64%     19 - 2 6 - 2 +3.1 +14.0 -10.3
  Jan 25, 2017 58   @ USC L 76-84 72%     19 - 3 6 - 3 +3.8 +4.4 -0.1
  Feb 01, 2017 171   @ Washington St. W 95-79 92%     20 - 3 7 - 3 +18.4 +20.2 -2.3
  Feb 04, 2017 156   @ Washington W 107-66 91%     21 - 3 8 - 3 +44.0 +20.8 +18.1
  Feb 09, 2017 14   Oregon W 82-79 60%     22 - 3 9 - 3 +18.2 +21.3 -2.9
  Feb 12, 2017 236   Oregon St. W 78-60 98%     23 - 3 10 - 3 +10.8 +8.8 +3.3
  Feb 18, 2017 58   USC W 102-70 85%     24 - 3 11 - 3 +38.8 +24.3 +12.2
  Feb 23, 2017 114   @ Arizona St. W 87-75 87%     25 - 3 12 - 3 +17.6 +9.9 +7.2
  Feb 25, 2017 19   @ Arizona W 77-72 44%     26 - 3 13 - 3 +24.2 +19.0 +5.6
  Mar 01, 2017 156   Washington W 98-66 96%     27 - 3 14 - 3 +30.0 +14.3 +12.9
  Mar 04, 2017 171   Washington St. W 77-68 96%     28 - 3 15 - 3 +6.3 +3.4 +3.0
  Mar 09, 2017 58   USC W 76-74 79%     29 - 3 +11.3 +3.6 +7.6
  Mar 10, 2017 19   Arizona L 75-86 54%     29 - 4 +5.7 +5.8 +0.5
Projected Record 29.0 - 4.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.3 2.0 13.1 46.0 32.9 5.8 0.3 100.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.3 2.0 13.1 46.0 32.9 5.8 0.3 100.0%