Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Florida
American Athletic
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#104
Expected Predictive Rating+6.6#82
Pace62.4#327
Improvement-2.5#282

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#104
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.4#159

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#104
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-2.9#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 150   Mercer W 88-79 74%     1 - 0 +7.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Nov 15, 2017 264   Gardner-Webb W 68-65 90%     2 - 0 -6.2 -4.6 -4.6
  Nov 18, 2017 159   William & Mary W 75-64 75%     3 - 0 +8.5 -1.2 -1.2
  Nov 23, 2017 51   Nebraska W 68-59 31%     4 - 0 +18.7 +4.9 +4.9
  Nov 24, 2017 11   West Virginia L 45-83 15%     4 - 1 -22.0 +8.0 +8.0
  Nov 26, 2017 69   St. John's L 43-46 38%     4 - 2 +4.8 +3.9 +3.9
  Nov 30, 2017 40   Missouri L 59-62 38%     4 - 3 +4.9 +3.9 +3.9
  Dec 03, 2017 46   @ Alabama W 65-62 21%     5 - 3 +16.4 +6.7 +6.7
  Dec 09, 2017 329   Southern W 76-60 95%     6 - 3 +1.3 -7.4 -7.4
  Dec 12, 2017 187   SE Louisiana W 61-53 81%     7 - 3 +3.4 -2.3 -2.3
  Dec 19, 2017 319   @ Stetson W 74-55 86%     8 - 3 +12.3 -3.3 -3.3
  Dec 21, 2017 345   South Carolina St. W 89-64 97%     9 - 3 +6.5 -9.3 -9.3
  Dec 27, 2017 85   @ SMU L 51-56 33%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +4.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Dec 31, 2017 286   @ East Carolina W 59-39 81%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +15.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Jan 03, 2018 135   Memphis W 65-56 72%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +7.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 07, 2018 87   Temple W 60-39 57%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +24.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Jan 10, 2018 153   @ Connecticut L 53-62 53%     12 - 5 3 - 2 -5.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 16, 2018 5   Cincinnati L 38-49 17%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +4.0 +7.5 +7.5
  Jan 20, 2018 259   @ South Florida W 71-69 77%     13 - 6 4 - 3 -0.9 -1.5 -1.5
  Jan 25, 2018 19   @ Wichita St. L 62-81 12%     13 - 7 4 - 4 -1.8 +8.6 +8.6
  Jan 31, 2018 153   Connecticut W 70-61 74%     14 - 7 5 - 4 +6.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 03, 2018 18   Houston L 65-69 27%     14 - 8 5 - 5 +7.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Feb 06, 2018 5   @ Cincinnati L 40-77 7%     14 - 9 5 - 6 -16.0 +10.5 +10.5
  Feb 11, 2018 135   @ Memphis W 68-64 50%     15 - 9 6 - 6 +8.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 14, 2018 259   South Florida W 72-57 89%     16 - 9 7 - 6 +6.0 -4.5 -4.5
  Feb 17, 2018 85   SMU W 52-37 55%     17 - 9 8 - 6 +18.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Feb 21, 2018 98   @ Tulsa L 61-70 37%     17 - 10 8 - 7 -0.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Feb 25, 2018 87   @ Temple L 56-75 34%     17 - 11 8 - 8 -10.0 +4.5 +4.5
  Mar 01, 2018 19   Wichita St. L 71-75 OT 27%     17 - 12 8 - 9 +7.1 +5.6 +5.6
  Mar 04, 2018 166   Tulane W 60-51 76%     18 - 12 9 - 9 +6.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Mar 08, 2018 286   East Carolina W 66-52 87%     19 - 12 +6.6 -3.7 -3.7
  Mar 09, 2018 18   Houston L 56-84 19%     19 - 13 -13.8 +7.1 +7.1
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%