Pre-tourney Rankings
Providence
Big East
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.0#57
Expected Predictive Rating+11.7#36
Pace67.3#222
Improvement+1.0#141

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#57
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-3.4#317

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#57
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+4.3#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 9.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round97.5% n/a n/a
Second Round42.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 334   Houston Baptist W 84-55 98%     1 - 0 +12.7 -8.2 -8.2
  Nov 13, 2017 109   Minnesota L 74-86 77%     1 - 1 -10.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2017 96   Washington W 77-70 65%     2 - 1 +12.1 +2.5 +2.5
  Nov 17, 2017 134   Saint Louis W 90-63 76%     3 - 1 +28.8 +0.9 +0.9
  Nov 22, 2017 91   Belmont W 66-65 73%     4 - 1 +3.7 +1.3 +1.3
  Nov 25, 2017 68   Boston College W 86-66 66%     5 - 1 +24.9 +2.4 +2.4
  Nov 29, 2017 136   Rider W 88-84 83%     6 - 1 +2.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Dec 02, 2017 50   @ Rhode Island L 68-75 35%     6 - 2 +5.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Dec 06, 2017 263   Brown W 77-72 OT 94%     7 - 2 -4.1 -4.5 -4.5
  Dec 09, 2017 195   @ Massachusetts L 63-72 78%     7 - 3 -8.1 +0.4 +0.4
  Dec 17, 2017 222   Stony Brook W 62-60 92%     8 - 3 -4.6 -3.3 -3.3
  Dec 20, 2017 18   Houston L 59-70 31%     8 - 4 +3.2 +7.1 +7.1
  Dec 22, 2017 305   Sacred Heart W 89-75 96%     9 - 4 +2.4 -5.8 -5.8
  Dec 28, 2017 69   @ St. John's W 94-72 43%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +32.9 +5.4 +5.4
  Dec 31, 2017 26   @ Creighton L 64-83 27%     10 - 5 1 - 1 -3.7 +7.6 +7.6
  Jan 03, 2018 49   Marquette L 90-95 OT 58%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +1.8 +3.4 +3.4
  Jan 06, 2018 13   Xavier W 81-72 38%     11 - 6 2 - 2 +21.2 +6.1 +6.1
  Jan 12, 2018 101   @ DePaul W 71-64 54%     12 - 6 3 - 2 +14.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Jan 15, 2018 24   Butler W 70-60 47%     13 - 6 4 - 2 +19.7 +4.9 +4.9
  Jan 20, 2018 26   Creighton W 85-71 49%     14 - 6 5 - 2 +23.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Jan 23, 2018 1   @ Villanova L 69-89 8%     14 - 7 5 - 3 +4.6 +12.3 +12.3
  Jan 31, 2018 25   @ Seton Hall L 57-73 27%     14 - 8 5 - 4 -0.6 +7.7 +7.7
  Feb 03, 2018 49   @ Marquette W 77-75 35%     15 - 8 6 - 4 +14.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Feb 06, 2018 97   Georgetown W 73-69 75%     16 - 8 7 - 4 +6.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Feb 10, 2018 101   DePaul L 63-80 75%     16 - 9 7 - 5 -15.1 +0.9 +0.9
  Feb 14, 2018 1   Villanova W 76-71 18%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +23.5 +9.3 +9.3
  Feb 17, 2018 24   @ Butler L 54-69 26%     17 - 10 8 - 6 +0.8 +7.9 +7.9
  Feb 21, 2018 25   Seton Hall L 77-89 49%     17 - 11 8 - 7 -2.7 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 24, 2018 97   @ Georgetown W 74-69 54%     18 - 11 9 - 7 +13.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Feb 28, 2018 13   @ Xavier L 74-84 19%     18 - 12 9 - 8 +8.3 +9.1 +9.1
  Mar 03, 2018 69   St. John's W 61-57 66%     19 - 12 10 - 8 +8.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Mar 08, 2018 26   Creighton W 72-68 OT 38%     20 - 12 +16.3 +6.1 +6.1
  Mar 09, 2018 13   Xavier W 75-72 OT 27%     21 - 12 +18.2 +7.6 +7.6
  Mar 10, 2018 1   Villanova L 66-76 OT 12%     21 - 13 +11.6 +10.8 +10.8
Projected Record 21.0 - 13.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 97.5% 97.5% 7.6 0.1 9.5 39.2 35.1 11.8 1.7 2.5 97.5%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.5% 0.0% 97.5% 7.6 0.1 9.5 39.2 35.1 11.8 1.7 2.5 97.5%