Pre-tourney Rankings
Houston
American Athletic
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.2#18
Expected Predictive Rating+13.5#22
Pace69.3#174
Improvement+4.7#24

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#18
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.5#95

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#18
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.2#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 16.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 96.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round71.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen37.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight15.1% n/a n/a
Final Four6.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 304   McNeese St. W 81-53 98%     1 - 0 +16.4 -5.8 -5.8
  Nov 17, 2017 243   Drexel L 80-84 95%     1 - 1 -8.8 -2.4 -2.4
  Nov 18, 2017 183   @ Liberty W 68-66 87%     2 - 1 +3.8 +0.9 +0.9
  Nov 19, 2017 89   Wake Forest W 78-73 79%     3 - 1 +10.8 +2.9 +2.9
  Nov 25, 2017 341   Incarnate Word W 97-58 99%     4 - 1 +21.1 -9.0 -9.0
  Nov 29, 2017 265   New Orleans W 75-66 97%     5 - 1 -0.2 -4.6 -4.6
  Dec 02, 2017 34   Arkansas W 91-65 71%     6 - 1 +34.6 +4.3 +4.3
  Dec 06, 2017 206   Fairfield W 88-66 96%     7 - 1 +16.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Dec 09, 2017 134   @ Saint Louis W 77-58 81%     8 - 1 +23.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Dec 13, 2017 59   @ LSU L 77-80 59%     8 - 2 +8.9 +6.0 +6.0
  Dec 17, 2017 291   Prairie View W 92-72 98%     9 - 2 +9.2 -5.4 -5.4
  Dec 20, 2017 57   Providence W 70-59 69%     10 - 2 +20.0 +4.5 +4.5
  Dec 28, 2017 259   @ South Florida W 79-60 94%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +16.1 -1.5 -1.5
  Dec 30, 2017 87   Temple W 76-73 85%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +6.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Jan 04, 2018 19   @ Wichita St. L 63-81 38%     12 - 3 2 - 1 -0.8 +8.6 +8.6
  Jan 11, 2018 98   Tulsa W 104-71 87%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +35.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Jan 14, 2018 286   @ East Carolina W 65-49 95%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +11.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Jan 17, 2018 166   @ Tulane L 72-81 85%     14 - 4 4 - 2 -5.7 +1.6 +1.6
  Jan 20, 2018 19   Wichita St. W 73-59 62%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +25.1 +5.6 +5.6
  Jan 28, 2018 259   South Florida W 63-40 97%     16 - 4 6 - 2 +14.0 -4.5 -4.5
  Jan 31, 2018 5   @ Cincinnati L 70-80 26%     16 - 5 6 - 3 +11.0 +10.5 +10.5
  Feb 03, 2018 104   @ Central Florida W 69-65 73%     17 - 5 7 - 3 +11.7 +3.9 +3.9
  Feb 08, 2018 85   SMU W 67-58 84%     18 - 5 8 - 3 +12.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Feb 11, 2018 166   Tulane W 73-42 93%     19 - 5 9 - 3 +28.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Feb 15, 2018 5   Cincinnati W 67-62 47%     20 - 5 10 - 3 +20.0 +7.5 +7.5
  Feb 18, 2018 87   @ Temple W 80-59 69%     21 - 5 11 - 3 +30.0 +4.5 +4.5
  Feb 22, 2018 135   @ Memphis L 85-91 81%     21 - 6 11 - 4 -1.2 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 25, 2018 286   East Carolina W 109-58 98%     22 - 6 12 - 4 +40.6 -5.2 -5.2
  Feb 28, 2018 85   @ SMU W 69-56 68%     23 - 6 13 - 4 +22.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Mar 04, 2018 153   Connecticut W 81-71 93%     24 - 6 14 - 4 +7.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Mar 09, 2018 104   Central Florida W 84-56 81%     25 - 6 +32.7 +2.4 +2.4
  Mar 10, 2018 19   Wichita St. W 77-74 50%     26 - 6 +17.2 +7.1 +7.1
  Mar 11, 2018 5   Cincinnati L 55-56 35%     26 - 7 +17.0 +9.0 +9.0
Projected Record 26.0 - 7.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 99.9% 99.9% 5.2 3.2 13.4 44.2 35.7 3.4 0.0 0.1 99.9%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 5.2 3.2 13.4 44.2 35.7 3.4 0.0 0.1 99.9%