Pre-tourney Rankings
Cincinnati
American Athletic
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+18.0#5
Expected Predictive Rating+18.1#5
Pace64.0#308
Improvement-1.1#236

Offense
Total Offense+9.0#5
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.4#211

Defense
Total Defense+9.0#5
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.7#210
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 4.8% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 40.9% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 89.6% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round95.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen71.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight45.2% n/a n/a
Final Four24.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game13.5% n/a n/a
National Champion6.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 324   Savannah St. W 107-77 99%     1 - 0 +16.5 -6.7 -6.7
  Nov 13, 2017 292   Western Carolina W 102-51 99%     2 - 0 +40.2 -5.4 -5.4
  Nov 16, 2017 347   Coppin St. W 97-54 99.7%    3 - 0 +23.0 -10.0 -10.0
  Nov 20, 2017 73   Buffalo W 73-67 84%     4 - 0 +13.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Nov 21, 2017 164   Richmond W 75-48 94%     5 - 0 +27.3 +0.2 +0.2
  Nov 22, 2017 119   Wyoming W 78-53 91%     6 - 0 +28.3 +1.6 +1.6
  Nov 27, 2017 340   Alabama St. W 83-51 99.6%    7 - 0 +14.6 -8.7 -8.7
  Dec 02, 2017 13   @ Xavier L 76-89 49%     7 - 1 +5.3 +9.1 +9.1
  Dec 09, 2017 22   Florida L 60-66 66%     7 - 2 +7.8 +6.9 +6.9
  Dec 12, 2017 56   Mississippi St. W 65-50 87%     8 - 2 +21.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Dec 16, 2017 44   @ UCLA W 77-63 67%     9 - 2 +27.5 +6.7 +6.7
  Dec 19, 2017 328   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-49 99%     10 - 2 +13.4 -7.3 -7.3
  Dec 21, 2017 300   Cleveland St. W 81-62 99%     11 - 2 +7.8 -5.6 -5.6
  Dec 31, 2017 135   Memphis W 82-48 95%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +32.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 04, 2018 87   @ Temple W 55-53 80%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +11.0 +4.5 +4.5
  Jan 07, 2018 85   SMU W 76-56 91%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +23.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Jan 13, 2018 259   @ South Florida W 78-55 96%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +20.1 -1.5 -1.5
  Jan 16, 2018 104   @ Central Florida W 49-38 83%     16 - 2 5 - 0 +18.7 +3.9 +3.9
  Jan 20, 2018 286   East Carolina W 86-60 99%     17 - 2 6 - 0 +15.6 -5.2 -5.2
  Jan 24, 2018 87   Temple W 75-42 91%     18 - 2 7 - 0 +36.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Jan 27, 2018 135   @ Memphis W 62-48 89%     19 - 2 8 - 0 +18.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 31, 2018 18   Houston W 80-70 74%     20 - 2 9 - 0 +21.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Feb 03, 2018 153   @ Connecticut W 65-57 90%     21 - 2 10 - 0 +11.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 06, 2018 104   Central Florida W 77-40 93%     22 - 2 11 - 0 +38.7 +0.8 +0.8
  Feb 11, 2018 85   @ SMU W 76-51 79%     23 - 2 12 - 0 +34.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 15, 2018 18   @ Houston L 62-67 53%     23 - 3 12 - 1 +12.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Feb 18, 2018 19   Wichita St. L 72-76 75%     23 - 4 12 - 2 +7.1 +5.6 +5.6
  Feb 22, 2018 153   Connecticut W 77-52 96%     24 - 4 13 - 2 +22.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 25, 2018 98   Tulsa W 82-74 92%     25 - 4 14 - 2 +10.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Mar 01, 2018 166   @ Tulane W 78-49 91%     26 - 4 15 - 2 +32.3 +1.6 +1.6
  Mar 04, 2018 19   @ Wichita St. W 62-61 53%     27 - 4 16 - 2 +18.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Mar 09, 2018 85   SMU W 61-51 86%     28 - 4 +16.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Mar 10, 2018 135   Memphis W 70-60 93%     29 - 4 +11.7 +0.9 +0.9
  Mar 11, 2018 18   Houston W 56-55 65%     30 - 4 +15.2 +7.1 +7.1
Projected Record 30.0 - 4.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.7 40.9 48.7 10.1 0.3
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.7 40.9 48.7 10.1 0.3