Pre-tourney Rankings
UCLA
Pac-12
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#44
Expected Predictive Rating+10.6#50
Pace74.1#60
Improvement+2.1#84

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#44
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.5#61

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#44
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.4#189
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 70.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 70.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four33.7% n/a n/a
First Round54.1% n/a n/a
Second Round23.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 108   Georgia Tech W 63-60 72%     1 - 0 +7.4 +2.2 +2.2
  Nov 15, 2017 214   Central Arkansas W 106-101 OT 93%     2 - 0 -1.1 -3.1 -3.1
  Nov 17, 2017 345   South Carolina St. W 96-68 99%     3 - 0 +9.5 -9.3 -9.3
  Nov 20, 2017 26   Creighton L 89-100 43%     3 - 1 +1.3 +6.1 +6.1
  Nov 21, 2017 64   Wisconsin W 72-70 58%     4 - 1 +10.3 +4.1 +4.1
  Nov 26, 2017 154   UC Irvine W 87-63 88%     5 - 1 +21.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Nov 29, 2017 234   Cal St. Bakersfield W 75-66 94%     6 - 1 +1.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Dec 03, 2017 322   Detroit Mercy W 106-73 98%     7 - 1 +19.8 -6.6 -6.6
  Dec 09, 2017 10   @ Michigan L 69-78 OT 20%     7 - 2 +10.2 +9.6 +9.6
  Dec 16, 2017 5   Cincinnati L 63-77 33%     7 - 3 +1.0 +7.5 +7.5
  Dec 19, 2017 74   South Dakota W 85-82 72%     8 - 3 +7.3 +2.2 +2.2
  Dec 23, 2017 16   Kentucky W 83-75 34%     9 - 3 +22.7 +7.3 +7.3
  Dec 29, 2017 181   Washington St. W 96-82 91%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +9.9 -2.0 -2.0
  Dec 31, 2017 96   Washington W 74-53 79%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +23.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Jan 04, 2018 78   @ Stanford L 99-107 2OT 52%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +1.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 06, 2018 233   @ California W 107-84 86%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +21.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 11, 2018 62   Utah W 83-64 68%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +24.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 13, 2018 107   Colorado L 59-68 80%     13 - 5 4 - 2 -7.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 18, 2018 90   @ Oregon St. L 63-69 57%     13 - 6 4 - 3 +2.7 +4.4 +4.4
  Jan 20, 2018 65   @ Oregon L 91-94 47%     13 - 7 4 - 4 +8.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Jan 25, 2018 233   California W 70-57 94%     14 - 7 5 - 4 +5.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Jan 27, 2018 78   Stanford W 89-73 74%     15 - 7 6 - 4 +19.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 03, 2018 36   USC W 82-79 58%     16 - 7 7 - 4 +11.3 +4.2 +4.2
  Feb 08, 2018 20   @ Arizona W 82-74 27%     17 - 7 8 - 4 +25.0 +8.5 +8.5
  Feb 10, 2018 48   @ Arizona St. L 79-88 41%     17 - 8 8 - 5 +3.9 +6.4 +6.4
  Feb 15, 2018 90   Oregon St. W 75-68 77%     18 - 8 9 - 5 +9.7 +1.4 +1.4
  Feb 17, 2018 65   Oregon W 86-78 OT 70%     19 - 8 10 - 5 +13.2 +2.6 +2.6
  Feb 22, 2018 62   @ Utah L 78-84 46%     19 - 9 10 - 6 +5.6 +5.8 +5.8
  Feb 25, 2018 107   @ Colorado L 76-80 61%     19 - 10 10 - 7 +3.5 +3.7 +3.7
  Mar 03, 2018 36   @ USC W 83-72 35%     20 - 10 11 - 7 +25.3 +7.2 +7.2
  Mar 08, 2018 78   Stanford W 88-77 63%     21 - 10 +17.9 +3.5 +3.5
  Mar 09, 2018 20   Arizona L 67-78 OT 37%     21 - 11 +3.0 +7.0 +7.0
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 70.6% 70.6% 10.4 0.1 1.6 6.2 27.6 34.9 0.2 29.4 70.6%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 70.6% 0.0% 70.6% 10.4 0.1 1.6 6.2 27.6 34.9 0.2 29.4 70.6%