Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
American Athletic
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#153
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#124
Pace66.7#237
Improvement-2.5#284

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#153
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.5#34

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#153
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-6.1#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 198   Colgate W 70-58 73%     1 - 0 +6.7 -2.7 -2.7
  Nov 14, 2017 222   Stony Brook W 72-64 76%     2 - 0 +1.4 -3.3 -3.3
  Nov 19, 2017 244   Boston University W 85-66 80%     3 - 0 +11.1 -4.0 -4.0
  Nov 23, 2017 65   Oregon W 71-63 24%     4 - 0 +16.2 +4.1 +4.1
  Nov 24, 2017 6   Michigan St. L 57-77 7%     4 - 1 -2.1 +9.0 +9.0
  Nov 26, 2017 34   Arkansas L 67-102 16%     4 - 2 -23.4 +5.8 +5.8
  Nov 29, 2017 227   Columbia W 77-73 OT 77%     5 - 2 -2.9 -3.4 -3.4
  Dec 02, 2017 180   Monmouth W 84-81 OT 68%     6 - 2 -1.0 -2.0 -2.0
  Dec 05, 2017 54   Syracuse L 63-72 21%     6 - 3 +0.6 +4.8 +4.8
  Dec 09, 2017 347   Coppin St. W 72-59 96%     7 - 3 -7.0 -10.0 -10.0
  Dec 21, 2017 20   @ Arizona L 58-73 8%     7 - 4 +2.0 +8.5 +8.5
  Dec 23, 2017 15   @ Auburn L 64-89 7%     7 - 5 -7.3 +8.9 +8.9
  Dec 30, 2017 19   Wichita St. L 62-72 17%     7 - 6 0 - 1 +1.1 +5.6 +5.6
  Jan 03, 2018 98   @ Tulsa L 88-90 2OT 25%     7 - 7 0 - 2 +6.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Jan 06, 2018 286   East Carolina W 70-65 85%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -5.4 -5.2 -5.2
  Jan 10, 2018 104   Central Florida W 62-53 47%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +10.7 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 13, 2018 166   @ Tulane W 67-57 41%     10 - 7 3 - 2 +13.3 +1.6 +1.6
  Jan 16, 2018 135   @ Memphis L 49-73 35%     10 - 8 3 - 3 -19.2 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 20, 2018 1   Villanova L 61-81 6%     10 - 9 -1.5 +9.3 +9.3
  Jan 25, 2018 85   SMU W 63-52 41%     11 - 9 4 - 3 +14.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Jan 28, 2018 87   @ Temple L 57-85 22%     11 - 10 4 - 4 -19.0 +4.5 +4.5
  Jan 31, 2018 104   @ Central Florida L 61-70 26%     11 - 11 4 - 5 -1.3 +3.9 +3.9
  Feb 03, 2018 5   Cincinnati L 57-65 10%     11 - 12 4 - 6 +7.0 +7.5 +7.5
  Feb 07, 2018 259   South Florida W 68-65 82%     12 - 12 5 - 6 -6.0 -4.5 -4.5
  Feb 10, 2018 19   @ Wichita St. L 74-95 7%     12 - 13 5 - 7 -3.8 +8.6 +8.6
  Feb 15, 2018 98   Tulsa L 71-73 46%     12 - 14 5 - 8 +0.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Feb 18, 2018 286   @ East Carolina W 84-80 70%     13 - 14 6 - 8 -0.4 -2.2 -2.2
  Feb 22, 2018 5   @ Cincinnati L 52-77 4%     13 - 15 6 - 9 -4.0 +10.5 +10.5
  Feb 25, 2018 135   Memphis L 79-83 59%     13 - 16 6 - 10 -5.3 -0.6 -0.6
  Feb 28, 2018 87   Temple W 72-66 42%     14 - 16 7 - 10 +9.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Mar 04, 2018 18   @ Houston L 71-81 7%     14 - 17 7 - 11 +7.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Mar 08, 2018 85   SMU L 73-80 30%     14 - 18 -0.6 +3.2 +3.2
Projected Record 14.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%