Pre-tourney Rankings
Belmont
Ohio Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.0#54
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#51
Pace76.1#33
Improvement+1.5#118

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#21
First Shot+8.6#8
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#262
Layup/Dunks+7.5#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#17
Freethrows-1.6#291
Improvement+1.6#103

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#126
First Shot+1.2#133
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#139
Layups/Dunks+4.5#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#349
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#183
Freethrows+1.7#55
Improvement+0.0#184
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four31.9% n/a n/a
First Round23.5% n/a n/a
Second Round6.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 1.02.0 - 2.0
Quad 23.0 - 1.05.0 - 3.0
Quad 33.0 - 2.08.0 - 5.0
Quad 417.0 - 0.025.0 - 5.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 186   Illinois St. W 100-89 89%     1 - 0 +6.7 +15.0 -9.5
  Nov 12, 2018 239   Middle Tennessee W 92-73 93%     2 - 0 +11.7 +3.3 +5.6
  Nov 15, 2018 57   @ Lipscomb W 87-83 42%     3 - 0 +15.1 +5.3 +9.1
  Nov 24, 2018 340   @ Kennesaw St. W 91-53 96%     4 - 0 +26.5 +5.4 +17.5
  Nov 29, 2018 159   @ Samford W 99-93 OT 72%     5 - 0 +9.0 +8.2 -0.3
  Dec 01, 2018 218   @ Green Bay L 92-100 81%     5 - 1 -8.4 +3.0 -10.1
  Dec 04, 2018 57   Lipscomb W 76-74 63%     6 - 1 +7.6 -1.5 +8.9
  Dec 15, 2018 108   @ UCLA W 74-72 57%     7 - 1 +9.3 -0.7 +9.9
  Dec 19, 2018 117   Western Kentucky W 80-74 78%     8 - 1 +7.1 +2.1 +4.4
  Dec 29, 2018 10   @ Purdue L 62-73 14%     8 - 2 +9.5 -1.5 +10.7
  Jan 03, 2019 129   Jacksonville St. L 73-83 80%     8 - 3 0 - 1 -9.9 +2.7 -12.8
  Jan 05, 2019 326   Tennessee Tech W 79-67 97%     9 - 3 1 - 1 -2.0 +8.2 -9.6
  Jan 10, 2019 262   Morehead St. W 77-60 94%     10 - 3 2 - 1 +8.3 -7.1 +14.2
  Jan 12, 2019 260   Eastern Kentucky W 109-93 94%     11 - 3 3 - 1 +7.4 +10.7 -6.6
  Jan 17, 2019 129   @ Jacksonville St. L 80-91 OT 63%     11 - 4 3 - 2 -5.4 -3.1 -0.3
  Jan 19, 2019 311   Tennessee St. W 92-74 96%     12 - 4 4 - 2 +6.0 +10.1 -4.7
  Jan 24, 2019 56   @ Murray St. W 79-66 42%     13 - 4 5 - 2 +24.1 +9.0 +14.9
  Jan 26, 2019 140   @ Austin Peay W 96-92 66%     14 - 4 6 - 2 +8.7 +15.2 -6.8
  Jan 31, 2019 317   Southeast Missouri St. W 97-71 97%     15 - 4 7 - 2 +13.7 +7.1 +3.7
  Feb 02, 2019 297   Tennessee Martin W 82-67 96%     16 - 4 8 - 2 +4.2 +4.3 +0.7
  Feb 07, 2019 260   @ Eastern Kentucky W 83-65 87%     17 - 4 9 - 2 +15.0 +2.2 +11.1
  Feb 09, 2019 262   @ Morehead St. W 96-86 87%     18 - 4 10 - 2 +6.9 +20.6 -13.7
  Feb 14, 2019 311   @ Tennessee St. W 77-66 92%     19 - 4 11 - 2 +4.6 +1.5 +3.1
  Feb 16, 2019 326   @ Tennessee Tech W 93-65 94%     20 - 4 12 - 2 +19.6 +20.2 -0.9
  Feb 21, 2019 313   Eastern Illinois W 99-58 96%     21 - 4 13 - 2 +28.9 +23.8 +7.1
  Feb 23, 2019 329   SIU Edwardsville W 97-75 97%     22 - 4 14 - 2 +7.6 +12.7 -6.1
  Feb 28, 2019 297   @ Tennessee Martin W 112-67 90%     23 - 4 15 - 2 +39.7 +32.2 +7.4
  Mar 02, 2019 317   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 84-66 92%     24 - 4 16 - 2 +11.2 +5.2 +5.5
  Mar 08, 2019 140   Austin Peay W 83-67 75%     25 - 4 +17.9 +12.3 +6.4
  Mar 09, 2019 56   Murray St. L 65-77 52%     25 - 5 -3.6 -6.4 +3.1
Projected Record 25.0 - 5.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 40.3% 40.3% 11.3 0.0 0.4 3.6 17.9 18.3 0.1 59.7 40.3%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 40.3% 0.0% 40.3% 11.3 0.0 0.4 3.6 17.9 18.3 0.1 59.7 40.3%